NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 25, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Ravens (7-4)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-3)		Lamar Jackson
Justin Herbert		60.6%
39.4%
-145
+130
-146
+130
-2½-113
+2½+100
-2½-115
+3-110
26.3
22.9		49.2
o50½-110
u51-108
o51-110
u51-110
Games for Nov 24, 2024
Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cleveland Browns		61.7%
38.3%
-170
+160
-165
+160
-3-118
+3+105
-3-120
+3½-110
17
23		-0.96964-0.96273-0.95951
Atlanta Falcons
Washington Commanders		33.5%
66.5%
+160
-175
+178
-185
+3½-108
-3½+100
+4-110
-3½-110
13
19		-0.47276-0.44093-0.40855
Denver Broncos
Carolina Panthers		51.5%
48.5%
-115
+103
-110
-105
-1-105
+0+103
+0-110
+1-110
10
23		-0.73516-0.70441-0.72315
Baltimore Ravens
Jacksonville Jaguars		75.8%
24.2%
-165
+150
-165
+155
-3-108
+3-105
-3-119
+3½-110
27
28		-0.93869-0.95078-1.41770
New England Patriots
Minnesota Vikings		36.4%
63.6%
+130
-138
+130
-143
+2½+100
-2½-113
+2½+100
-2½-110
26
33		-0.55953-0.55321-0.45249
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys		15.0%
85.0%
+405
-470
+425
-500
+10-108
-10-108
+10-110
-10-110
20
28		-0.21524-0.20586-0.16292
Buffalo Bills
Detroit Lions		80.6%
19.4%
-435
+375
-450
+375
-9½-108
+9½-108
-9½-110
+9½-110
28
25		-0.23026-0.22897-0.21596
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals		84.6%
15.4%
-435
+375
-426
+390
-9½-108
+10-115
-9½-110
+10-110
38
10		-0.23026-0.22473-0.16716
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers		75.6%
24.4%
-220
+200
-220
+200
-4½-110
+5½-108
-4½-110
+5-110
30
27		-0.39531-0.39531-0.28018
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers		70.1%
29.9%
-175
+160
-175
+170
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½+100
+3½-105
37
30		-0.47276-0.45869-0.35518
Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota Vikings		42.4%
57.6%
-130
+120
-130
+125
-2-108
+2-105
-2-110
+2½-110
40
3		-0.59012-0.58016-0.85873
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos		44.4%
55.6%
+125
-140
+131
-145
+2½+102
-3+100
+2½-101
-2½-110
22
16		-0.83833-0.86168-0.81204
Cleveland Browns
Buffalo Bills		18.3%
81.7%
+315
-350
+301
-350
+7½-108
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-110
23
31		-0.26988-0.27811-0.20196
Chicago Bears
Atlanta Falcons		39.1%
60.9%
+110
-128
+120
-130
+2½-108
-2-109
+2½-101
-2-110
24
27		-0.61423-0.59012-0.49599
Los Angeles Rams
New Orleans Saints		48.2%
51.8%
+115
-130
+120
-135
+2½-108
-1-123
+2½-110
-2-110
20
27		-0.60042-0.58291-0.65867
Detroit Lions
New York Giants		37.9%
62.1%
+150
-162
+150
-160
+3+100
-3-108
+3-101
-3-110
31
18		-0.93445-0.93156-0.96956
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.62880 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.62845 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.58573
0.04307
0.04272

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

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