Excelsior at RKC Waalwijk

Updated

Excelsior

26.8%27.2%46.0%
Excelsior WinDrawRKC Waalwijk Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.38
2Final Score 5

RKC Waalwijk

Last Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 0-4 at Twente+1075
L 6-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+825
W 1-3 vs Vitesse+265
W 2-0 at Cambuur+275
RKC Waalwijk
Money Line
T 2-2 at Vitesse+340
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord+620
T 1-1 at Emmen+300
T 2-2 vs Utrecht+285
W 3-1 at AZ Alkmaar+975

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+240+335+310+340+315+340+340+366.1
RKC Waalwijk+105-130-130-135-135-135-130-119.2
Draw+250+308+285+300+310+300+310+313.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+325----+350+350+366.1
RKC Waalwijk-130-----140-140-119.2
Draw+300----+310+310+313.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 30.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +335 to +324
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from -150 to -156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 40.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from -130 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3-128o3-115o3-117-o3-117o3-115o3-111
Underu2¾+100u3+108u3-105u3-103-u3-103u3+108u3+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-111
Under-----u3+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.36%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 412.28%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.17%
Exactly 320.73%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 037.30%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 35.96%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 025.09%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 311.05%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.39%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 42.01%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 063.34%
Exactly 128.92%
Exactly 26.60%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 052.72%
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 210.80%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals9.62%
Wins by 3+ goals2.62%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 2+ goals21.94%
Wins by 3+ goals8.17%
Wins by 4+ goals2.43%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
RKC Waalwijk
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal17.13%
Wins by 2 goals7.00%
Wins by 3 goals2.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 1 goal24.01%
Wins by 2 goals13.77%
Wins by 3 goals5.73%
Wins by 4 goals1.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.64%9.36%
1.568.47%31.53%
2.542.22%57.78%
3.521.48%78.52%
4.59.20%90.80%
5.53.38%96.62%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.70%37.30%
1.525.92%74.08%
2.57.78%92.22%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals RKC Waalwijk Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.91%25.09%
1.540.22%59.78%
2.516.23%83.77%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.61%33.39%
1.529.98%70.02%
2.59.89%90.11%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
RKC Waalwijk
Score012345
0
9.36%
12.94%
8.95%
4.12%
1.43%
0.39%
1
9.23%
12.76%
8.82%
4.07%
1.41%
0.39%
2
4.55%
6.29%
4.35%
2.01%
0.69%
0.19%
3
1.50%
2.07%
1.43%
0.66%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.37%
0.51%
0.35%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Excelsior
1-09.23%
2-04.55%
2-16.29%
3-01.50%
3-12.07%
3-21.43%
4-00.37%
4-10.51%
4-20.35%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.36%
1-112.76%
2-24.35%
3-30.66%
RKC Waalwijk
0-112.94%
0-28.95%
1-28.82%
0-34.12%
1-34.07%
2-32.01%
0-41.43%
1-41.41%
2-40.69%
3-40.23%
0-50.39%
1-50.39%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
RKC Waalwijk
Score01234
0
33.39%
21.38%
6.84%
1.46%
0.23%
1
15.25%
9.76%
3.12%
0.67%
0.11%
2
3.48%
2.23%
0.71%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.53%
0.34%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-015.25%
2-03.48%
2-12.23%
3-00.53%
3-10.34%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.39%
1-19.76%
2-20.71%
RKC Waalwijk
0-121.38%
0-26.84%
1-23.12%
0-31.46%
1-30.67%
2-30.15%
0-40.23%
1-40.11%