Go Ahead Eag at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

16.9%21.9%61.2%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.89
3Final Score 3

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen+175
T 0-0 vs Cambuur+120
T 1-1 at Ajax+2500
W 0-2 vs Emmen+140
W 3-2 at Volendam+175
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+200
T 1-1 vs Excelsior-190
T 1-1 vs Feyenoord+435
T 0-0 at Utrecht+390
T 1-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+280+281+265+275-+275+281+297.7
NEC Nijmegen-106+107+110+104-+104+110+114.8
Draw+281+240+220+242-+242+242+253.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+295----+280+280+297.7
NEC Nijmegen-105----+100+100+114.8
Draw+250----+250+250+253.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +285 to +275
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +310 to +285
No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-131o2½+107o2¼-120o2½+102-o2½+102o2¼-120o2½+116
Underu2½+111u2½-127u2¼+100u2½-122-u2½-122u2½-122u2½-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+116
Under-----u2½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.29%
Exactly 224.07%
Exactly 415.34%
Exactly 63.91%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.41%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.48%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 041.64%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.98%
Exactly 34.67%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 015.12%
Exactly 128.56%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 316.99%
Exactly 48.03%
Exactly 53.03%
Exactly 60.96%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.79%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 39.72%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 066.66%
Exactly 127.04%
Exactly 25.48%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 041.69%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.95%
Exactly 34.65%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals5.33%
Wins by 3+ goals1.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals36.27%
Wins by 3+ goals17.40%
Wins by 4+ goals6.87%
Wins by 5+ goals2.25%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal11.53%
Wins by 2 goals4.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal24.86%
Wins by 2 goals18.87%
Wins by 3 goals10.54%
Wins by 4 goals4.61%
Wins by 5 goals1.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.71%6.29%
1.576.30%23.70%
2.552.23%47.77%
3.530.04%69.96%
4.514.70%85.30%
5.56.21%93.79%
6.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.36%41.64%
1.521.88%78.12%
2.55.90%94.10%
3.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.88%15.12%
1.556.32%43.68%
2.529.34%70.66%
3.512.35%87.65%
4.54.32%95.68%
5.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.21%27.79%
1.536.62%63.38%
2.513.84%86.16%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.00%99.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
6.29%
11.89%
11.24%
7.08%
3.34%
1.26%
1
5.51%
10.42%
9.84%
6.20%
2.93%
1.11%
2
2.42%
4.56%
4.31%
2.72%
1.28%
0.48%
3
0.71%
1.33%
1.26%
0.79%
0.37%
0.14%
4
0.15%
0.29%
0.28%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-05.51%
2-02.42%
2-14.56%
3-00.71%
3-11.33%
3-21.26%
4-00.15%
4-10.29%
4-20.28%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-06.29%
1-110.42%
2-24.31%
3-30.79%
NEC Nijmegen
0-111.89%
0-211.24%
1-29.84%
0-37.08%
1-36.20%
2-32.72%
0-43.34%
1-42.93%
2-41.28%
3-40.37%
0-51.26%
1-51.11%
2-50.48%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
27.79%
24.31%
10.63%
3.10%
0.68%
0.12%
1
11.27%
9.86%
4.31%
1.26%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.29%
2.00%
0.87%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.31%
0.27%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-011.27%
2-02.29%
2-12.00%
3-00.31%
3-10.27%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.79%
1-19.86%
2-20.87%
NEC Nijmegen
0-124.31%
0-210.63%
1-24.31%
0-33.10%
1-31.26%
2-30.26%
0-40.68%
1-40.28%
0-50.12%
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