NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 21, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2)
Cleveland Browns (2-8)
Russell Wilson
Jameis Winston
65.3%
34.7%
-190
+165
-185
+175
-3½-107
+3½-108
-4+100
+3½-108
21.4
17.2
38.6
o36½-113
u37-108
o36½-110
u37-110
Games for Nov 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Texans
Dallas Cowboys
75.6%
24.4%
-330
+290
-340
+315
-7-107
+7-103
-7-108
+7+100
34
10
-0.28827-0.27143-0.28028
Cincinnati Bengals
Los Angeles Chargers
45.5%
54.5%
+100
-115
+104
-108
+1-101
-1-105
+1½-110
+0-108
27
34
-0.66000-0.66479-0.60759
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
51.1%
48.9%
+140
-152
+140
-150
+2½+107
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-110
21
30
-0.52520-0.52736-0.71480
Atlanta Falcons
Denver Broncos
49.5%
50.5%
+115
-130
+115
-130
+2-105
-1½-113
+2-108
-2-108
6
38
-0.60042-0.60042-0.68330
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
23.3%
76.7%
+225
-260
+245
-275
+5½+100
-6+100
+6-108
-6-108
20
17
-1.20815-1.26128-1.45672
Indianapolis Colts
New York Jets
30.3%
69.7%
+180
-205
+185
-200
+4-105
-4-108
+4-105
-4-110
28
27
-1.05849-1.06470-1.19488
Minnesota Vikings
Tennessee Titans
76.7%
23.3%
-260
+225
-260
+229
-6-108
+6-108
-6-108
+6-108
23
13
-0.35489-0.35126-0.26584
Jacksonville Jaguars
Detroit Lions
6.9%
93.1%
+660
-890
+750
-900
+14-108
-14-105
+14-110
-13½-108
6
52
-0.13660-0.12286-0.07125
Las Vegas Raiders
Miami Dolphins
16.1%
83.9%
+335
-400
+350
-390
+8-105
-8-108
+8-108
-7½-110
19
34
-0.25260-0.24623-0.17546
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
67.5%
32.5%
-170
+160
-170
+160
-3½+105
+3+105
-3-110
+3½-110
16
18
-0.96964-0.96964-1.12541
Los Angeles Rams
New England Patriots
68.8%
31.2%
-200
+177
-190
+184
-4-108
+4-108
-4-108
+4½-110
28
22
-0.43277-0.43012-0.37440
Cleveland Browns
New Orleans Saints
42.8%
57.2%
-119
+105
-115
+105
-1-108
+1+100
-1-108
+1½-110
14
35
-0.74855-0.74028-0.55779
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
74.4%
25.6%
-260
+230
-265
+235
-6-108
+6-108
-6-108
+6-108
20
19
-0.35037-0.34441-0.29637
Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles
29.8%
70.2%
+187
-210
+200
-225
+4½-108
-4½-108
+4½-102
-4-110
18
26
-0.41499-0.39304-0.35418
Miami Dolphins
Los Angeles Rams
42.9%
57.1%
+120
-130
+120
-128
+2-105
-2-108
+2-108
-2½+100
23
15
-0.80802-0.80428-0.84609
Detroit Lions
Houston Texans
63.8%
36.2%
-210
+190
-204
+195
-4-103
+4-110
-4-105
+4+100
26
23
-0.41146-0.40889-0.44945
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57150 
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57056 
DRatings1410-4 (0.714)0-0.58273
-0.01124
-0.01218

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.