Heracles Almelo at Twente

Updated

Heracles Almelo

5.1%10.9%84.1%
WinDrawTwente Win
0.61Projected Goals 2.95
0Final Score 5

Twente

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Ajax+565
L 1-4 at Go Ahead Eagles+400
W 1-2 vs Heerenveen+175
W 2-1 at NEC Nijmegen+400
T 0-0 vs Almere City+125
Twente
Money Line
T 2-2 at RKC Waalwijk-260
L 1-2 at Feyenoord+400
W 0-1 vs NAC Breda-550
W 5-0 at Almere City-220
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen-320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+855+1014+900+900+979+900+1014+982.6
Twente-323-407-420-476-455-476-407-322.5
Draw+483+579+500+540+564+540+579+592.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+950----+890+890+982.6
Twente-420-----390-390-322.5
Draw+575----+545+545+592.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Twente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +1000 to +900
Twente ML moved from -435 to -460

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Twente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +1100 to +890
Twente ML moved from -420 to -500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½+104o3¼-120o3¼-111o3¼-113o3¼-111o3¼-111o3¼-101
Underu3+106u3½-123u3¼+100u3¼-109u3¼-107u3¼-109u3½-123u3¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-101
Under-----u3¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.7%
 
No56.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.83%
Exactly 217.99%
Exactly 419.04%
Exactly 68.06%
Exactly 81.83%
Exactly 100.26%
 
Exactly 110.09%
Exactly 321.37%
Exactly 513.57%
Exactly 74.11%
Exactly 90.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 053.90%
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 210.29%
Exactly 32.12%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 05.25%
Exactly 115.48%
Exactly 222.80%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 416.49%
Exactly 59.72%
Exactly 64.77%
Exactly 72.01%
Exactly 80.74%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.20%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 45.93%
Exactly 60.54%
 
Exactly 131.69%
Exactly 314.38%
Exactly 51.96%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 075.12%
Exactly 121.49%
Exactly 23.08%
Exactly 30.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 025.56%
Exactly 134.87%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 310.81%
Exactly 43.69%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals1.12%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals65.34%
Wins by 3+ goals43.67%
Wins by 4+ goals25.00%
Wins by 5+ goals12.34%
Wins by 6+ goals5.29%
Wins by 7+ goals1.96%
Wins by 8+ goals0.61%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Twente
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal3.90%
Wins by 2 goals0.94%
Wins by 3 goals0.16%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal18.63%
Wins by 2 goals21.67%
Wins by 3 goals18.67%
Wins by 4 goals12.66%
Wins by 5 goals7.05%
Wins by 6 goals3.32%
Wins by 7 goals1.35%
Wins by 8 goals0.48%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.17%2.83%
1.587.07%12.93%
2.569.09%30.91%
3.547.71%52.29%
4.528.67%71.33%
5.515.10%84.90%
6.57.03%92.97%
7.52.93%97.07%
8.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.10%53.90%
1.512.79%87.21%
2.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.75%5.25%
1.579.27%20.73%
2.556.46%43.54%
3.534.07%65.93%
4.517.58%82.42%
5.57.86%92.14%
6.53.09%96.91%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.80%19.20%
1.549.11%50.89%
2.522.97%77.03%
3.58.59%91.41%
4.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Twente
Score012345
0
2.83%
8.34%
12.29%
12.07%
8.89%
5.24%
1
1.75%
5.16%
7.60%
7.46%
5.49%
3.24%
2
0.54%
1.59%
2.35%
2.31%
1.70%
1.00%
3
0.11%
0.33%
0.48%
0.47%
0.35%
0.21%
Heracles Almelo
1-01.75%
2-00.54%
2-11.59%
3-00.11%
3-10.33%
3-20.48%
Draw
0-02.83%
1-15.16%
2-22.35%
3-30.47%
Twente
0-18.34%
0-212.29%
1-27.60%
0-312.07%
1-37.46%
2-32.31%
0-48.89%
1-45.49%
2-41.70%
3-40.35%
0-55.24%
1-53.24%
2-51.00%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Twente
Score0123456
0
19.20%
26.19%
17.86%
8.12%
2.77%
0.76%
0.17%
1
5.49%
7.49%
5.11%
2.32%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.79%
1.07%
0.73%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-05.49%
2-00.79%
2-11.07%
Draw
0-019.20%
1-17.49%
2-20.73%
Twente
0-126.19%
0-217.86%
1-25.11%
0-38.12%
1-32.32%
2-30.33%
0-42.77%
1-40.79%
2-40.11%
0-50.76%
1-50.22%
0-60.17%