NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.1%
88.9%
+430
-525
+435
-500
+10-108
-10-101
+10-108
-10-108
14.0
31.5
45.5
o48-108
u48½-105
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
42.3%
57.7%
+175
-190
+175
-185
+3½-108
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-108
20.7
23.5
44.2
o37-108
u37½-110
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.6%
63.4%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+3½-113
-3-115
+3½-110
-3-115
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47-105
u47-108
o47-110
u47-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tennessee Titans
New England Patriots
37.1%
62.9%
+260
-305
+280
-300
+9-130
-7-115
+7+100
-7-110
13
36
-0.31397-0.30075-0.46329
Buffalo Bills
New Orleans Saints
60.1%
39.9%
-270
+250
-270
+245
-7½+115
+7-105
-7-105
+7-110
31
6
-0.33041-0.33448-0.50924
Las Vegas Raiders
Dallas Cowboys
25.5%
74.5%
+275
-320
+265
-310
+7-105
-7-109
+7+100
-7-110
36
33
-1.34992-1.32437-1.36794
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
57.6%
42.4%
-133
+125
-130
+118
-2½-109
+1+107
-2-110
+2½-110
16
14
-0.57583-0.59419-0.55236
New York Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
21.1%
78.9%
+425
-500
+450
-500
+10½-109
-12½+110
+11-110
-10½-110
10
30
-0.20586-0.19737-0.23685
Pittsburgh Steelers
Los Angeles Chargers
40.1%
59.9%
+225
-260
+245
-260
+6½-111
-7+110
+6½-105
-6½-105
37
41
-0.35489-0.33743-0.51231
Dallas Cowboys
Kansas City Chiefs
37.3%
62.7%
+124
-140
+130
-135
+2½+100
-2½-114
+2½+100
-2½-110
9
19
-0.56833-0.56352-0.46686
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
46.5%
53.5%
+210
-235
+200
-165
+5½-105
-5½-109
+5-110
-3-110
23
13
-1.15518-1.05360-0.76482
Cincinnati Bengals
Las Vegas Raiders
49.6%
50.4%
-133
+120
-130
+120
-2½-110
+1+108
-2-110
+2½-105
32
13
-0.58573-0.59012-0.70017
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
49.4%
50.6%
-120
+110
-114
+100
-1-115
+1½-105
-1-110
+1½-110
31
34
-0.76336-0.72534-0.68163
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
12.6%
87.4%
+375
-450
+400
-440
+10-109
-10½+105
+10-110
-10-110
22
13
-1.58645-1.62415-2.07235
New Orleans Saints
Philadelphia Eagles
46.5%
53.5%
+135
-150
+150
-145
+3-110
-3-102
+3-110
-3-105
29
40
-0.53604-0.51632-0.62461
Baltimore Ravens
Chicago Bears
52.7%
47.3%
-115
+105
-120
+110
-1-110
+1-107
-1-110
+2-110
16
13
-0.64814-0.62755-0.64082
Washington Commanders
Carolina Panthers
49.0%
51.0%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+3½-115
-3½+100
+3+105
-3-110
27
21
-0.95763-0.95763-0.71359
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
51.8%
48.2%
-190
+175
-180
+176
-3½-109
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
24
17
-0.44150-0.44699-0.65753
Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo Bills
24.8%
75.2%
+255
-290
+280
-290
+7-112
-7½+120
+7-110
-7+100
41
15
-1.29193-1.34170-1.39271
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.