Ajax at RKC Waalwijk

Updated

Ajax

83.5%11.2%5.3%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.90Projected Goals 0.63
4Final Score 1

RKC Waalwijk

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-7 vs Excelsior-1600
W 4-2 at Volendam-675
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-1200
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-500
RKC Waalwijk
Money Line
T 0-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
W 3-2 at Groningen+230
T 2-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+105
W 1-5 vs Cambuur+120
L 0-1 at PSV Eindhoven+1250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-420-307-325-340--340-307-287.0
RKC Waalwijk+800+738+675+725-+725+738+838.5
Draw+575+501+475+545-+545+545+558.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-375-----350-350-287.0
RKC Waalwijk+825----+825+825+838.5
Draw+540----+510+510+558.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -345 to -360
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +760 to +738

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -385 to -400
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +870 to +825

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4-110o3½-121o3½-118o3½-113-o3½-113o3½-113o3½-106
Underu4-110u3½+103u3½-102u3½-107-u3½-107u3½+103u3½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-106
Under-----u3½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.93%
Exactly 218.26%
Exactly 418.96%
Exactly 67.87%
Exactly 81.75%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.35%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 513.38%
Exactly 73.97%
Exactly 90.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.48%
Exactly 115.92%
Exactly 223.11%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 416.24%
Exactly 59.43%
Exactly 64.56%
Exactly 71.89%
Exactly 80.69%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 053.51%
Exactly 133.46%
Exactly 210.46%
Exactly 32.18%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.51%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 45.80%
Exactly 60.52%
 
Exactly 131.89%
Exactly 314.19%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 026.07%
Exactly 135.05%
Exactly 223.56%
Exactly 310.56%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 074.86%
Exactly 121.67%
Exactly 23.14%
Exactly 30.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals64.40%
Wins by 3+ goals42.63%
Wins by 4+ goals24.13%
Wins by 5+ goals11.77%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 2+ goals1.19%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.98%
Wins by 2 goals21.77%
Wins by 3 goals18.50%
Wins by 4 goals12.37%
Wins by 5 goals6.79%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 1 goal4.08%
Wins by 2 goals1.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.07%2.93%
1.586.72%13.28%
2.568.45%31.55%
3.546.96%53.04%
4.528.01%71.99%
5.514.63%85.37%
6.56.76%93.24%
7.52.79%97.21%
8.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.52%5.48%
1.578.60%21.40%
2.555.49%44.51%
3.533.12%66.88%
4.516.89%83.11%
5.57.45%92.55%
6.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals RKC Waalwijk Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.49%53.51%
1.513.03%86.97%
2.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.49%19.51%
1.548.60%51.40%
2.522.55%77.45%
3.58.36%91.64%
4.52.56%97.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Score0123
0
2.93%
1.83%
0.57%
0.12%
1
8.52%
5.33%
1.67%
0.35%
2
12.37%
7.73%
2.42%
0.50%
3
11.97%
7.48%
2.34%
0.49%
4
8.69%
5.43%
1.70%
0.35%
5
5.05%
3.16%
0.99%
0.21%
Ajax
1-08.52%
2-012.37%
2-17.73%
3-011.97%
3-17.48%
3-22.34%
4-08.69%
4-15.43%
4-21.70%
4-30.35%
5-05.05%
5-13.16%
5-20.99%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-02.93%
1-15.33%
2-22.42%
3-30.49%
RKC Waalwijk
0-11.83%
0-20.57%
1-21.67%
0-30.12%
1-30.35%
2-30.50%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Score0123
0
19.51%
5.65%
0.82%
0.08%
1
26.24%
7.60%
1.10%
0.11%
2
17.64%
5.11%
0.74%
0.07%
3
7.90%
2.29%
0.33%
0.03%
4
2.66%
0.77%
0.11%
0.01%
5
0.71%
0.21%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-026.24%
2-017.64%
2-15.11%
3-07.90%
3-12.29%
3-20.33%
4-02.66%
4-10.77%
4-20.11%
5-00.71%
5-10.21%
6-00.16%
Draw
0-019.51%
1-17.60%
2-20.74%
RKC Waalwijk
0-15.65%
0-20.82%
1-21.10%
1-30.11%
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