Willem II at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Willem II

9.3%15.1%75.6%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.57
2Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Twente+455
L 0-1 at Ajax+700
T 0-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+120
W 1-0 at Almere City+180
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+800
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 2-3 at Feyenoord+460
T 2-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles-145
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+225
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard-130
L 2-1 vs Utrecht-180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+675+479+460+450+485+450+485+479.2
AZ Alkmaar-229-163-170-164-178-164-163-143.9
Draw+365+303+280+300+301+300+303+321.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+700----+500+500+479.2
AZ Alkmaar-250-----175-175-143.9
Draw+375----+305+305+321.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 10.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +470 to +450
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -170 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 20.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +530 to +500
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-133o2½-112o2½-110o2½-109o2½-108o2½-109o2½-108o2½+101
Underu2½+113u2½-105u2½-110u2½-111u2½-112u2½-111u2½-105u2½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+101
Under-----u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.48%
Exactly 219.63%
Exactly 418.44%
Exactly 66.93%
Exactly 81.39%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.69%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 512.38%
Exactly 73.32%
Exactly 90.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 045.29%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.21%
Exactly 33.75%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 07.69%
Exactly 119.73%
Exactly 225.30%
Exactly 321.64%
Exactly 413.88%
Exactly 57.12%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 80.36%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.13%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 313.23%
Exactly 51.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 069.30%
Exactly 125.42%
Exactly 24.66%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 030.49%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 221.51%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals2.60%
Wins by 3+ goals0.55%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals53.92%
Wins by 3+ goals32.44%
Wins by 4+ goals16.53%
Wins by 5+ goals7.21%
Wins by 6+ goals2.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.89%
Wins by 8+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal6.69%
Wins by 2 goals2.05%
Wins by 3 goals0.46%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal21.66%
Wins by 2 goals21.48%
Wins by 3 goals15.91%
Wins by 4 goals9.31%
Wins by 5 goals4.49%
Wins by 6 goals1.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.65%
Wins by 8 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.52%3.48%
1.584.83%15.17%
2.565.20%34.80%
3.543.23%56.77%
4.524.80%75.20%
5.512.41%87.59%
6.55.49%94.51%
7.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.71%45.29%
1.518.84%81.16%
2.54.63%95.37%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.31%7.69%
1.572.58%27.42%
2.547.28%52.72%
3.525.65%74.35%
4.511.77%88.23%
5.54.65%95.35%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.87%21.13%
1.546.03%53.97%
2.520.50%79.50%
3.57.27%92.73%
4.52.13%97.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.48%
8.93%
11.46%
9.80%
6.28%
3.22%
1
2.76%
7.08%
9.08%
7.76%
4.98%
2.55%
2
1.09%
2.80%
3.60%
3.07%
1.97%
1.01%
3
0.29%
0.74%
0.95%
0.81%
0.52%
0.27%
Willem II
1-02.76%
2-01.09%
2-12.80%
3-00.29%
3-10.74%
3-20.95%
Draw
0-03.48%
1-17.08%
2-23.60%
3-30.81%
4-40.10%
AZ Alkmaar
0-18.93%
0-211.46%
1-29.08%
0-39.80%
1-37.76%
2-33.07%
0-46.28%
1-44.98%
2-41.97%
3-40.52%
0-53.22%
1-52.55%
2-51.01%
3-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
21.13%
25.10%
14.90%
5.90%
1.75%
0.42%
1
7.75%
9.20%
5.47%
2.16%
0.64%
0.15%
2
1.42%
1.69%
1.00%
0.40%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.17%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Willem II
1-07.75%
2-01.42%
2-11.69%
3-00.17%
3-10.21%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-021.13%
1-19.20%
2-21.00%
AZ Alkmaar
0-125.10%
0-214.90%
1-25.47%
0-35.90%
1-32.16%
2-30.40%
0-41.75%
1-40.64%
2-40.12%
0-50.42%
1-50.15%
Ajax at Twente
Almere City at Go Ahead Eag