Miami at New England

Updated
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
44.7%55.3%
Miami WinNew England Win
21.2Projected Points 23.3
21Final Score 23
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1

Quarterbacks

Teddy Bridgewater

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.71130.033

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.612212.098

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 26-20 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-175
L 29-32 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+320
L 17-23 at Los Angeles ChargersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • LAC: Justin Herbert-165
L 17-33 at San Francisco 49ersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo+228
W 15-30 vs Houston TexansHOU: Kyle Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-850
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 22-18 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • NE: Mac Jones+141
L 24-30 at Las Vegas RaidersNE: Mac Jones • VEG: Derek Carr+125
W 27-13 at Arizona CardinalsNE: Mac Jones • ARI: Kyler Murray-130
L 24-10 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones+180
L 26-33 at Minnesota VikingsNE: Mac Jones • MIN: Kirk Cousins+130

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • TTerron ArmsteadOut
  • TEric FisherDoubtful
  • RBMyles GaskinIR
  • TLiam EichenbergProbable
  • TAustin JacksonIR
  • QBTua TagovailoaOut
  • FBAlec IngoldProbable
  • QBTeddy BridgewaterUnknown
  • LBBradley ChubbOut
  • CBXavien HowardOut
  • WRRiver CracraftProbable

New England Patriots

Status
  • DBMarcus JonesOut
  • DBJack JonesOut
  • DBCody DavisOut for Season
  • RBRhamondre StevensonProbable
  • WRTy MontgomeryOut for Season
  • WRDeVante ParkerOut
  • RBDamien HarrisProbable
  • LSJoe CardonaOut for Season
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • CBJalen MillsOut
  • OLIsaiah WynnIR
  • TEJonnu SmithOut
  • TEHunter HenryProbable
WNW 11 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)50°49°47°46°
Humidity70%69%71%73%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearMostly Cloudy
WindWNW 11 mphWNW 10 mphWNW 9 mphW 8 mph
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami-135+140+135+141+135+141+141+142.8
New England+115-160-160-161-155-161-155-142.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami-130+135+142+140+145+135+145+142.8
New England+110-155-161-160-165-155-155-142.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami-2½-110+3-108+3-110+2½+100+3-115+2½+100+3-108+3-104
New England+2½-110-3-108-3-110-2½-120-3-105-2½-120-2½-120-3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami-2-110+3-110+3-110+3-115+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-104
New England+2-110-3-110-3-110-3-105-3-110-3-110-3-110-3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 30.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
New England: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-110
New England Spread moved from +1½-110 to -2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 30.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
New England: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +3-115 to +2½-110
New England Spread moved from -2-110 to -3-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o41½-108o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-108o41½+100
Underu43½-110u41½-108u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-108u41½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½+100
Underu43-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110