Fortuna Sittard at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

28.2%25.1%46.7%
Fortuna Sittard WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.56
1Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Utrecht+215
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+425
L 4-1 vs Cambuur+125
L 0-3 at Twente+600
L 3-2 vs Ajax+975
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 0-0 at Heerenveen+350
T 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar+475
T 1-1 vs Groningen+105
W 4-1 at Volendam+145
L 1-0 vs Twente+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+396+314+310+320-+320+320+331.5
NEC Nijmegen-148-118-120-120--120-118-113.2
Draw+315+288+265+296-+296+296+321.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+280----+320+320+331.5
NEC Nijmegen-110-----125-125-113.2
Draw+275----+285+285+321.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +324 to +314
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -112 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortuna Sittard ML
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+114o3+106o2¾-120o2¾-118-o2¾-118o2¾-118o2½-140
Underu3-134u3-126u2¾+100u2¾-102-u2¾-102u3-126u2½+140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-140
Under-----u2½+140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.58%
Exactly 224.36%
Exactly 415.03%
Exactly 63.71%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.90%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 58.18%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 031.44%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 020.92%
Exactly 132.73%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 313.35%
Exactly 45.22%
Exactly 51.63%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.37%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 39.46%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 058.52%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 28.40%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 048.47%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 212.71%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals11.23%
Wins by 3+ goals3.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals23.75%
Wins by 3+ goals9.60%
Wins by 4+ goals3.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal16.92%
Wins by 2 goals7.74%
Wins by 3 goals2.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal22.88%
Wins by 2 goals14.15%
Wins by 3 goals6.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.42%6.58%
1.575.52%24.48%
2.551.16%48.84%
3.529.06%70.94%
4.514.03%85.97%
5.55.85%94.15%
6.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.56%31.44%
1.532.18%67.82%
2.511.13%88.87%
3.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.08%20.92%
1.546.34%53.66%
2.520.74%79.26%
3.57.40%92.60%
4.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.63%28.37%
1.535.89%64.11%
2.513.38%86.62%
3.53.92%96.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
6.58%
10.29%
8.05%
4.20%
1.64%
0.51%
1
7.61%
11.91%
9.31%
4.86%
1.90%
0.59%
2
4.40%
6.89%
5.39%
2.81%
1.10%
0.34%
3
1.70%
2.66%
2.08%
1.08%
0.42%
0.13%
4
0.49%
0.77%
0.60%
0.31%
0.12%
0.04%
5
0.11%
0.18%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-07.61%
2-04.40%
2-16.89%
3-01.70%
3-12.66%
3-22.08%
4-00.49%
4-10.77%
4-20.60%
4-30.31%
5-00.11%
5-10.18%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-06.58%
1-111.91%
2-25.39%
3-31.08%
4-40.12%
NEC Nijmegen
0-110.29%
0-28.05%
1-29.31%
0-34.20%
1-34.86%
2-32.81%
0-41.64%
1-41.90%
2-41.10%
3-40.42%
0-50.51%
1-50.59%
2-50.34%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
28.37%
20.54%
7.44%
1.80%
0.33%
1
15.20%
11.01%
3.99%
0.96%
0.17%
2
4.07%
2.95%
1.07%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.73%
0.53%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-015.20%
2-04.07%
2-12.95%
3-00.73%
3-10.53%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-028.37%
1-111.01%
2-21.07%
NEC Nijmegen
0-120.54%
0-27.44%
1-23.99%
0-31.80%
1-30.96%
2-30.26%
0-40.33%
1-40.17%
Go Ahead Eag at Volendam
Heerenveen at Ajax