NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 25, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Chiefs (13-1)
Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4)
Patrick Mahomes
Russell Wilson
56.7%
43.3%
-150
+140
-150
+140
-3+102
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-110
22.7
20.1
42.8
o43½-108
u44-105
o43½-110
u44-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (9-5)
Houston Texans (9-5)
Lamar Jackson
C.J. Stroud
58.0%
42.0%
-225
+205
-222
+210
-5½-108
+5½-105
-5-110
+5½-108
26.2
23.2
49.4
o46½-108
u46½-108
o46½-110
u47-110
Games for Dec 24, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New Orleans Saints (5-9)
Green Bay Packers (10-4)
9.5%
90.5%
+950
-1065
+900
-1300
+14-105
-14-108
+14-108
-14-108
43.2
o43½-108
u43½-108
o43½-110
u44-110
4th Q
05:56
0
27

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys
67.7%
32.3%
-220
+200
-220
+200
-4½-103
+4½-110
-4½-108
+4½-108
24
26
-1.11923-1.11923-1.13131
Jacksonville Jaguars
Las Vegas Raiders
49.6%
50.4%
+120
-135
+125
-136
+2½-108
-2½-105
+2½-105
-2½-108
14
19
-0.58291-0.57167-0.68456
San Francisco 49ers
Miami Dolphins
52.2%
47.8%
-125
+115
-118
+110
-1½-108
+2-110
-1-110
+2-110
17
29
-0.78592-0.75927-0.73716
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
5.4%
94.6%
+825
-1045
+875
-950
+14-105
-14-105
+14½-110
-14-108
21
24
-0.11195-0.10737-0.05566
Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks
60.8%
39.2%
-125
+125
-135
+125
-2-110
+2½-105
-2-110
+3-120
27
24
-0.58778-0.57304-0.49819
Los Angeles Rams
New York Jets
64.1%
35.9%
-150
+140
-155
+145
-2½-119
+3-110
-3+100
+3-110
19
9
-0.52736-0.51371-0.44510
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
33.6%
66.4%
+180
-185
+192
-200
+4-108
-4-108
+4-108
-4-108
30
38
-0.43838-0.41456-0.40893
New York Giants
Atlanta Falcons
13.3%
86.7%
+395
-450
+375
-450
+9½-105
-9½-106
+9½-108
-9-110
7
34
-0.22067-0.22897-0.14290
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
62.5%
37.5%
-195
+198
-230
+200
-4-108
+4-105
-4-108
+4½-110
33
36
-1.08850-1.12846-0.98214
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
70.0%
30.0%
-225
+215
-250
+230
-5½-108
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-105
30
36
-1.15712-1.21110-1.20551
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
80.9%
19.1%
-305
+275
-320
+310
-6½-113
+7-115
-6½-110
+7-110
34
17
-0.30313-0.27772-0.21178
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
31.0%
69.0%
+450
-500
+450
-540
+10-105
-10-105
+10-108
-10-105
6
24
-0.19737-0.19515-0.37125
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
24.1%
75.9%
+295
-330
+300
-345
+7-105
-7-103
+7-108
-7-108
17
34
-0.28509-0.27950-0.27562
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
46.5%
53.5%
+165
-175
+170
-180
+3+102
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
19
27
-0.46561-0.45497-0.62577
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
42.4%
57.6%
+145
-150
+150
-155
+2½+105
-2½-118
+2½+112
-2½-120
27
34
-0.51896-0.50566-0.55198
Atlanta Falcons
Las Vegas Raiders
74.2%
25.8%
-285
+260
-270
+260
-6-115
+6½-108
-6-108
+7-120
15
9
-0.31864-0.32256-0.29818
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1511-4 (0.733)0-0.55933 
Sportsbooks1511-4 (0.733)0-0.55603 
DRatings1511-4 (0.733)0-0.55519
0.00414
0.00083

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/16/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (12-2-0)14.72.30.0100.0%78.8%59.4%39.4%23.3%
2Buffalo Bills (11-3-0)13.13.90.0100.0%100.0%14.8%38.5%21.7%
3Philadelphia Eagles (12-2-0)14.12.90.0100.0%99.4%29.1%26.6%14.6%
4Kansas City Chiefs (13-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%99.2%82.2%25.9%10.7%
5Minnesota Vikings (12-2-0)13.33.70.0100.0%20.8%11.5%13.6%6.9%
6Baltimore Ravens (9-5-0)10.86.20.095.5%32.9%0.0%10.4%4.7%
7Houston Texans (9-5-0)10.26.80.091.4%88.1%0.0%8.4%3.6%
8Green Bay Packers (10-4-0)11.75.30.097.4%0.4%0.0%7.5%3.4%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4-0)11.85.20.099.9%67.1%3.0%7.1%2.7%
10Los Angeles Chargers (8-6-0)10.56.50.090.9%0.4%0.0%4.6%1.9%
11Denver Broncos (9-5-0)10.16.90.082.8%0.4%0.0%4.2%1.5%
12Seattle Seahawks (8-6-0)9.97.10.063.1%56.9%0.0%3.7%1.4%
13Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-6-0)9.57.50.076.8%74.5%0.0%3.1%1.2%
14Los Angeles Rams (8-6-0)9.37.70.041.0%32.3%0.0%2.4%0.9%
15Washington Commanders (9-5-0)10.26.80.074.6%0.6%0.0%2.1%0.9%
16San Francisco 49ers (6-8-0)8.09.00.08.9%5.3%0.0%0.5%0.3%
17Arizona Cardinals (7-7-0)8.18.90.08.7%5.5%0.0%0.5%0.1%
18Atlanta Falcons (7-7-0)8.58.50.027.3%23.3%0.0%0.5%0.1%
19Miami Dolphins (6-8-0)7.99.10.012.1%0.0%0.0%0.4%0.1%
20Indianapolis Colts (6-8-0)8.48.60.024.9%11.9%0.0%0.4%0.1%
21Cincinnati Bengals (6-8-0)7.19.90.02.5%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (5-9-0)6.610.40.02.2%2.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Jets (4-10-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Chicago Bears (4-10-0)4.912.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cleveland Browns (3-11-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Jacksonville Jaguars (3-11-0)4.912.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27New York Giants (2-12-0)2.714.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Tennessee Titans (3-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Dallas Cowboys (6-8-0)6.310.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-11-0)3.813.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Carolina Panthers (3-11-0)4.412.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.