NEC Nijmegen at Heerenveen

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

19.1%22.6%58.3%
WinDrawHeerenveen Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.84
0Final Score 0

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar+475
T 1-1 vs Groningen+105
W 4-1 at Volendam+145
L 1-0 vs Twente+235
L 1-0 vs Fortuna Sittard-115
Heerenveen
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-160
W 4-0 at Vitesse+240
T 0-0 at Feyenoord+800
T 0-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam-110
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+175+388+380+370-+370+388+431.0
Heerenveen+148-134-140-135--135-134-124.5
Draw+267+281+265+280-+280+281+289.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+260----+350+350+431.0
Heerenveen+100-----125-125-124.5
Draw+265----+265+265+289.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +292 to +283
Heerenveen ML moved from -122 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +260 to +250
Heerenveen ML moved from -110 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+112o2½-116o2½-118o2½-116-o2½-116o2½-116o2½-105
Underu3-132u2½-102u2½-102u2½-104-u2½-104u2½-102u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-105
Under-----u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.12%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 415.53%
Exactly 64.04%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.10%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.68%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 038.61%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.48%
Exactly 35.54%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 015.85%
Exactly 129.20%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 316.51%
Exactly 47.60%
Exactly 52.80%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.44%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 39.89%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 064.37%
Exactly 128.36%
Exactly 26.25%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 042.62%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.50%
Exactly 34.41%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals6.44%
Wins by 3+ goals1.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals33.72%
Wins by 3+ goals15.77%
Wins by 4+ goals6.07%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal12.66%
Wins by 2 goals4.79%
Wins by 3 goals1.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal24.50%
Wins by 2 goals17.94%
Wins by 3 goals9.71%
Wins by 4 goals4.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.44%
Wins by 6 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.88%6.12%
1.576.78%23.22%
2.552.90%47.10%
3.530.66%69.34%
4.515.13%84.87%
5.56.45%93.55%
6.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.39%38.61%
1.524.64%75.36%
2.57.16%92.84%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.15%15.85%
1.554.95%45.05%
2.528.06%71.94%
3.511.55%88.45%
4.53.95%96.05%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.56%27.44%
1.537.08%62.92%
2.514.14%85.86%
3.54.24%95.76%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
6.12%
11.27%
10.38%
6.37%
2.94%
1.08%
1
5.82%
10.73%
9.88%
6.07%
2.79%
1.03%
2
2.77%
5.10%
4.70%
2.89%
1.33%
0.49%
3
0.88%
1.62%
1.49%
0.92%
0.42%
0.16%
4
0.21%
0.39%
0.35%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
NEC Nijmegen
1-05.82%
2-02.77%
2-15.10%
3-00.88%
3-11.62%
3-21.49%
4-00.21%
4-10.39%
4-20.35%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.12%
1-110.73%
2-24.70%
3-30.92%
4-40.10%
Heerenveen
0-111.27%
0-210.38%
1-29.88%
0-36.37%
1-36.07%
2-32.89%
0-42.94%
1-42.79%
2-41.33%
3-40.42%
0-51.08%
1-51.03%
2-50.49%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
27.44%
23.40%
9.98%
2.84%
0.60%
0.10%
1
12.09%
10.31%
4.39%
1.25%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.66%
2.27%
0.97%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.39%
0.33%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-012.09%
2-02.66%
2-12.27%
3-00.39%
3-10.33%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.44%
1-110.31%
2-20.97%
Heerenveen
0-123.40%
0-29.98%
1-24.39%
0-32.84%
1-31.25%
2-30.28%
0-40.60%
1-40.27%
0-50.10%
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