Excelsior at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Excelsior

27.1%25.6%47.3%
Excelsior WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.52
0Final Score 1

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Emmen+230
L 2-5 at RKC Waalwijk+350
L 0-4 at Twente+1075
L 6-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+825
W 1-3 vs Vitesse+265
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen+320
L 4-3 vs Utrecht+215
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+425
L 4-1 vs Cambuur+125
L 0-3 at Twente+600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+320+399+400+414+386+414+414+431.3
Fortuna Sittard-125-159-175-168-172-168-159-149.3
Draw+270+345+350+370+351+370+370+369.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+295----+340+340+431.3
Fortuna Sittard-125-----140-140-149.3
Draw+310----+315+315+369.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 40.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +330 to +310
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from -153 to -166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 30.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o3½+107o3¼-118o3¼-119-o3¼-119o3¼-118o3-148
Underu2¾-108u3½-125u3¼-102u3¼-101-u3¼-101u3½-125u3+148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-148
Under-----u3+148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-110 to o3+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.35%
Exactly 225.04%
Exactly 414.22%
Exactly 63.23%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.19%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 57.43%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 033.71%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.93%
Exactly 37.22%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 021.81%
Exactly 133.21%
Exactly 225.29%
Exactly 312.84%
Exactly 44.89%
Exactly 51.49%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.86%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 060.44%
Exactly 130.43%
Exactly 27.66%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 049.40%
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 212.28%
Exactly 32.89%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals10.30%
Wins by 3+ goals3.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals23.80%
Wins by 3+ goals9.48%
Wins by 4+ goals3.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.77%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal16.71%
Wins by 2 goals7.30%
Wins by 3 goals2.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals14.32%
Wins by 3 goals6.44%
Wins by 4 goals2.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.64%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.65%7.35%
1.573.46%26.54%
2.548.42%51.58%
3.526.63%73.37%
4.512.41%87.59%
5.54.98%95.02%
6.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.29%33.71%
1.529.64%70.36%
2.59.71%90.29%
3.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.19%21.81%
1.544.99%55.01%
2.519.70%80.30%
3.56.86%93.14%
4.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.14%29.86%
1.534.05%65.95%
2.512.24%87.76%
3.53.45%96.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
7.35%
11.19%
8.52%
4.33%
1.65%
0.50%
1
7.99%
12.17%
9.27%
4.71%
1.79%
0.55%
2
4.35%
6.62%
5.04%
2.56%
0.97%
0.30%
3
1.58%
2.40%
1.83%
0.93%
0.35%
0.11%
4
0.43%
0.65%
0.50%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
Excelsior
1-07.99%
2-04.35%
2-16.62%
3-01.58%
3-12.40%
3-21.83%
4-00.43%
4-10.65%
4-20.50%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-07.35%
1-112.17%
2-25.04%
3-30.93%
Fortuna Sittard
0-111.19%
0-28.52%
1-29.27%
0-34.33%
1-34.71%
2-32.56%
0-41.65%
1-41.79%
2-40.97%
3-40.35%
0-50.50%
1-50.55%
2-50.30%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
29.86%
21.06%
7.42%
1.75%
0.31%
1
15.03%
10.60%
3.74%
0.88%
0.15%
2
3.78%
2.67%
0.94%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.64%
0.45%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-015.03%
2-03.78%
2-12.67%
3-00.64%
3-10.45%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.86%
1-110.60%
2-20.94%
Fortuna Sittard
0-121.06%
0-27.42%
1-23.74%
0-31.75%
1-30.88%
2-30.22%
0-40.31%
1-40.15%
Cambuur at RKC Waalwijk
Emmen at Go Ahead Eag