NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.9%
88.1%
+415
-500
+430
-480
+9½+100
-9½-108
+10-110
-9½-108
14.2
31.3
45.5
o47½-108
u48-110
o47½-110
u48-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
39.3%
60.7%
+165
-170
+160
-175
+3+103
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-116
20.5
23.7
44.2
o37½-108
u37½-108
o37-110
u37½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.1%
63.9%
+155
-170
+155
-165
+3+105
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½+100
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47½-105
u47½-108
o47½-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Rams
New York Giants
76.1%
23.9%
-355
+315
-345
+330
-7½-104
+8-105
-7½+100
+7½-110
38
11
-0.26914-0.26234-0.27294
Cincinnati Bengals
Detroit Lions
60.8%
39.2%
-185
+170
-185
+180
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½-110
+3½-110
34
11
-0.45144-0.43838-0.49697
Los Angeles Chargers
Baltimore Ravens
35.3%
64.7%
+145
-140
+141
-150
+3-109
-2½-115
+3-105
-3-110
6
34
-0.53045-0.52565-0.43603
Minnesota Vikings
Carolina Panthers
46.3%
53.7%
-135
+115
-135
+125
-2½-109
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-110
34
28
-0.59314-0.57304-0.77104
Kansas City Chiefs
Washington Commanders
68.8%
31.2%
-285
+255
-280
+270
-6½-109
+7-115
-6½-110
+6½-101
31
13
-0.32247-0.31247-0.37366
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
69.9%
30.1%
-235
+205
-232
+202
-5½-109
+6-105
-5½-110
+5½-110
24
14
-0.38349-0.38789-0.35800
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
13.4%
86.6%
+445
-470
+468
-550
+11½-108
-10-110
+13-110
-11-110
3
31
-0.20092-0.18902-0.14441
Miami Dolphins
Jacksonville Jaguars
74.3%
25.7%
-125
+130
-125
+115
-1½-106
+3-120
-1½-110
+2½-110
20
23
-0.82321-0.78592-1.35720
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Philadelphia Eagles
77.5%
22.5%
-300
+250
-290
+260
-7+101
+7-115
-6½-110
+7-119
28
22
-0.32277-0.31741-0.25448
Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens
27.9%
72.1%
+310
-365
+310
-345
+7½-105
-7½-109
+7½-110
-7½-110
25
31
-0.27058-0.27353-0.32728
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
39.0%
61.0%
+130
-140
+130
-138
+3-119
-2½-116
+3-119
-2½-110
38
20
-0.85085-0.84742-0.94248
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
29.1%
70.9%
+240
-270
+242
-270
+6-105
-6-108
+6-110
-6-110
10
17
-0.33865-0.33697-0.34352
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
26.8%
73.2%
+300
-335
+320
-336
+7+100
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-120
20
44
-0.28113-0.26924-0.31135
Cleveland Browns
Los Angeles Chargers
46.5%
53.5%
+120
-128
+125
-133
+2½-105
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2½-110
42
47
-0.59314-0.57583-0.62495
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
35.0%
65.0%
+210
-240
+220
-232
+5½-105
-5½-109
+6-110
-5½-110
20
9
-1.15948-1.17438-1.05091
New England Patriots
Houston Texans
82.8%
17.2%
-355
+300
-360
+330
-8-104
+8-110
-7½-110
+8-110
25
22
-0.27796-0.26017-0.18852
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.