Ajax at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Ajax

69.4%18.1%12.4%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.25Projected Goals 0.84
4Final Score 3

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Groningen-375
W 2-0 at RKC Waalwijk-255
T 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-125
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard-325
L 1-2 at NAC Breda-225
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 1-4 at Go Ahead Eagles+400
W 1-2 vs Heerenveen+175
W 2-1 at NEC Nijmegen+400
T 0-0 vs Almere City+125
L 0-3 at Zwolle+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-244-252-275-286-277-286-252-214.6
Heracles Almelo+621+632+600+570+628+570+632+627.8
Draw+421+433+400+410+432+410+433+454.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-270-----235-235-214.6
Heracles Almelo+650----+565+565+627.8
Draw+435----+400+400+454.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -270 to -277
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +580 to +570

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +650 to +565

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-127o3-140o3¼-105o3¼-106o3¼-105o3¼-106o3¼-105o3¼+104
Underu3+108u3+119u3¼-115u3¼-114u3¼-115u3¼-114u3+119u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+104
Under-----u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.55%
Exactly 221.72%
Exactly 417.29%
Exactly 65.51%
Exactly 80.94%
 
Exactly 114.05%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.69%
Exactly 72.43%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 010.49%
Exactly 123.66%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 320.04%
Exactly 411.29%
Exactly 55.09%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 70.62%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 043.32%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.16%
Exactly 34.23%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.91%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 035.21%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.18%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 067.89%
Exactly 126.29%
Exactly 25.09%
Exactly 30.66%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals45.93%
Wins by 3+ goals25.17%
Wins by 4+ goals11.54%
Wins by 5+ goals4.48%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals3.69%
Wins by 3+ goals0.84%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.48%
Wins by 2 goals20.76%
Wins by 3 goals13.63%
Wins by 4 goals7.05%
Wins by 5 goals3.00%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal8.71%
Wins by 2 goals2.86%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.45%4.55%
1.581.40%18.60%
2.559.69%40.31%
3.537.31%62.69%
4.520.02%79.98%
5.59.34%90.66%
6.53.83%96.17%
7.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.51%10.49%
1.565.85%34.15%
2.539.18%60.82%
3.519.14%80.86%
4.57.85%92.15%
5.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.68%43.32%
1.520.44%79.56%
2.55.28%94.72%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.09%23.91%
1.541.88%58.12%
2.517.41%82.59%
3.55.73%94.27%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Heracles Almelo
Score0123
0
4.55%
3.80%
1.59%
0.44%
1
10.25%
8.57%
3.59%
1.00%
2
11.55%
9.66%
4.04%
1.13%
3
8.68%
7.26%
3.04%
0.85%
4
4.89%
4.09%
1.71%
0.48%
5
2.21%
1.85%
0.77%
0.22%
Ajax
1-010.25%
2-011.55%
2-19.66%
3-08.68%
3-17.26%
3-23.04%
4-04.89%
4-14.09%
4-21.71%
4-30.48%
5-02.21%
5-11.85%
5-20.77%
5-30.22%
Draw
0-04.55%
1-18.57%
2-24.04%
3-30.85%
Heracles Almelo
0-13.80%
0-21.59%
1-23.59%
0-30.44%
1-31.00%
2-31.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Heracles Almelo
Score0123
0
23.91%
9.26%
1.79%
0.23%
1
24.95%
9.66%
1.87%
0.24%
2
13.02%
5.04%
0.98%
0.13%
3
4.53%
1.75%
0.34%
0.04%
4
1.18%
0.46%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-024.95%
2-013.02%
2-15.04%
3-04.53%
3-11.75%
3-20.34%
4-01.18%
4-10.46%
5-00.25%
Draw
0-023.91%
1-19.66%
2-20.98%
Heracles Almelo
0-19.26%
0-21.79%
1-21.87%
0-30.23%
1-30.24%
2-30.13%