New England at Houston

Updated

New England Patriots

(3-11)
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
82.8%17.2%
New England WinWin
26.9Projected Points 13.5
25Final Score 22

Houston Texans

(9-5)
Rank9
P/G23.4
PA/G21.4
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
Rank9
P/G23.4
PA/G21.4

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.04253.044

Davis Mills

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
56.72119.025

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 19-17 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • NE: Mac Jones+260
L 28-13 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Jameis Winston • NE: Mac Jones-145
W 25-6 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-233
L 17-16 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones-185
W 14-28 vs New York JetsNYJ: Sam Darnold • NE: Cam Newton-160
Houston Texans
Money Line
L 0-40 at Buffalo BillsHOU: Davis Mills • BUF: Josh Allen+1200
L 24-9 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • HOU: Davis Mills+348
L 21-31 at Cleveland BrownsHOU: Tyrod Taylor • CLE: Baker Mayfield+600
W 21-37 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • HOU: Tyrod Taylor+152
L 41-38 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • HOU: Deshaun Watson+300

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBJamie CollinsProbable
  • CBJonathan JonesProbable
  • CBJalen MillsOut
  • WRMalcolm PerryIR
  • SKyle DuggerProbable
  • LBRonnie PerkinsOut
  • OLMichael OnwenuOut
  • OLShaq MasonOut
  • TTrent BrownIR
  • PKQuinn NordinIR
  • CBShaun WadeOut
  • LBKyle Van NoyProbable
  • PKNick FolkProbable
  • CBStephon GilmoreUnknown
  • OLIsaiah WynnProbable
  • DEHenry AndersonOut for Season
  • DBJustin BethelProbable
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyProbable
  • RBJames WhiteIR
  • DBCody DavisProbable

Houston Texans

Status
  • SA.J. MooreProbable
  • TEBrevin JordanOut
  • DEJonathan GreenardProbable
  • OLMarcus CannonIR
  • LBZach CunninghamProbable
  • DTRoss BlacklockProbable
  • WRNico CollinsIR
  • RBRex BurkheadOut
  • QBTyrod TaylorIR
  • DTVincent TaylorIR
  • WRDanny AmendolaOut
  • LBKevin Pierre-LouisIR
SSE 15 mph
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°88°87°86°
Humidity68%64%66%67%
Precipitation2%2%2%1%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindSSE 15 mphSSE 15 mphSSE 15 mphSSE 15 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-380-395-355-370-370-355-355-299.6
Houston+290+300+285+290+285+285+300+299.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-500-400-361-400-380-360-360-299.6
Houston+400+330+305+320+315+300+330+299.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-7½-110-8-110-8-105-8-110-8-104-8-105-8-104-8+107
Houston+7½-110+8-110+8-115+8-110+8-114+8-115+8-110+8-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-9-110-7½-110-8-110-8-110-8-110-8-110-7½-110-8+107
Houston+9-110+7½-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+8-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 30.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -8-110 to -8½-110
Houston Spread moved from +8½-110 to +8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -7½-110 to -8-110
Houston Spread moved from +8-110 to +7½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o39-110o39-110o39-110o39-109o39-110o39-109o39½+106
Underu41½-110u39-110u39-110u39-110u39-109u39-110u39-109u39½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39½-110o39-110o39-110o39½-110o39-110o39½-110o39-110o39½+106
Underu39½-110u39-110u39-110u39½-110u39-110u39½-110u39½-110u39½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39-108 to o39-110
The Under moved from u39-110 to u39-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39-110 to o39½-110
The Under moved from u39½-110 to u39-110
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