NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.9%
88.1%
+410
-500
+430
-480
+10-110
-9½-108
+10-110
-9½-108
14.2
31.3
45.5
o47½-108
u48-110
o47½-110
u48-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
39.3%
60.7%
+165
-170
+160
-175
+3+110
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-116
20.5
23.7
44.2
o37½-108
u37½-108
o37-110
u37½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.1%
63.9%
+155
-170
+165
-170
+3+105
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+100
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47½-105
u47½-108
o47½-110
u48-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles
74.9%
25.1%
-340
+285
-330
+300
-7-109
+7-105
-7-110
+7-110
42
30
-0.28978-0.28198-0.28868
New York Giants
New Orleans Saints
22.8%
77.2%
+282
-330
+290
-332
+7½-120
-7-109
+7-110
-7-110
27
21
-1.36904-1.38561-1.47876
Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys
36.1%
63.9%
+195
-210
+190
-212
+4½-105
-4½-107
+4½-110
-4½-110
28
36
-0.40573-0.41044-0.44752
Indianapolis Colts
Miami Dolphins
44.4%
55.6%
+125
-140
+130
-140
+2½-104
-2½-114
+2½-110
-2½-110
27
17
-0.83833-0.85085-0.81166
Cleveland Browns
Minnesota Vikings
50.1%
49.9%
-110
-105
-110
-105
+0-109
+0-106
+0-110
+1-110
14
7
-0.68201-0.68201-0.69187
Tennessee Titans
New York Jets
71.4%
28.6%
-245
+225
-237
+215
-5½-109
+6-110
-5-110
+6-110
24
27
-1.19634-1.16790-1.25019
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
38.5%
61.5%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+3-115
-3+101
+3-110
-3+100
14
24
-0.55080-0.54173-0.48626
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
50.0%
50.0%
-120
+110
-119
+115
-2½-105
+2½-113
-1½-110
+2-110
34
30
-0.62755-0.61841-0.69217
Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati Bengals
24.7%
75.3%
+282
-340
+300
-320
+7½-110
-7½+101
+7½-110
-7-110
21
24
-0.29176-0.28377-0.28412
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
32.5%
67.5%
+175
-184
+175
-185
+3½-109
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-105
21
41
-0.44551-0.44482-0.39235
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers
39.4%
60.6%
+160
-170
+163
-170
+3+106
-3-115
+3½-110
-3-119
30
28
-0.96964-0.97678-0.93250
Seattle Seahawks
Minnesota Vikings
58.1%
41.9%
-120
+120
-123
+110
-2-109
+2-109
-2-110
+2-110
17
30
-0.78845-0.76932-0.87022
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Rams
50.2%
49.8%
-105
-105
-105
-105
+1-113
+1-114
+1-110
+1-110
24
34
-0.69315-0.69315-0.69667
New York Jets
Denver Broncos
24.1%
75.9%
+475
-565
+515
-600
+10½-109
-10½-109
+11-110
-10-110
0
26
-0.18622-0.17370-0.27582
Miami Dolphins
Las Vegas Raiders
30.8%
69.2%
+172
-190
+170
-175
+3½-104
-3½-109
+4-110
-3½-110
28
31
-0.44543-0.45869-0.36792
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
27.3%
72.7%
+125
-138
+130
-140
+3-125
-2½-110
+3-120
-2½-110
24
10
-0.83492-0.85085-1.29744
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.