Willem II at Ajax

Updated

Willem II

6.4%12.1%81.5%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.85
0Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+120
W 1-0 at Almere City+180
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+800
L 2-3 at Utrecht+450
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-120
Ajax
Money Line
W 4-3 at Heracles Almelo-235
W 1-3 vs Groningen-375
W 2-0 at RKC Waalwijk-255
T 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-125
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+748+690+650+610+652+610+690+666.0
Ajax-282-248-265-270-265-270-248-209.0
Draw+443+399+370+380+390+380+399+417.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+700----+700+700+666.0
Ajax-290-----265-265-209.0
Draw+450----+400+400+417.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +620 to +610
Ajax ML moved from -250 to -265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +1400 to +700
Ajax ML moved from -500 to -550

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3+119o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-101
Underu3-102u3-140u2¾-108u2¾-109u2¾-109u2¾-109u3-140u2¾+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-101
Under-----u2¾+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-118 to u2¾-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.87%
Exactly 218.08%
Exactly 419.02%
Exactly 68.00%
Exactly 81.80%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.18%
Exactly 321.41%
Exactly 513.51%
Exactly 74.06%
Exactly 90.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 049.74%
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 212.13%
Exactly 32.82%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.76%
Exactly 116.44%
Exactly 223.46%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 415.93%
Exactly 59.09%
Exactly 64.33%
Exactly 71.76%
Exactly 80.63%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.30%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 45.89%
Exactly 60.53%
 
Exactly 131.75%
Exactly 314.32%
Exactly 51.94%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 072.38%
Exactly 123.40%
Exactly 23.78%
Exactly 30.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 026.67%
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 223.29%
Exactly 310.26%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals1.55%
Wins by 3+ goals0.27%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals61.87%
Wins by 3+ goals40.24%
Wins by 4+ goals22.37%
Wins by 5+ goals10.71%
Wins by 6+ goals4.45%
Wins by 7+ goals1.60%
Wins by 8+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal4.77%
Wins by 2 goals1.28%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.53%
Wins by 2 goals21.63%
Wins by 3 goals17.87%
Wins by 4 goals11.66%
Wins by 5 goals6.26%
Wins by 6 goals2.85%
Wins by 7 goals1.12%
Wins by 8 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.13%2.87%
1.586.96%13.04%
2.568.88%31.12%
3.547.47%52.53%
4.528.45%71.55%
5.514.94%85.06%
6.56.94%93.06%
7.52.88%97.12%
8.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.26%49.74%
1.515.52%84.48%
2.53.39%96.61%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.24%5.76%
1.577.80%22.20%
2.554.34%45.66%
3.532.02%67.98%
4.516.09%83.91%
5.56.99%93.01%
6.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.70%19.30%
1.548.94%51.06%
2.522.83%77.17%
3.58.51%91.49%
4.52.62%97.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.86%
8.18%
11.67%
11.10%
7.92%
4.52%
1
2.00%
5.71%
8.15%
7.75%
5.53%
3.16%
2
0.70%
1.99%
2.85%
2.71%
1.93%
1.10%
3
0.16%
0.46%
0.66%
0.63%
0.45%
0.26%
Willem II
1-02.00%
2-00.70%
2-11.99%
3-00.16%
3-10.46%
3-20.66%
Draw
0-02.86%
1-15.71%
2-22.85%
3-30.63%
Ajax
0-18.18%
0-211.67%
1-28.15%
0-311.10%
1-37.75%
2-32.71%
0-47.92%
1-45.53%
2-41.93%
3-40.45%
0-54.52%
1-53.16%
2-51.10%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Ajax
Score0123456
0
19.30%
25.51%
16.86%
7.43%
2.45%
0.65%
0.14%
1
6.24%
8.25%
5.45%
2.40%
0.79%
0.21%
0.05%
2
1.01%
1.33%
0.88%
0.39%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Willem II
1-06.24%
2-01.01%
2-11.33%
3-00.11%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-019.30%
1-18.25%
2-20.88%
Ajax
0-125.51%
0-216.86%
1-25.45%
0-37.43%
1-32.40%
2-30.39%
0-42.45%
1-40.79%
2-40.13%
0-50.65%
1-50.21%
0-60.14%
Heracles Almelo at Twente
Go Ahead Eag at AZ Alkmaar