Utrecht at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Utrecht

34.9%27.5%37.6%
Utrecht WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.24
2Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-235
W 4-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+155
L 2-0 vs Feyenoord+295
W 1-0 at Groningen+115
W 2-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-280
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 3-0 at RKC Waalwijk-115
W 0-6 vs Groningen-115
L 0-1 at Almere City+140
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen+115
L 0-1 at NAC Breda+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+179+223+215+215+220+215+223+230.8
NEC Nijmegen+157+127+125+128+120+128+128+139.4
Draw+241+246+220+240+242+240+246+257.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+170----+200+200+230.8
NEC Nijmegen+160----+140+140+139.4
Draw+240----+235+235+257.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +220 to +210
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +140 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +160 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-119o2½-121o2½-118o2½-113o2½-114o2½-113o2½-113o2½-103
Underu2½+101u2½+103u2½-102u2½-107u2½-106u2½-107u2½+103u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.94%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 412.67%
Exactly 62.46%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.58%
Exactly 320.98%
Exactly 56.12%
Exactly 70.85%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 030.75%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.38%
Exactly 38.40%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 029.06%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 222.19%
Exactly 39.14%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.69%
Exactly 220.44%
Exactly 42.13%
 
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 37.62%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 057.93%
Exactly 131.63%
Exactly 28.63%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 056.43%
Exactly 132.29%
Exactly 29.24%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals14.51%
Wins by 3+ goals4.67%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals16.27%
Wins by 3+ goals5.46%
Wins by 4+ goals1.46%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal20.32%
Wins by 2 goals9.84%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal21.30%
Wins by 2 goals10.81%
Wins by 3 goals4.00%
Wins by 4 goals1.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.06%8.94%
1.569.48%30.52%
2.543.42%56.58%
3.522.44%77.56%
4.59.78%90.22%
5.53.66%96.34%
6.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.25%30.75%
1.532.98%67.02%
2.511.60%88.40%
3.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.94%29.06%
1.535.03%64.97%
2.512.84%87.16%
3.53.70%96.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.31%32.69%
1.530.76%69.24%
2.510.33%89.67%
3.52.71%97.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
8.94%
11.04%
6.82%
2.81%
0.87%
0.21%
1
10.54%
13.02%
8.05%
3.32%
1.02%
0.25%
2
6.21%
7.68%
4.74%
1.95%
0.60%
0.15%
3
2.44%
3.02%
1.87%
0.77%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.72%
0.89%
0.55%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.21%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-010.54%
2-06.21%
2-17.68%
3-02.44%
3-13.02%
3-21.87%
4-00.72%
4-10.89%
4-20.55%
4-30.23%
5-00.17%
5-10.21%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.94%
1-113.02%
2-24.74%
3-30.77%
NEC Nijmegen
0-111.04%
0-26.82%
1-28.05%
0-32.81%
1-33.32%
2-31.95%
0-40.87%
1-41.02%
2-40.60%
3-40.24%
0-50.21%
1-50.25%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
32.69%
18.70%
5.35%
1.02%
0.15%
1
17.85%
10.21%
2.92%
0.56%
0.08%
2
4.87%
2.79%
0.80%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.89%
0.51%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-017.85%
2-04.87%
2-12.79%
3-00.89%
3-10.51%
3-20.15%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-032.69%
1-110.21%
2-20.80%
NEC Nijmegen
0-118.70%
0-25.35%
1-22.92%
0-31.02%
1-30.56%
2-30.15%
0-40.15%
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