Excelsior at ADO Den Haag

Updated

Excelsior

34.8%28.5%36.7%
Excelsior WinDrawADO Den Haag Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.16
2Final Score 1

ADO Den Haag

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 0-4 at Feyenoord+700
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo-140
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+125
T 2-2 at Ajax+700
W 0-4 vs Volendam-140
ADO Den Haag
Money Line
L 2-3 at Twente+400
L 4-1 vs Willem II+250
W 1-0 at Zwolle+305
W 2-3 vs Feyenoord+725
L 3-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+186+158+185+153+151+153+158+165.7
ADO Den Haag+141+166+125+165+162+165+166+178.4
Draw+262+260+280+260+251+260+280+278.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+190----+155+155+165.7
ADO Den Haag+140----+160+160+178.4
Draw+245----+260+260+278.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +161 to +151
ADO Den Haag ML moved from +150 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
ADO Den Haag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +165 to +155
No Steam Moves On ADO Den Haag ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3-102o3-102o3-104o3-104o3-104o3-102o3+105
Underu3-126u3-116u3-118u3-116u3-118u3-116u3-116u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+105
Under-----u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.24%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.51%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.34%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 55.24%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 032.64%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 37.64%
Exactly 42.14%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - ADO Den Haag
Exactly 031.38%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.82%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 059.55%
Exactly 130.87%
Exactly 28.00%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - ADO Den Haag
Exactly 058.47%
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 28.42%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals13.96%
Wins by 3+ goals4.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
ADO Den Haag
Wins by 2+ goals15.26%
Wins by 3+ goals4.88%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
ADO Den Haag
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal20.70%
Wins by 2 goals9.69%
Wins by 3 goals3.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
ADO Den Haag
Wins by 1 goal21.43%
Wins by 2 goals10.38%
Wins by 3 goals3.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.76%10.24%
1.566.42%33.58%
2.539.83%60.17%
3.519.63%80.37%
4.58.13%91.87%
5.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.36%32.64%
1.530.82%69.18%
2.510.36%89.64%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals ADO Den Haag Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.62%31.38%
1.532.25%67.75%
2.511.17%88.83%
3.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.18%34.82%
1.528.45%71.55%
2.59.07%90.93%
3.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
ADO Den Haag
Score012345
0
10.24%
11.87%
6.88%
2.66%
0.77%
0.18%
1
11.47%
13.29%
7.70%
2.98%
0.86%
0.20%
2
6.42%
7.44%
4.31%
1.67%
0.48%
0.11%
3
2.40%
2.78%
1.61%
0.62%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.67%
0.78%
0.45%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-011.47%
2-06.42%
2-17.44%
3-02.40%
3-12.78%
3-21.61%
4-00.67%
4-10.78%
4-20.45%
4-30.17%
5-00.15%
5-10.17%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-010.24%
1-113.29%
2-24.31%
3-30.62%
ADO Den Haag
0-111.87%
0-26.88%
1-27.70%
0-32.66%
1-32.98%
2-31.67%
0-40.77%
1-40.86%
2-40.48%
3-40.18%
0-50.18%
1-50.20%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
ADO Den Haag
Score01234
0
34.82%
18.68%
5.01%
0.90%
0.12%
1
18.05%
9.69%
2.60%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.68%
2.51%
0.67%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.81%
0.43%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-018.05%
2-04.68%
2-12.51%
3-00.81%
3-10.43%
3-20.12%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-034.82%
1-19.69%
2-20.67%
ADO Den Haag
0-118.68%
0-25.01%
1-22.60%
0-30.90%
1-30.46%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%
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