NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.9%
88.1%
+400
-500
+425
-480
+9½-103
-9½-108
+9½-105
-9½-108
14.2
31.3
45.5
o47½-110
u48-108
o47½-110
u48-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
40.0%
60.0%
+160
-170
+160
-175
+3+103
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-116
20.4
23.7
44.1
o37½-105
u37½-108
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.1%
63.9%
+155
-170
+155
-165
+3+105
-3½-103
+3+104
-3-110
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47½-110
u48-108
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota Vikings
35.5%
64.5%
+190
-185
+190
-205
+4-110
-4+100
+4½-110
-4-110
20
16
-1.05863-1.08152-1.03606
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
54.9%
45.1%
-191
+175
-185
+180
-3½-110
+4-109
-4-110
+4-110
27
36
-1.03139-1.03586-0.79709
Washington Commanders
Denver Broncos
28.1%
71.9%
+170
-190
+176
-189
+4-114
-4-104
+4-110
-3½-110
10
17
-0.44809-0.44085-0.33045
New England Patriots
Los Angeles Chargers
34.6%
65.4%
+170
-183
+172
-185
+3½-104
-4-105
+4-110
-3½-110
27
24
-1.01011-1.01724-1.06201
Jacksonville Jaguars
Seattle Seahawks
23.5%
76.5%
+175
-195
+174
-185
+4-109
-4-109
+4-110
-3½-110
7
31
-0.43833-0.44612-0.26762
San Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears
59.7%
40.3%
-205
+190
-200
+185
-4½-109
+4½-109
-4½-110
+4½-110
33
22
-0.41412-0.42286-0.51519
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
42.1%
57.9%
+200
-223
+210
-215
+5½-110
-5-109
+5-110
-4½-110
15
10
-1.12209-1.13650-0.86424
Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets
73.3%
26.7%
-550
+475
-540
+475
-11½-109
+12-105
-11½-110
+12-110
31
34
-1.76908-1.76674-1.31994
Los Angeles Rams
Houston Texans
95.8%
4.2%
-1200
+825
-1400
+940
-16½-109
+17-115
-16½-110
+16½-110
38
22
-0.11075-0.09805-0.04315
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
52.7%
47.3%
+140
-150
+140
-150
+3-109
-3-105
+3-110
-3-110
34
31
-0.89199-0.89199-0.63970
Philadelphia Eagles
Detroit Lions
68.2%
31.8%
-160
+150
-165
+150
-3-115
+3+101
-3-110
+3+100
44
6
-0.50078-0.49617-0.38259
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
41.4%
58.6%
+110
-125
+115
-122
+2½-114
-2½+100
+2½-110
-1½-110
19
13
-0.77319-0.78001-0.88141
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
9.5%
90.5%
+725
-1000
+850
-1060
+15-109
-14½-110
+15½-110
-14½-110
11
26
-0.12517-0.10902-0.09953
Green Bay Packers
Arizona Cardinals
32.7%
67.3%
+235
-275
+240
-260
+6½-110
-6½-104
+6½-110
-6½-110
24
21
-1.24029-1.23998-1.11822
New Orleans Saints
Seattle Seahawks
74.2%
25.8%
-240
+210
-230
+210
-5½-109
+6-110
-5½-110
+6-110
13
10
-0.37637-0.38037-0.29845
Indianapolis Colts
San Francisco 49ers
32.1%
67.9%
+150
-165
+155
-165
+3½-113
-3½+105
+3+100
-3-110
30
18
-0.93869-0.95078-1.13737
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.