AZ Alkmaar at Excelsior

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

45.7%26.4%28.0%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.44Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 2

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Feyenoord+140
W 2-1 at Utrecht+130
W 4-1 at Groningen-135
W 1-2 vs Ajax+375
T 1-1 vs Twente+100
Excelsior
Money Line
L 1-7 at Ajax+2400
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen+500
L 1-0 vs Utrecht+375
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard+340
W 1-2 vs Emmen+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-147-253-260-260--260-253-
Excelsior+392+649+575+625-+625+649-
Draw+314+426+400+425-+425+426-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-250-----245-245-
Excelsior+630----+600+600-
Draw+400----+400+400-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Excelsior: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -250 to -260
Excelsior ML moved from +606 to +588

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Excelsior: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -250 to -265
Excelsior ML moved from +650 to +600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+111o3½+107o3¼-118o3¼-115-o3¼-115o3¼-115-
Underu3-131u3½-125u3¼-102u3¼-105-u3¼-105u3½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.11%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 413.45%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.38%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 56.76%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 023.61%
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 311.83%
Exactly 44.27%
Exactly 51.23%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 034.35%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 36.98%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.26%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 051.26%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 211.45%
Exactly 32.55%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 060.98%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals22.23%
Wins by 3+ goals8.51%
Wins by 4+ goals2.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals10.57%
Wins by 3+ goals3.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.38%
Wins by 2 goals13.72%
Wins by 3 goals5.90%
Wins by 4 goals1.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal17.31%
Wins by 2 goals7.52%
Wins by 3 goals2.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.89%8.11%
1.571.51%28.49%
2.545.92%54.08%
3.524.50%75.50%
4.511.04%88.96%
5.54.28%95.72%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.39%23.61%
1.542.31%57.69%
2.517.71%82.29%
3.55.87%94.13%
4.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.65%34.35%
1.528.94%71.06%
2.59.33%90.67%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.74%31.26%
1.532.40%67.60%
2.511.26%88.74%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Score01234
0
8.11%
8.67%
4.63%
1.65%
0.44%
1
11.71%
12.51%
6.68%
2.38%
0.64%
2
8.45%
9.03%
4.82%
1.72%
0.46%
3
4.07%
4.34%
2.32%
0.83%
0.22%
4
1.47%
1.57%
0.84%
0.30%
0.08%
5
0.42%
0.45%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
AZ Alkmaar
1-011.71%
2-08.45%
2-19.03%
3-04.07%
3-14.34%
3-22.32%
4-01.47%
4-11.57%
4-20.84%
4-30.30%
5-00.42%
5-10.45%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-08.11%
1-112.51%
2-24.82%
3-30.83%
Excelsior
0-18.67%
0-24.63%
1-26.68%
0-31.65%
1-32.38%
2-31.72%
0-40.44%
1-40.64%
2-40.46%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Score0123
0
31.26%
15.46%
3.82%
0.63%
1
20.89%
10.33%
2.56%
0.42%
2
6.98%
3.45%
0.85%
0.14%
3
1.55%
0.77%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.26%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-020.89%
2-06.98%
2-13.45%
3-01.55%
3-10.77%
3-20.19%
4-00.26%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-031.26%
1-110.33%
2-20.85%
Excelsior
0-115.46%
0-23.82%
1-22.56%
0-30.63%
1-30.42%
2-30.14%