NAC Breda at Heracles Almelo

Updated

NAC Breda

31.2%24.5%44.3%
NAC Breda WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.30Projected Goals 1.59
0Final Score 2

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
W 1-4 vs RKC Waalwijk-145
W 2-1 at Zwolle+285
W 0-1 vs NEC Nijmegen+190
L 0-1 at Twente+1250
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+1750
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 0-5 at Twente+890
L 4-3 vs Ajax+565
L 1-4 at Go Ahead Eagles+400
W 1-2 vs Heerenveen+175
W 2-1 at NEC Nijmegen+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+225+227+225+235+226+235+235+252.9
Heracles Almelo+119+125+120+117+118+117+125+128.6
Draw+263+245+225+240+240+240+245+258.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+195----+235+235+252.9
Heracles Almelo+135----+120+120+128.6
Draw+250----+235+235+258.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +190 to +180
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +134 to +128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NAC Breda ML
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +135 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-141o2½-112o2½-108o2½-108o2½-106o2½-108o2½-106o2½+102
Underu2½+120u2½-105u2½-112u2½-112u2½-114u2½-112u2½-105u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+102
Under-----u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.0%
 
No42.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.54%
Exactly 223.19%
Exactly 416.17%
Exactly 64.51%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.03%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.36%
Exactly 71.87%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 027.28%
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 39.96%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 020.30%
Exactly 132.37%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 313.71%
Exactly 45.47%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.20%
Exactly 223.50%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.09%
Exactly 310.49%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 054.80%
Exactly 132.96%
Exactly 29.91%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 047.80%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 213.02%
Exactly 33.20%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals13.41%
Wins by 3+ goals4.56%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals22.56%
Wins by 3+ goals9.21%
Wins by 4+ goals3.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.86%
Wins by 6+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal17.71%
Wins by 2 goals8.86%
Wins by 3 goals3.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal21.74%
Wins by 2 goals13.35%
Wins by 3 goals6.13%
Wins by 4 goals2.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.46%5.54%
1.578.43%21.57%
2.555.25%44.75%
3.532.89%67.11%
4.516.71%83.29%
5.57.35%92.65%
6.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.72%27.28%
1.537.28%62.72%
2.514.26%85.74%
3.54.30%95.70%
4.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.70%20.30%
1.547.32%52.68%
2.521.52%78.48%
3.57.80%92.20%
4.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.80%26.20%
1.538.71%61.29%
2.515.21%84.79%
3.54.71%95.29%
4.51.20%98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
5.54%
8.83%
7.04%
3.74%
1.49%
0.48%
1
7.20%
11.47%
9.15%
4.86%
1.94%
0.62%
2
4.67%
7.45%
5.94%
3.16%
1.26%
0.40%
3
2.02%
3.23%
2.57%
1.37%
0.54%
0.17%
4
0.66%
1.05%
0.84%
0.44%
0.18%
0.06%
5
0.17%
0.27%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
NAC Breda
1-07.20%
2-04.67%
2-17.45%
3-02.02%
3-13.23%
3-22.57%
4-00.66%
4-11.05%
4-20.84%
4-30.44%
5-00.17%
5-10.27%
5-20.22%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-05.54%
1-111.47%
2-25.94%
3-31.37%
4-40.18%
Heracles Almelo
0-18.83%
0-27.04%
1-29.15%
0-33.74%
1-34.86%
2-33.16%
0-41.49%
1-41.94%
2-41.26%
3-40.54%
0-50.48%
1-50.62%
2-50.40%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
26.20%
19.34%
7.14%
1.76%
0.32%
1
15.75%
11.63%
4.29%
1.06%
0.19%
2
4.74%
3.50%
1.29%
0.32%
0.06%
3
0.95%
0.70%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-015.75%
2-04.74%
2-13.50%
3-00.95%
3-10.70%
3-20.26%
4-00.14%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-026.20%
1-111.63%
2-21.29%
Heracles Almelo
0-119.34%
0-27.14%
1-24.29%
0-31.76%
1-31.06%
2-30.32%
0-40.32%
1-40.19%
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