NAC Breda at Willem II

Updated

NAC Breda

26.4%23.0%50.6%
NAC Breda WinDrawWillem II Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.81
2Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
L 3-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+900
L 0-2 at Heracles Almelo+235
W 1-4 vs RKC Waalwijk-145
W 2-1 at Zwolle+285
W 0-1 vs NEC Nijmegen+190
Willem II
Money Line
W 2-1 at AZ Alkmaar+500
L 1-0 vs Twente+455
L 0-1 at Ajax+700
T 0-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+120
W 1-0 at Almere City+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+282+223+230+230+225+230+230+247.1
Willem II+108+145+125+144+137+144+145+156.7
Draw+236+210+215+195+204+195+215+210.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+310----+245+245+247.1
Willem II+100----+130+130+156.7
Draw+225----+205+205+210.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Willem II: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +229 to +223
Willem II ML moved from +135 to +126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Willem II: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 20.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +255 to +245
No Steam Moves On Willem II ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+121o2-138o2¼+105o2-128o2-127o2-128o2-127o2-117
Underu2½-142u2+117u2¼-125u2+108u2+105u2+108u2¼-125u2+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-117
Under-----u2+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.8%
 
No40.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.65%
Exactly 221.89%
Exactly 417.17%
Exactly 65.39%
Exactly 80.91%
 
Exactly 114.26%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.54%
Exactly 72.36%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 028.54%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 222.43%
Exactly 39.38%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 016.29%
Exactly 129.56%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 316.23%
Exactly 47.36%
Exactly 52.67%
Exactly 60.81%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.15%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 311.55%
Exactly 51.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 055.96%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 29.43%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 043.16%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 215.24%
Exactly 34.27%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals10.89%
Wins by 3+ goals3.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals28.06%
Wins by 3+ goals12.67%
Wins by 4+ goals4.72%
Wins by 5+ goals1.46%
Wins by 6+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal15.51%
Wins by 2 goals7.34%
Wins by 3 goals2.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal22.45%
Wins by 2 goals15.39%
Wins by 3 goals7.95%
Wins by 4 goals3.26%
Wins by 5 goals1.10%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.35%4.65%
1.581.09%18.91%
2.559.20%40.80%
3.536.82%63.18%
4.519.64%80.36%
5.59.10%90.90%
6.53.71%96.29%
7.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.46%28.54%
1.535.67%64.33%
2.513.24%86.76%
3.53.86%96.14%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.71%16.29%
1.554.16%45.84%
2.527.34%72.66%
3.511.11%88.89%
4.53.75%96.25%
5.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.85%24.15%
1.541.53%58.47%
2.517.16%82.84%
3.55.61%94.39%
4.51.51%98.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Willem II
Score012345
0
4.65%
8.44%
7.65%
4.63%
2.10%
0.76%
1
5.83%
10.58%
9.60%
5.81%
2.63%
0.96%
2
3.65%
6.63%
6.02%
3.64%
1.65%
0.60%
3
1.53%
2.77%
2.51%
1.52%
0.69%
0.25%
4
0.48%
0.87%
0.79%
0.48%
0.22%
0.08%
5
0.12%
0.22%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
NAC Breda
1-05.83%
2-03.65%
2-16.63%
3-01.53%
3-12.77%
3-22.51%
4-00.48%
4-10.87%
4-20.79%
4-30.48%
5-00.12%
5-10.22%
5-20.20%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-04.65%
1-110.58%
2-26.02%
3-31.52%
4-40.22%
Willem II
0-18.44%
0-27.65%
1-29.60%
0-34.63%
1-35.81%
2-33.64%
0-42.10%
1-42.63%
2-41.65%
3-40.69%
0-50.76%
1-50.96%
2-50.60%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Willem II
Score01234
0
24.15%
20.29%
8.53%
2.39%
0.50%
1
14.02%
11.78%
4.95%
1.39%
0.29%
2
4.07%
3.42%
1.44%
0.40%
0.08%
3
0.79%
0.66%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
4
0.11%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-014.02%
2-04.07%
2-13.42%
3-00.79%
3-10.66%
3-20.28%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-024.15%
1-111.78%
2-21.44%
Willem II
0-120.29%
0-28.53%
1-24.95%
0-32.39%
1-31.39%
2-30.40%
0-40.50%
1-40.29%
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