NEC Nijmegen at Vitesse

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

22.4%24.3%53.4%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawVitesse Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.67
0Final Score 0

Vitesse

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Ajax+530
W 1-6 vs RKC Waalwijk+115
W 1-0 at Cambuur+165
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1000
T 3-3 vs Go Ahead Eagles+100
Vitesse
Money Line
T 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar+475
T 2-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+205
T 2-2 at Ajax+1450
L 4-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+110
W 1-2 vs Emmen-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+255+231+240+230+235+230+240+245.3
Vitesse+100+126+110+118+126+118+126+133.0
Draw+250+238+245+245+245+245+245+255.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+225----+245+245+245.3
Vitesse+115----+110+110+133.0
Draw+260----+250+250+255.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Vitesse: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +237 to +231
Vitesse ML moved from +115 to +108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Vitesse: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +240 to +225
No Steam Moves On Vitesse ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o2½-106o2½-105o2½-104-o2½-104o2½-104o3+175
Underu3-108u2½-112u2½-115u2½-116-u2½-116u2½-112u3-175
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+175
Under-----u3-175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.94%
Exactly 224.70%
Exactly 414.64%
Exactly 63.47%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.52%
Exactly 321.96%
Exactly 57.81%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 037.06%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.26%
Exactly 36.04%
Exactly 41.50%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 018.74%
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 314.67%
Exactly 46.14%
Exactly 52.06%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.08%
Exactly 222.18%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 39.13%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 063.16%
Exactly 129.02%
Exactly 26.67%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 046.05%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 213.84%
Exactly 33.58%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals7.86%
Wins by 3+ goals2.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals28.95%
Wins by 3+ goals12.57%
Wins by 4+ goals4.46%
Wins by 5+ goals1.31%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal14.45%
Wins by 2 goals5.75%
Wins by 3 goals1.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal24.38%
Wins by 2 goals16.39%
Wins by 3 goals8.11%
Wins by 4 goals3.15%
Wins by 5 goals1.00%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.06%6.94%
1.574.53%25.47%
2.549.83%50.17%
3.527.87%72.13%
4.513.23%86.77%
5.55.41%94.59%
6.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.94%37.06%
1.526.15%73.85%
2.57.89%92.11%
3.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.26%18.74%
1.549.89%50.11%
2.523.61%76.39%
3.58.94%91.06%
4.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.92%29.08%
1.535.00%65.00%
2.512.82%87.18%
3.53.69%96.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse
Score012345
0
6.94%
11.63%
9.74%
5.44%
2.28%
0.76%
1
6.89%
11.54%
9.67%
5.40%
2.26%
0.76%
2
3.42%
5.73%
4.80%
2.68%
1.12%
0.38%
3
1.13%
1.90%
1.59%
0.89%
0.37%
0.12%
4
0.28%
0.47%
0.39%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
NEC Nijmegen
1-06.89%
2-03.42%
2-15.73%
3-01.13%
3-11.90%
3-21.59%
4-00.28%
4-10.47%
4-20.39%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.94%
1-111.54%
2-24.80%
3-30.89%
Vitesse
0-111.63%
0-29.74%
1-29.67%
0-35.44%
1-35.40%
2-32.68%
0-42.28%
1-42.26%
2-41.12%
3-40.37%
0-50.76%
1-50.76%
2-50.38%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse
Score01234
0
29.08%
22.55%
8.74%
2.26%
0.44%
1
13.37%
10.36%
4.02%
1.04%
0.20%
2
3.07%
2.38%
0.92%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.47%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-013.37%
2-03.07%
2-12.38%
3-00.47%
3-10.36%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.08%
1-110.36%
2-20.92%
Vitesse
0-122.55%
0-28.74%
1-24.02%
0-32.26%
1-31.04%
2-30.24%
0-40.44%
1-40.20%
Twente at Ajax
Utrecht at Go Ahead Eag