Excelsior at ADO Den Haag

Updated

Excelsior

34.8%28.5%36.7%
Excelsior WinDrawADO Den Haag Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.16
2Final Score 1

ADO Den Haag

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 0-4 at Feyenoord+700
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo-140
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+125
T 2-2 at Ajax+700
W 0-4 vs Volendam-140
ADO Den Haag
Money Line
L 2-3 at Twente+400
L 4-1 vs Willem II+250
W 1-0 at Zwolle+305
W 2-3 vs Feyenoord+725
L 3-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+186+158+185+153+151+153+158+165.7
ADO Den Haag+141+166+125+165+162+165+166+178.4
Draw+262+260+280+260+251+260+280+278.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+190----+155+155+165.7
ADO Den Haag+140----+160+160+178.4
Draw+245----+260+260+278.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +161 to +151
ADO Den Haag ML moved from +150 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +165 to +155
No Steam Moves On ADO Den Haag ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3-102o3-102o3-104o3-104o3-104o3-102o3+105
Underu3-126u3-116u3-118u3-116u3-118u3-116u3-116u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+105
Under-----u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.24%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.51%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.34%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 55.24%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 032.64%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 37.64%
Exactly 42.14%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - ADO Den Haag
Exactly 031.38%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.82%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 059.55%
Exactly 130.87%
Exactly 28.00%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - ADO Den Haag
Exactly 058.47%
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 28.42%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals13.96%
Wins by 3+ goals4.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
ADO Den Haag
Wins by 2+ goals15.26%
Wins by 3+ goals4.88%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
ADO Den Haag
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal20.70%
Wins by 2 goals9.69%
Wins by 3 goals3.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
ADO Den Haag
Wins by 1 goal21.43%
Wins by 2 goals10.38%
Wins by 3 goals3.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.76%10.24%
1.566.42%33.58%
2.539.83%60.17%
3.519.63%80.37%
4.58.13%91.87%
5.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.36%32.64%
1.530.82%69.18%
2.510.36%89.64%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals ADO Den Haag Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.62%31.38%
1.532.25%67.75%
2.511.17%88.83%
3.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.18%34.82%
1.528.45%71.55%
2.59.07%90.93%
3.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
ADO Den Haag
Score012345
0
10.24%
11.87%
6.88%
2.66%
0.77%
0.18%
1
11.47%
13.29%
7.70%
2.98%
0.86%
0.20%
2
6.42%
7.44%
4.31%
1.67%
0.48%
0.11%
3
2.40%
2.78%
1.61%
0.62%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.67%
0.78%
0.45%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-011.47%
2-06.42%
2-17.44%
3-02.40%
3-12.78%
3-21.61%
4-00.67%
4-10.78%
4-20.45%
4-30.17%
5-00.15%
5-10.17%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-010.24%
1-113.29%
2-24.31%
3-30.62%
ADO Den Haag
0-111.87%
0-26.88%
1-27.70%
0-32.66%
1-32.98%
2-31.67%
0-40.77%
1-40.86%
2-40.48%
3-40.18%
0-50.18%
1-50.20%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
ADO Den Haag
Score01234
0
34.82%
18.68%
5.01%
0.90%
0.12%
1
18.05%
9.69%
2.60%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.68%
2.51%
0.67%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.81%
0.43%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-018.05%
2-04.68%
2-12.51%
3-00.81%
3-10.43%
3-20.12%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-034.82%
1-19.69%
2-20.67%
ADO Den Haag
0-118.68%
0-25.01%
1-22.60%
0-30.90%
1-30.46%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%