Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Games for May 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Fortuna Sittard
Almere City
31.3%
41.5%
27.2%
+329
-115

1
1
-1.36956-1.30111
Ajax
Groningen
61.2%
17.6%
21.2%
-158
+446

2
2
-1.45899-1.55051
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
16.2%
64.6%
19.1%
+611
-222

0
3
-0.41127-0.43637
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
18.7%
59.5%
21.7%
+321
-114

1
1
-1.36783-1.52592
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
28.9%
45.5%
25.6%
+173
+163

3
2
-1.02460-1.24109
Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
3.0%
90.1%
6.9%
+2336
-1223

1
4
-0.11780-0.10415
RKC Waalwijk
Feyenoord
6.3%
81.6%
12.1%
+1400
-555

0
2
-0.19419-0.20330
Heerenveen
Go Ahead Eagles
20.1%
57.7%
22.2%
+180
+140

0
1
-0.90523-0.55002
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
10.8%
72.6%
16.6%
+1130
-436

3
0
-2.54849-2.22239
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
10.1%
73.5%
16.4%
+375
-122

0
3
-0.61696-0.30821
Utrecht
Twente
20.5%
57.1%
22.4%
+325
-118

0
2
-0.64819-0.56037
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
52.1%
24.8%
23.1%
+120
+209

3
2
-0.81744-0.65266
Go Ahead Eagles
Zwolle
40.8%
32.6%
26.5%
+176
+139

1
1
-1.40703-1.32716
Sparta Rotterdam
Almere City
41.6%
30.8%
27.6%
+151
+169

3
0
-0.95920-0.87753
NAC Breda
Fortuna Sittard
28.8%
47.8%
23.4%
+364
-124

0
1
-0.63068-0.73819
Heerenveen
RKC Waalwijk
36.5%
36.2%
27.2%
+106
+230

1
3
-1.23169-1.01490
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.