NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.9%
88.1%
+415
-500
+430
-480
+9½+100
-9½-108
+10-110
-9½-108
14.2
31.3
45.5
o47½-108
u48-110
o47½-110
u48-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
39.3%
60.7%
+165
-170
+160
-175
+3+110
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-116
20.5
23.7
44.2
o37½-108
u37½-108
o37-110
u37½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.1%
63.9%
+155
-170
+165
-170
+3+105
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½+100
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47½-105
u47½-108
o47½-110
u48-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Green Bay Packers
Cincinnati Bengals
67.6%
32.4%
-125
+110
-128
+115
-2-109
+2-105
-2-110
+2½-110
25
22
-0.61904-0.60349-0.39172
Denver Broncos
Pittsburgh Steelers
46.5%
53.5%
-125
+110
-124
+115
-1½-109
+1-101
-1½-110
+2-110
19
27
-0.77319-0.78397-0.62639
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
22.5%
77.5%
+375
-430
+380
-420
+10-110
-10-104
+10-110
-10-110
17
19
-0.23071-0.22948-0.25478
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
67.9%
32.1%
-207
+180
-192
+180
-4½-105
+4½-107
-4-110
+4½-110
37
19
-0.42505-0.43383-0.38641
New Orleans Saints
Washington Commanders
57.4%
42.6%
-135
+120
-135
+125
-2½-109
+2½-105
-2½-110
+2½-105
33
22
-0.58291-0.57304-0.55532
Philadelphia Eagles
Carolina Panthers
36.7%
63.3%
+122
-140
+125
-138
+3-125
-2½-112
+2½-101
-2½-110
21
18
-0.83073-0.83492-1.00283
Miami Dolphins
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12.8%
87.2%
+500
-600
+500
-600
+11-104
-11-114
+11½-110
-11-110
17
45
-0.17768-0.17768-0.13752
New York Jets
Atlanta Falcons
35.0%
65.0%
+130
-143
+133
-145
+3-114
-2½-115
+3-110
-3+100
20
27
-0.55321-0.54531-0.43131
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
52.5%
47.5%
-140
+130
-138
+130
-2½-114
+3-120
-2½-110
+3-120
26
17
-0.55696-0.55953-0.64407
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
34.6%
65.4%
+152
-165
+155
-165
+3+101
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
14
28
-0.49307-0.48848-0.42521
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New England Patriots
67.0%
33.0%
-285
+260
-276
+260
-6½-104
+7-115
-7+105
+7-115
19
17
-0.31864-0.32094-0.40004
Pittsburgh Steelers
Green Bay Packers
30.8%
69.2%
+222
-247
+225
-245
+6½-115
-6-105
+6-110
-5½-110
17
27
-0.36206-0.35997-0.36882
Baltimore Ravens
Denver Broncos
49.3%
50.7%
+100
-115
+102
-115
+1-104
-1-110
+1½-110
-1-110
23
7
-0.72743-0.73260-0.70706
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
41.7%
58.3%
+120
-130
+120
-135
+2½-107
-2½-109
+2½-110
-2½-110
28
21
-0.80802-0.81706-0.87405
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
36.7%
63.3%
+180
-190
+182
-190
+4-110
-3½-109
+4-110
-3½-110
37
20
-1.04185-1.04646-1.00327
Houston Texans
Buffalo Bills
7.2%
92.8%
+1140
-1600
+1200
-1780
+18½-109
-18½-109
+18½-110
-18-110
0
40
-0.08222-0.07811-0.07452
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.