NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Denver Broncos (6-5)
Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)		Bo Nix
Gardner Minshew II		71.6%
28.4%
-240
+215
-250
+216
-5½-105
+5½-105
-5½-108
+5½-108
22.8
15.7		38.5
o41½-108
u41½-105
o41-110
u42-110
Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
Seattle Seahawks (5-5)		Kyler Murray
Geno Smith		50.8%
49.2%
-120
+105
-110
+107
-1-108
+1½-110
+0-110
+1½-108
24.1
23.8		47.9
o46½-115
u47-108
o46½-110
u47-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco 49ers (5-5)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)		Brandon Allen
Jordan Love		36.3%
63.7%
+230
-260
+240
-265
+6½-115
-6-105
+6-105
-6-108
20.8
24.3		45.1
o44½-108
u44½-108
o44½-110
u44½-110
Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
Los Angeles Rams (5-5)		Jalen Hurts
Matthew Stafford		63.0%
37.0%
-150
+130
-145
+130
-3+102
+2½+105
-2½-110
+2½+100
25.0
21.4		46.4
o48½-110
u49-108
o49-110
u49-110
Games for Nov 23, 2024
Games for Nov 25, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Closing
ML		Closing
Spread		Orig. Total
Points		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Indianapolis Colts (5-6)		81.2%
18.8%
-325
+280
-320
+310
-7+100
+7-108
-7+100
+7+100
47.5
o50½+100
u50½-110
o50-110
u50½-110
2nd Q
02:00		14
6
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)
Carolina Panthers (3-7)		89.4%
10.6%
-620
+500
-650
+520
-10½-108
+11-110
-10½-108
+11-110
44.0
o43-108
u43-108
o43-110
u43-110
2nd Q
02:00		13
6
Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
Chicago Bears (4-6)		72.0%
28.0%
-150
+140
-152
+145
-3+100
+3-108
-3+100
+3-105
40.6
o39-110
u40-115
o39½-110
u39½-110
2nd Q
06:29		13
7
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Washington Commanders (7-4)		19.0%
81.0%
+460
-575
+475
-580
+11-110
-10½-108
+11-108
-11-106
47.5
o44½-105
u45-108
o44-110
u44½-110
2nd Q
06:51		0
3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6)
New York Giants (2-8)		65.1%
34.9%
-265
+227
-250
+240
-6-108
+6-108
-5½-115
+6-108
43.4
o39½-105
u40-108
o40-110
u40-110
2nd Q
02:42		17
0
New England Patriots (3-8)
Miami Dolphins (4-6)		18.1%
81.9%
+320
-380
+330
-370
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-105
-7-120
42.1
o45-105
u45½-108
o45½-110
u46-110
2nd Q
05:19		0
14
Tennessee Titans (2-8)
Houston Texans (7-4)		18.6%
81.4%
+330
-390
+340
-400
+8-108
-8-105
+8½-110
-8-108
42.3
o40½-108
u41-105
o40½-110
u41-105
2nd Q
05:18		17
14

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Vikings
Carolina Panthers		57.5%
42.5%
-205
+190
-195
+190
-4½-105
+4½-108
-4-110
+4½-110
21
13		-0.41412-0.41980-0.55309
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills		30.4%
69.6%
+137
-150
+138
-145
+3-108
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
20
48		-0.53253-0.53645-0.36266
Atlanta Falcons
Jacksonville Jaguars		46.0%
54.0%
+160
-175
+155
-165
+3+107
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-110
7
23		-0.47276-0.48848-0.61526
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers		49.7%
50.3%
-135
+120
-140
+122
-2½-108
+2½-108
-2½-110
+2½-110
34
20		-0.58291-0.57222-0.69904
Los Angeles Rams
Cincinnati Bengals		29.1%
70.9%
+150
-160
+150
-165
+3+100
-3-113
+3+100
-3-110
16
19		-0.50078-0.49617-0.34349
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		73.9%
26.1%
-255
+220
-245
+220
-5½-108
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-110
25
11		-0.36120-0.36468-0.30212
Pittsburgh Steelers
Las Vegas Raiders		47.9%
52.1%
+150
-160
+142
-155
+3-108
-3-108
+3-110
-3-105
23
18		-0.93156-0.90461-0.73599
Chicago Bears
Kansas City Chiefs		12.8%
87.2%
+609
-725
+575
-725
+12½-108
-11½-108
+12½-110
-12½-110
10
41		-0.14885-0.15579-0.13723
Dallas Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals		90.2%
9.8%
-610
+500
-625
+550
-11-110
+12½-108
-11-110
+12-110
16
28		-1.81726-1.88757-2.31892
Carolina Panthers
Seattle Seahawks		28.6%
71.4%
+185
-200
+190
-206
+4½-108
-4-105
+4½-110
-4½-110
27
37		-0.42286-0.41358-0.33690
Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens		17.4%
82.6%
+290
-360
+320
-360
+7½-108
-7-115
+7½-110
-7½-105
22
19		-1.39926-1.45556-1.74715
Atlanta Falcons
Detroit Lions		36.5%
63.5%
+155
-165
+160
-170
+3+107
-3-117
+3½-115
-3-110
6
20		-0.48848-0.47678-0.45389
Buffalo Bills
Washington Commanders		73.4%
26.6%
-218
+205
-220
+200
-5-105
+5½-108
-4½-110
+5½-110
37
3		-0.39087-0.39531-0.30948
Denver Broncos
Miami Dolphins		34.1%
65.9%
+230
-257
+235
-260
+6-108
-6-108
+6-110
-6-110
20
70		-0.35132-0.34595-0.41711
New Orleans Saints
Green Bay Packers		46.2%
53.8%
-115
+110
-120
+106
-1½-110
+2-108
-1-110
+1½-110
17
18		-0.75294-0.75313-0.61906
New England Patriots
New York Jets		51.4%
48.6%
-135
+125
-135
+120
-2½-108
+2½-108
-2½-110
+2½+100
15
10		-0.57304-0.58291-0.66614
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.72342 
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.73533 
DRatings63-3 (0.500)0-0.74898
-0.02556
-0.01365

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

Related Blog Posts

A Summary of Different No-Vig Methods

Exploring the pros and cons of each no-vig method.

Caesar’s Rewards: The Value of Tier Credits

How much is each Caesar’s Rewards status worth in terms of a dollar value?

Projected 2024 NFL Team Totals

Our NFL preview of team totals for the 2024 season.

Value in MGM Rewards: Is It Worth Pushing for Tier Credits?

How much is each MGM Rewards status worth in terms of a dollar value?

The Power of Analytics with GamedayMath

More on the partnership of DRatings and GamedayMath.

All Blog Posts