Emmen at Excelsior

Updated

Emmen

28.2%26.4%45.4%
Emmen WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.44
1Final Score 2

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Emmen
Money Line
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+300
L 0-4 at Feyenoord+850
W 2-3 vs Utrecht+180
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-110
L 1-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1125
Excelsior
Money Line
L 2-5 at RKC Waalwijk+350
L 0-4 at Twente+1075
L 6-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+825
W 1-3 vs Vitesse+265
W 2-0 at Cambuur+275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Emmen+170+112+110+105+103+105+112+125.3
Excelsior+150+233+225+227+228+227+233+238.4
Draw+240+272+250+290+280+290+290+283.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Emmen+130----+110+110+125.3
Excelsior+200----+230+230+238.4
Draw+255----+270+270+283.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Emmen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Emmen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Emmen: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Emmen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Emmen ML moved from +120 to +110
Excelsior ML moved from +240 to +227

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Emmen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Emmen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Emmen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Emmen: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Emmen ML
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3-104o3-105o3-102-o3-102o3-102o3+112
Underu2¾+100u3-114u3-115u3-118-u3-118u3-114u3-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+112
Under-----u3-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.15%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 413.42%
Exactly 62.81%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.43%
Exactly 321.41%
Exactly 56.73%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Emmen
Exactly 034.23%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.67%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 023.80%
Exactly 134.16%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 311.73%
Exactly 44.21%
Exactly 51.21%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.32%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Emmen
Exactly 060.87%
Exactly 130.22%
Exactly 27.50%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 051.45%
Exactly 134.19%
Exactly 211.36%
Exactly 32.52%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Emmen
Wins by 2+ goals10.69%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals22.00%
Wins by 3+ goals8.38%
Wins by 4+ goals2.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Emmen
Excelsior
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Emmen
Wins by 1 goal17.42%
Wins by 2 goals7.59%
Wins by 3 goals2.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal23.32%
Wins by 2 goals13.62%
Wins by 3 goals5.82%
Wins by 4 goals1.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.85%8.15%
1.571.43%28.57%
2.545.81%54.19%
3.524.40%75.60%
4.510.98%89.02%
5.54.25%95.75%
6.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Emmen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.77%34.23%
1.529.07%70.93%
2.59.40%90.60%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.20%23.80%
1.542.04%57.96%
2.517.51%82.49%
3.55.78%94.22%
4.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.68%31.32%
1.532.32%67.68%
2.511.22%88.78%
3.53.05%96.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Emmen
Excelsior
Score012345
0
8.15%
11.69%
8.39%
4.02%
1.44%
0.41%
1
8.73%
12.54%
9.00%
4.31%
1.55%
0.44%
2
4.68%
6.72%
4.82%
2.31%
0.83%
0.24%
3
1.67%
2.40%
1.72%
0.82%
0.30%
0.08%
4
0.45%
0.64%
0.46%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
Emmen
1-08.73%
2-04.68%
2-16.72%
3-01.67%
3-12.40%
3-21.72%
4-00.45%
4-10.64%
4-20.46%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-08.15%
1-112.54%
2-24.82%
3-30.82%
Excelsior
0-111.69%
0-28.39%
1-29.00%
0-34.02%
1-34.31%
2-32.31%
0-41.44%
1-41.55%
2-40.83%
3-40.30%
0-50.41%
1-50.44%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Emmen
Excelsior
Score01234
0
31.32%
20.81%
6.92%
1.53%
0.25%
1
15.54%
10.33%
3.43%
0.76%
0.13%
2
3.86%
2.56%
0.85%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.64%
0.42%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Emmen
1-015.54%
2-03.86%
2-12.56%
3-00.64%
3-10.42%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.32%
1-110.33%
2-20.85%
Excelsior
0-120.81%
0-26.92%
1-23.43%
0-31.53%
1-30.76%
2-30.19%
0-40.25%
1-40.13%
Heerenveen at Ajax
Vitesse at Utrecht