Utrecht at Excelsior

Updated

Utrecht

19.2%22.8%58.0%
WinDrawExcelsior Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.81
1Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
T 0-0 vs NEC Nijmegen-145
W 0-1 vs Vitesse-115
W 4-3 at Fortuna Sittard+115
L 2-0 vs Ajax+520
L 2-3 at Emmen+150
Excelsior
Money Line
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard+340
W 1-2 vs Emmen+230
L 2-5 at RKC Waalwijk+350
L 0-4 at Twente+1075
L 6-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+825

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-128-162-175-180-178-180-162-152.2
Excelsior+327+399+390+420+395+420+420+434.3
Draw+309+352+340+370+356+370+370+377.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-140-----155-155-152.2
Excelsior+330----+375+375+434.3
Draw+330----+330+330+377.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from -167 to -178
Excelsior ML moved from +425 to +415

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from -140 to -155
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-128o3½+102o3½+102o3¼-120-o3¼-120o3¼-120o3-143
Underu3+108u3½-120u3½-122u3¼+100-u3¼+100u3½-120u3+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-143
Under-----u3+143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-115 to o3½-104
The Under moved from u3½-116 to u3¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.39%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 415.24%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.58%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.38%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 039.17%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.20%
Exactly 35.37%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 016.31%
Exactly 129.58%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 316.21%
Exactly 47.35%
Exactly 52.66%
Exactly 60.81%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.99%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 064.80%
Exactly 128.12%
Exactly 26.10%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 043.19%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.22%
Exactly 34.26%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals6.40%
Wins by 3+ goals1.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals33.28%
Wins by 3+ goals15.41%
Wins by 4+ goals5.86%
Wins by 5+ goals1.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Excelsior
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal12.74%
Wins by 2 goals4.77%
Wins by 3 goals1.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal24.65%
Wins by 2 goals17.87%
Wins by 3 goals9.55%
Wins by 4 goals4.01%
Wins by 5 goals1.38%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.61%6.39%
1.576.03%23.97%
2.551.86%48.14%
3.529.71%70.29%
4.514.47%85.53%
5.56.09%93.91%
6.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.83%39.17%
1.524.11%75.89%
2.56.91%93.09%
3.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.69%16.31%
1.554.11%45.89%
2.527.29%72.71%
3.511.09%88.91%
4.53.74%96.26%
5.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.01%27.99%
1.536.37%63.63%
2.513.68%86.32%
3.54.05%95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Excelsior
Score012345
0
6.39%
11.59%
10.51%
6.35%
2.88%
1.04%
1
5.99%
10.86%
9.84%
5.95%
2.70%
0.98%
2
2.81%
5.09%
4.61%
2.79%
1.26%
0.46%
3
0.88%
1.59%
1.44%
0.87%
0.39%
0.14%
4
0.21%
0.37%
0.34%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
Utrecht
1-05.99%
2-02.81%
2-15.09%
3-00.88%
3-11.59%
3-21.44%
4-00.21%
4-10.37%
4-20.34%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-06.39%
1-110.86%
2-24.61%
3-30.87%
Excelsior
0-111.59%
0-210.51%
1-29.84%
0-36.35%
1-35.95%
2-32.79%
0-42.88%
1-42.70%
2-41.26%
3-40.39%
0-51.04%
1-50.98%
2-50.46%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Excelsior
Score01234
0
27.99%
23.50%
9.86%
2.76%
0.58%
1
12.14%
10.19%
4.28%
1.20%
0.25%
2
2.63%
2.21%
0.93%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.38%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-012.14%
2-02.63%
2-12.21%
3-00.38%
3-10.32%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-027.99%
1-110.19%
2-20.93%
Excelsior
0-123.50%
0-29.86%
1-24.28%
0-32.76%
1-31.20%
2-30.26%
0-40.58%
1-40.25%
Volendam at Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord at NEC Nijmegen