NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 23, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5)
Dallas Stars (50-26-6)
Stuart Skinner
Jake Oettinger
44.0%
56.0%
+109
-117
+110
-117
+1½-227
-1½+205
+1½-220
-1½+195
2.72
3.37
6.09
o6-125
u6½-113
o6½-105
u6½-110
Games for May 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Florida Panthers
Carolina Hurricanes
46.7%
53.3%
+126
-134
+124
-134
+1½-207
-1½+185
+1½-220
-1½+200
5
0
-0.83037-0.82538-0.76048
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars
44.5%
55.5%
+119
-131
+115
-125
+1½-220
-1½+189
+1½-220
-1½+195
3
6
-0.59066-0.60825-0.58931
Florida Panthers
Carolina Hurricanes
46.4%
53.6%
+117
-129
+117
-125
+1½-230
-1½+205
+1½-230
-1½+210
5
2
-0.79860-0.79098-0.76828
Florida Panthers
Toronto Maple Leafs
49.0%
51.0%
-135
+126
-125
+125
-1½+194
+1½-222
-1½+200
+1½-220
6
1
-0.57111-0.58778-0.71341
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars
46.1%
53.9%
+137
-145
+135
-135
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
1
2
-0.53820-0.55431-0.61739
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
40.8%
59.2%
+182
-203
+195
-202
+1½-138
-1½+128
+1½-135
-1½+130
2
0
-1.06103-1.08963-0.89575
Dallas Stars
Winnipeg Jets
44.0%
56.0%
+119
-127
+120
-130
+1½-222
-1½+207
+1½-230
-1½+200
0
4
-0.59673-0.59012-0.57928
Carolina Hurricanes
Washington Capitals
49.2%
50.8%
-150
+137
-145
+140
-1½+170
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-175
3
1
-0.53253-0.53299-0.70865
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
47.1%
52.9%
+107
-120
+109
-117
+1½-227
-1½+198
+1½-215
-1½+200
1
0
-0.75568-0.75464-0.75315
Florida Panthers
Toronto Maple Leafs
46.6%
53.4%
-134
+122
-130
+120
-1½+183
+1½-207
-1½+190
+1½-210
6
1
-0.58032-0.59012-0.76443
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars
46.1%
53.9%
+255
-146
+138
-148
+1½+125
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
3
-0.38840-0.53302-0.61867
Vegas Golden Knights
Edmonton Oilers
44.8%
55.2%
+101
-108
+102
-112
+1½-227
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+200
0
3
-0.67201-0.66116-0.59397
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes
41.5%
58.5%
+195
-215
+220
-225
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+110
2
5
-0.40323-0.37251-0.53654
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
42.7%
57.3%
+177
-196
+175
-190
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
0
2
-0.43515-0.44150-0.55676
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars
47.6%
52.4%
+130
-140
+125
-134
+1½-165
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+195
2
5
-0.55696-0.57442-0.64647
Vegas Golden Knights
Edmonton Oilers
47.1%
52.9%
+100
-111
+102
-110
+1½-227
-1½+205
+1½-225
-1½+200
4
3
-0.71888-0.72177-0.75194
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.83037 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.82538 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.76048
0.06989
0.06490

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/21/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 98 pts)47.031.04.098.0100.0%100.0%100.0%68.7%36.8%
2Dallas Stars (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%66.1%31.3%
3Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5, 101 pts)48.029.05.0101.0100.0%100.0%100.0%33.9%16.5%
4Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%100.0%100.0%31.4%15.4%
5Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4, 116 pts)56.022.04.0116.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Washington Capitals (51-22-9, 111 pts)51.022.09.0111.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10, 110 pts)50.022.010.0110.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 108 pts)52.026.04.0108.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Los Angeles Kings (48-25-9, 105 pts)48.025.09.0105.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 102 pts)47.027.08.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4, 102 pts)49.029.04.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Minnesota Wild (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Calgary Flames (41-27-14, 96 pts)41.027.014.096.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15St. Louis Blues (44-30-8, 96 pts)44.030.08.096.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16New Jersey Devils (42-33-7, 91 pts)42.033.07.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Vancouver Canucks (38-30-14, 90 pts)38.030.014.090.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Columbus Blue Jackets (40-33-9, 89 pts)40.033.09.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Utah Hockey Club (38-31-13, 89 pts)38.031.013.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Detroit Red Wings (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Rangers (39-36-7, 85 pts)39.036.07.085.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Islanders (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Anaheim Ducks (35-37-10, 80 pts)35.037.010.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Pittsburgh Penguins (34-36-12, 80 pts)34.036.012.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Buffalo Sabres (36-39-7, 79 pts)36.039.07.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Boston Bruins (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Philadelphia Flyers (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Seattle Kraken (35-41-6, 76 pts)35.041.06.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (30-44-8, 68 pts)30.044.08.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (25-46-11, 61 pts)25.046.011.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (20-50-12, 52 pts)20.050.012.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.