Denver at Buffalo

Updated

Denver Broncos

(10-7)
Rank16
P/G25.0
PA/G18.3
21.2%78.8%
Denver WinBuffalo Win
15.0Projected Points 25.3

Buffalo Bills

(13-4)
Rank3
P/G30.9
PA/G21.6
Rank16
P/G25.0
PA/G18.3
Rank3
P/G30.9
PA/G21.6

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.317222.02912

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.617220.0286

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
W 0-38 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Carson Wentz • DEN: Bo Nix-550
L 24-30 at Cincinnati BengalsDEN: Bo Nix • CIN: Joe Burrow+160
L 27-34 at Los Angeles ChargersDEN: Bo Nix • LAC: Justin Herbert+150
W 13-31 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Anthony Richardson • DEN: Bo Nix-210
W 32-41 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Jameis Winston • DEN: Bo Nix-265
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 16-23 at New England PatriotsBUF: Joe Milton • NE: Drake Maye-165
W 14-40 vs New York JetsNYJ: Aaron Rodgers • BUF: Josh Allen-500
W 21-24 vs New England PatriotsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen-950
W 48-42 at Detroit LionsBUF: Josh Allen • DET: Jared Goff+125
L 42-44 at Los Angeles RamsBUF: Josh Allen • LAR: Matthew Stafford-185

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • TFrank CrumQuestionable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBTerrel BernardProbable
  • WRAmari CooperProbable
SW 8 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)30°31°31°31°
Humidity79%78%77%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSW 8 mphSW 8 mphSW 7 mphSW 6 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+385+360+355+385+380+385+385+400.7
Buffalo-475-450-490-475-480-475-450-400.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+360+400+406+400+400+400+406+400.7
Buffalo-450-500-490-500-500-500-490-400.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver-3+100+8½-108+8½+100+9½-120+9-120+9½-120+8½+100+9½-109
Buffalo+3-120-8½-108-8½-120-9½+100-9+100-9½+100-9+100-9½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+8-110+9-110+9-110+9-110+9-110+8½-108+9-110+9½-109
Buffalo-8-110-9-110-9-110-9-110-9-110-8½-108-8½-108-9½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +9½-105 to +9½-115
Buffalo Spread moved from -9+100 to -9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +9-110 to -5-115
Buffalo Spread moved from +5-115 to -9-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o47-108o47-110o47-115o47-110o47-115o47-108o47-104
Underu44-110u47-108u47-110u47-105u47-110u47-105u47-105u47+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-104
Underu47½-110u47-110u47-110u47-110u47-110u47-110u47-110u47+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-105 to o47-110
The Under moved from u46½-105 to u47-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110
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