NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-2)
Detroit Red Wings (13-16-4)
Unknown
Unknown
62.4%
37.6%




3.63
2.52
6.15


Chicago Blackhawks (12-20-2)
Buffalo Sabres (11-19-4)
Unknown
Unknown
41.1%
58.9%




2.45
3.40
5.85


Carolina Hurricanes (21-11-1)
New Jersey Devils (22-11-3)
Unknown
Unknown
47.9%
52.1%




3.05
3.27
6.32


Boston Bruins (18-13-4)
Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-6)
Unknown
Unknown
53.5%
46.5%




3.23
2.86
6.09


Nashville Predators (10-17-7)
St. Louis Blues (15-16-4)
Unknown
Unknown
50.2%
49.8%




2.94
2.91
5.85


Minnesota Wild (20-10-4)
Dallas Stars (19-13-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%




2.29
3.43
5.72


Colorado Avalanche (21-15-0)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-6)
Unknown
Unknown
52.0%
48.0%




3.33
3.12
6.45


Vegas Golden Knights (22-8-3)
San Jose Sharks (11-19-6)
Unknown
Unknown
69.0%
31.0%




3.81
2.46
6.27


Games for Dec 26, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Jose Sharks (11-19-6)
Vancouver Canucks (16-10-7)
31.2%
68.8%
+195
-220
+210
-210
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+115
5.99
o5½-110
u6-118
o6+105
u6-120
2nd P
03:45
1
1
Dallas Stars (19-13-0)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-6)
58.6%
41.4%
-163
+147
-165
+153
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-164
5.98
o6-103
u6-105
o6+100
u6-105
2nd P
END-
3
1
Anaheim Ducks (13-15-4)
Vegas Golden Knights (22-8-3)
25.7%
74.3%
+265
-295
+270
-309
+1½+112
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-125
6.48
o6½-115
u6½+109
o6½-105
u6½+100
1st P
00:10
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Carolina Hurricanes
Nashville Predators
62.4%
37.6%
-110
+100
-110
+104
-1½+214
+1½-240
-1½+216
+1½-240
2
5
-0.71668-0.72685-0.97902
Chicago Blackhawks
Minnesota Wild
34.5%
65.5%
+188
-208
+190
-210
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
4
-0.41486-0.41146-0.42367
Buffalo Sabres
New York Islanders
42.5%
57.5%
+136
-148
+140
-150
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
7
1
-0.87895-0.89199-0.85501
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
46.2%
53.8%
+144
-154
+142
-150
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
0
-0.90800-0.89690-0.77128
Philadelphia Flyers
Pittsburgh Penguins
48.3%
51.7%
-104
-105
-102
-102
-1½+250
-1½+220
+1½-240
-1½+230
3
7
-0.69081-0.69315-0.66002
St. Louis Blues
Detroit Red Wings
49.6%
50.4%
-104
-108
-105
-105
+1½-260
-1½+220
+1½-266
-1½+230
4
0
-0.70235-0.69315-0.70132
Washington Capitals
Boston Bruins
52.5%
47.5%
+125
-137
+124
-130
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-197
-1½+180
1
4
-0.57033-0.58212-0.74524
Montreal Canadiens
Columbus Blue Jackets
41.2%
58.8%
+103
-116
+115
-116
+1½-222
-1½+200
+1½-200
-1½+216
4
5
-0.65089-0.62385-0.53125
Winnipeg Jets
Toronto Maple Leafs
50.8%
49.2%
+112
-119
+110
-117
+1½-227
-1½+205
+1½-220
-1½+205
5
2
-0.76638-0.75717-0.67767
New York Rangers
New Jersey Devils
34.6%
65.4%
+224
-250
+220
-240
+1½-110
-1½+102
+1½-119
-1½+110
0
5
-0.35914-0.36652-0.42425
Seattle Kraken
Colorado Avalanche
34.8%
65.2%
+250
-270
+270
-300
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
2
5
-0.33041-0.30775-0.42737
Ottawa Senators
Edmonton Oilers
38.4%
61.6%
+156
-172
+160
-171
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
1
3
-0.48102-0.47594-0.48383
Anaheim Ducks
Utah Hockey Club
32.0%
68.0%
+184
-205
+190
-210
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
5
4
-1.06775-1.08672-1.13993
Los Angeles Kings
Washington Capitals
37.9%
62.1%
+141
-155
+140
-154
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
3
-0.52037-0.52308-0.47694
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
45.8%
54.2%
-105
-101
-107
+102
-1½+221
+1½-229
-1½+216
+1½-240
4
2
-0.68363-0.67178-0.78045
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Rangers
56.2%
43.8%
-145
+134
-148
+135
-1½+173
+1½-188
-1½+171
+1½-190
3
1
-0.54352-0.53828-0.57697
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks105-5 (0.500)0-0.66584 
Sportsbooks104-4 (0.500)2-0.66432 
DRatings105-5 (0.500)0-0.67687
-0.01103
-0.01256

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/22/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (24-10-1, 49 pts)51.425.65.0107.899.2%63.4%38.2%22.0%11.7%
2Washington Capitals (23-8-2, 48 pts)52.623.36.1111.299.9%65.5%36.2%20.6%11.8%
3Vegas Golden Knights (22-8-3, 47 pts)51.223.67.2109.699.9%62.8%35.0%18.6%8.8%
4New Jersey Devils (22-11-3, 47 pts)48.826.17.1104.698.7%51.3%25.9%13.5%7.1%
5Florida Panthers (22-11-2, 46 pts)50.125.86.0106.399.4%61.7%35.4%17.9%10.1%
6Edmonton Oilers (21-11-2, 44 pts)48.926.96.2104.096.4%63.7%35.8%19.7%9.7%
7Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-2, 44 pts)47.428.16.5101.397.0%47.4%21.6%9.4%4.4%
8Minnesota Wild (20-10-4, 44 pts)44.928.28.998.686.2%37.1%15.1%6.2%2.3%
9Carolina Hurricanes (21-11-1, 43 pts)50.126.85.1105.298.8%54.7%29.0%16.3%8.9%
10Los Angeles Kings (19-10-5, 43 pts)43.928.29.997.784.8%30.3%11.7%4.4%1.6%
11Colorado Avalanche (21-15-0, 42 pts)46.731.14.297.584.8%42.4%19.9%9.4%3.8%
12Boston Bruins (18-13-4, 40 pts)40.432.49.290.052.2%14.1%4.7%1.4%0.5%
13Vancouver Canucks (16-10-7, 39 pts)39.829.812.492.052.5%20.4%7.9%2.8%0.8%
14Calgary Flames (16-11-7, 39 pts)37.931.612.588.429.2%6.3%1.9%0.7%0.2%
15Tampa Bay Lightning (18-11-2, 38 pts)48.527.26.3103.497.7%57.2%31.5%15.7%8.9%
16Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts)47.330.24.599.187.9%45.7%24.1%12.1%5.7%
17Utah Hockey Club (16-11-6, 38 pts)41.529.610.994.063.4%24.5%9.4%3.8%1.5%
18Ottawa Senators (18-14-2, 38 pts)42.932.26.992.772.3%26.4%9.8%3.6%1.5%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-15-5, 35 pts)36.035.510.482.512.8%3.1%0.7%0.2%0.0%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts)37.035.79.383.38.7%2.3%0.7%0.2%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (15-15-4, 34 pts)36.535.99.682.614.4%3.9%1.2%0.2%0.1%
22New York Rangers (16-16-1, 33 pts)39.836.06.285.829.3%9.1%2.9%1.0%0.4%
23New York Islanders (13-14-7, 33 pts)34.834.612.682.213.9%2.4%0.6%0.1%0.0%
24Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-6, 32 pts)34.536.011.580.59.4%2.3%0.6%0.1%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (15-19-2, 32 pts)36.238.67.379.64.5%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.1%
26Montreal Canadiens (14-16-3, 31 pts)33.439.49.276.02.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
27Anaheim Ducks (13-15-4, 30 pts)33.138.610.376.60.7%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Detroit Red Wings (13-16-4, 30 pts)32.639.210.275.31.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-6, 28 pts)29.240.911.970.30.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (10-17-7, 27 pts)32.137.512.476.71.1%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (12-20-2, 26 pts)31.942.27.971.60.6%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Buffalo Sabres (11-19-4, 26 pts)30.741.49.871.30.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.