Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
74.5%25.5%
Tampa Bay WinAtlanta Win
28.6Projected Points 21.1
30Final Score 17

Atlanta Falcons

(6-5)
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.611309.0309

Matt Ryan

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.511238.01611

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 38-31 at Indianapolis ColtsTB: Tom Brady • IND: Carson Wentz-140
W 10-30 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • TB: Tom Brady-500
L 19-29 at Washington CommandersTB: Tom Brady • WAS: Taylor Heinicke-430
L 27-36 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Jameis Winston-185
W 3-38 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • TB: Tom Brady-695
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 21-14 at Jacksonville JaguarsATL: Matt Ryan • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-120
L 25-0 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • ATL: Matt Ryan+270
L 3-43 at Dallas CowboysATL: Matt Ryan • DAL: Dak Prescott+310
W 27-25 at New Orleans SaintsATL: Matt Ryan • NO: Trevor Siemian+260
L 19-13 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • ATL: Matt Ryan-122

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • CBJamel DeanProbable
  • WRAntonio BrownOut
  • GAli MarpetProbable
  • SMike EdwardsOut
  • SJordan WhiteheadOut
  • GAaron StinnieIR
  • CBRichard ShermanIR
  • WRJaelon DardenOut

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • DLJonathan BullardOut
  • DBKendall SheffieldProbable
  • LBDeion JonesProbable
  • DESteven MeansIR
  • TEHayden HurstIR
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Tony Corrente
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-475-545-500-535-540-500-500-408.6
Atlanta+380+390+395+420+430+395+430+408.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-450-525-515-550-550-550-515-408.6
Atlanta+370+415+423+425+425+425+425+408.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-9½-110-11-105-11-110-12-105-10½-109-11-110-11-105-11-100
Atlanta+9½-110+11-115+11-110+12-115+10½-109+11-110+12-115+11+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-11-110-11-110-10½-110-10½-110-11-100
Atlanta+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+11-110+11-110+10½-110+11-110+11+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -12+103 to -12-105
Atlanta Spread moved from +12½-120 to +12-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -10-110 to -10½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from +11½-110 to +10½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o51-110o51-115o50½-110o51-109o51-115o50½-110o51+100
Underu50½-110u51-110u51-105u50½-110u51-109u51-105u51-105u51-100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o51-110o50½-110o50½-110o50½-110o50½-110o50½-110o51+100
Underu50½-110u51-110u50½-110u50½-110u50½-110u50½-110u51-110u51-100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o50½-115 to o51-115
The Under moved from u51-111 to u51-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o50-110 to o51-110
The Under moved from u50½-110 to u50-110
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