Almere City at NAC Breda

Updated

Almere City

23.2%22.7%54.1%
Almere City WinDrawNAC Breda Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.85
0Final Score 1

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

Almere City
Money Line
L 0-3 at Go Ahead Eagles+600
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+770
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk+160
W 0-1 vs NEC Nijmegen+185
T 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+415
NAC Breda
Money Line
T 2-2 at Willem II+245
L 3-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+900
L 0-2 at Heracles Almelo+235
W 1-4 vs RKC Waalwijk-145
W 2-1 at Zwolle+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+188+485+460+460+482+460+485+490.3
NAC Breda+137-161-165-167-174-167-161-145.9
Draw+269+297+280+300+295+300+300+321.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+270----+390+390+490.3
NAC Breda+100-----135-135-145.9
Draw+260----+265+265+321.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 30.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +489 to +458
NAC Breda ML moved from -161 to -167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
NAC Breda: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 10.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +280 to +265
NAC Breda ML moved from -115 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-104o2½-115o2½-115o2½-118o2½-114o2½-118o2½-114o2½-107
Underu2½-113u2½-102u2½-105u2½-102u2½-106u2½-102u2½-102u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-107
Under-----u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-119 to o2½-101
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.2%
 
No42.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.05%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 416.72%
Exactly 64.96%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.09%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.98%
Exactly 72.12%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 032.12%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.71%
Exactly 37.84%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 015.74%
Exactly 129.10%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 316.59%
Exactly 47.67%
Exactly 52.84%
Exactly 60.87%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.11%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 311.05%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 059.11%
Exactly 131.08%
Exactly 28.17%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 042.48%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.57%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals8.82%
Wins by 3+ goals2.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals30.72%
Wins by 3+ goals14.20%
Wins by 4+ goals5.41%
Wins by 5+ goals1.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Almere City
NAC Breda
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal14.28%
Wins by 2 goals6.22%
Wins by 3 goals2.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal23.27%
Wins by 2 goals16.52%
Wins by 3 goals8.79%
Wins by 4 goals3.70%
Wins by 5 goals1.28%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.95%5.05%
1.579.86%20.14%
2.557.34%42.66%
3.534.94%65.06%
4.518.22%81.78%
5.58.24%91.76%
6.53.27%96.73%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.88%32.12%
1.531.40%68.60%
2.510.69%89.31%
3.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.26%15.74%
1.555.17%44.83%
2.528.26%71.74%
3.511.67%88.33%
4.54.01%95.99%
5.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.89%25.11%
1.540.19%59.81%
2.516.22%83.78%
3.55.17%94.83%
4.51.36%98.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almere City
NAC Breda
Score012345
0
5.05%
9.35%
8.64%
5.33%
2.46%
0.91%
1
5.74%
10.61%
9.81%
6.05%
2.80%
1.03%
2
3.26%
6.03%
5.57%
3.44%
1.59%
0.59%
3
1.23%
2.28%
2.11%
1.30%
0.60%
0.22%
4
0.35%
0.65%
0.60%
0.37%
0.17%
0.06%
Almere City
1-05.74%
2-03.26%
2-16.03%
3-01.23%
3-12.28%
3-22.11%
4-00.35%
4-10.65%
4-20.60%
4-30.37%
Draw
0-05.05%
1-110.61%
2-25.57%
3-31.30%
4-40.17%
NAC Breda
0-19.35%
0-28.64%
1-29.81%
0-35.33%
1-36.05%
2-33.44%
0-42.46%
1-42.80%
2-41.59%
3-40.60%
0-50.91%
1-51.03%
2-50.59%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Almere City
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
25.11%
21.50%
9.20%
2.63%
0.56%
1
13.20%
11.30%
4.84%
1.38%
0.30%
2
3.47%
2.97%
1.27%
0.36%
0.08%
3
0.61%
0.52%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
Almere City
1-013.20%
2-03.47%
2-12.97%
3-00.61%
3-10.52%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-025.11%
1-111.30%
2-21.27%
NAC Breda
0-121.50%
0-29.20%
1-24.84%
0-32.63%
1-31.38%
2-30.36%
0-40.56%
1-40.30%
RKC Waalwijk at Heerenveen
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