PSV Eindhoven at Ajax

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

39.2%26.0%34.8%
PSV Eindhoven WinDrawAjax Win
1.37Projected Goals 1.29
2Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 0-6 vs Zwolle-1100
W 2-1 at AZ Alkmaar+115
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-500
W 2-0 at Willem II-340
W 3-1 at Fortuna Sittard-490
Ajax
Money Line
W 2-0 at Feyenoord+285
W 0-1 vs Willem II-265
W 4-3 at Heracles Almelo-235
W 1-3 vs Groningen-375
W 2-0 at RKC Waalwijk-255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven+109+154+150+148+149+148+154+166.5
Ajax+230+168+155+165+159+165+168+184.8
Draw+286+267+255+240+267+240+267+265.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven+125----+130+130+166.5
Ajax+200----+200+200+184.8
Draw+270----+250+250+265.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +125 to +115
Ajax ML moved from +165 to +155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Ajax: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On PSV Eindhoven ML
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-124o3¼+102o3-113o3-114o3-113o3-113o3-103
Underu3+107u3+105u3¼-122u3-107u3-106u3-107u3¼-122u3+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-103
Under-----u3+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-108 to o3¼+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.96%
Exactly 224.72%
Exactly 414.62%
Exactly 63.46%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.56%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 57.79%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 025.18%
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 311.01%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 027.66%
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 39.79%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.12%
Exactly 222.16%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 39.11%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 052.81%
Exactly 133.72%
Exactly 210.77%
Exactly 32.29%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 055.15%
Exactly 132.82%
Exactly 29.76%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals18.09%
Wins by 3+ goals6.58%
Wins by 4+ goals1.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals15.19%
Wins by 3+ goals5.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.42%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal21.04%
Wins by 2 goals11.51%
Wins by 3 goals4.66%
Wins by 4 goals1.48%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.61%
Wins by 2 goals10.00%
Wins by 3 goals3.77%
Wins by 4 goals1.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.04%6.96%
1.574.48%25.52%
2.549.76%50.24%
3.527.81%72.19%
4.513.18%86.82%
5.55.39%94.61%
6.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.82%25.18%
1.540.10%59.90%
2.516.15%83.85%
3.55.14%94.86%
4.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.34%27.66%
1.536.79%63.21%
2.513.95%86.05%
3.54.16%95.84%
4.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.88%29.12%
1.534.95%65.05%
2.512.79%87.21%
3.53.68%96.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Score012345
0
6.96%
8.95%
5.75%
2.46%
0.79%
0.20%
1
9.60%
12.34%
7.93%
3.40%
1.09%
0.28%
2
6.62%
8.51%
5.47%
2.34%
0.75%
0.19%
3
3.04%
3.91%
2.51%
1.08%
0.35%
0.09%
4
1.05%
1.35%
0.87%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.29%
0.37%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
PSV Eindhoven
1-09.60%
2-06.62%
2-18.51%
3-03.04%
3-13.91%
3-22.51%
4-01.05%
4-11.35%
4-20.87%
4-30.37%
5-00.29%
5-10.37%
5-20.24%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-06.96%
1-112.34%
2-25.47%
3-31.08%
4-40.12%
Ajax
0-18.95%
0-25.75%
1-27.93%
0-32.46%
1-33.40%
2-32.34%
0-40.79%
1-41.09%
2-40.75%
3-40.35%
0-50.20%
1-50.28%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Score01234
0
29.12%
17.33%
5.16%
1.02%
0.15%
1
18.60%
11.07%
3.29%
0.65%
0.10%
2
5.94%
3.53%
1.05%
0.21%
0.03%
3
1.26%
0.75%
0.22%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.20%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-018.60%
2-05.94%
2-13.53%
3-01.26%
3-10.75%
3-20.22%
4-00.20%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-029.12%
1-111.07%
2-21.05%
Ajax
0-117.33%
0-25.16%
1-23.29%
0-31.02%
1-30.65%
2-30.21%
0-40.15%