Tampa Bay at Indianapolis

Updated
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
60.0%40.0%
Tampa Bay WinIndianapolis Win
27.4Projected Points 24.1
38Final Score 31
Rank19
P/G21.4
PA/G22.7
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank19
P/G21.4
PA/G22.7

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.110318.0298

Carson Wentz

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.011226.0183

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 10-30 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • TB: Tom Brady-500
L 19-29 at Washington CommandersTB: Tom Brady • WAS: Taylor Heinicke-430
L 27-36 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Jameis Winston-185
W 3-38 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • TB: Tom Brady-695
W 28-22 at Philadelphia EaglesTB: Tom Brady • PHI: Jalen Hurts-290
Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
W 41-15 at Buffalo BillsIND: Carson Wentz • BUF: Josh Allen+280
W 17-23 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • IND: Carson Wentz-450
W 30-45 vs New York JetsNYJ: Mike White • IND: Carson Wentz-470
L 34-31 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • IND: Carson Wentz-150
W 30-18 at San Francisco 49ersIND: Carson Wentz • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo+155

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • DTVita VeaProbable
  • GAli MarpetDoubtful
  • WRMike EvansProbable
  • LBDevin WhiteProbable
  • CBRichard ShermanIR
  • WRAntonio BrownOut

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • DTTyquan LewisOut for Season
  • SKhari WillisIR
  • LBDarius LeonardProbable
  • CQuenton NelsonProbable
NW 11 mph
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)41°42°40°39°
Humidity51%48%47%45%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 11 mphNW 13 mphNW 14 mphNW 14 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-160-160-149-155-149-149-149-136.7
Indianapolis+140+135+129+135+129+129+135+136.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-150-140-145-155-155-150-140-136.7
Indianapolis+130+120+127+135+135+130+135+136.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-3-110-3-105-3-105-3-105-3-104-3-105-3-104-3+110
Indianapolis+3-110+3-115+3-115+3-115+3-114+3-115+3-114+3-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-2½-110-2½-110-2½-120-3-110-3-105-3+100-2½-110-3+110
Indianapolis+2½-110+2½-110+2½+100+3-110+3-115+3-120+3-115+3-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -2½-117 to -3-102
Indianapolis Spread moved from +3-105 to +3-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -2½-120 to -3-105
Indianapolis Spread moved from +3-115 to +2½+100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo52-110o53-110o53-113o53-110o53-112o53-113o53-110o53-102
Underu52-110u53-110u53-107u53-110u53-106u53-107u53-106u53+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51-110o53½-110o53-110o53-110o53-110o53-110o53-110o53-102
Underu51-110u53½-110u53-110u53-110u53-110u53-110u53½-110u53+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o53-109 to o53-112
The Under moved from u53-107 to u53-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o53-110 to o53½-110
The Under moved from u53½-110 to u53-110