Tampa Bay at Buffalo

Updated

Tampa Bay Lightning

(7-6-1)
Rank10
P/G3.5
PA/G3.2
54.5%45.5%
Tampa Bay WinBuffalo Win
3.55Projected Goals 3.06
2Final Score 3

Buffalo Sabres

(7-8-1)
Rank17
P/G3.4
PA/G3.3
Rank10
P/G3.5
PA/G3.2
Rank17
P/G3.4
PA/G3.3

Goalies

Jonas Johansson

StartsRecordSV%GAA
21-1-00.8894.09

Devon Levi

StartsRecordSV%GAA
20-2-00.8810.88

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 2-5 at Ottawa SenatorsTBL: Matt Tomkins • OTT: Joonas Korpisalo+122
L 4-6 at Detroit Red WingsTBL: Jonas Johansson • DET: Ville Husso-122
W 3-5 vs Nashville PredatorsNSH: Juuse Saros • TBL: Jonas Johansson-142
L 2-1 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-114
W 4-2 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+142
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 2-3 at New York IslandersBUF: Devon Levi • NYI: Ilya Sorokin+130
L 5-1 vs New York RangersNYR: Igor Shesterkin • BUF: Devon Levi+123
W 5-2 at Columbus Blue JacketsBUF: Devon Levi • CBJ: Jon Gillies-175
W 3-4 vs Ottawa SenatorsOTT: Mads Søgaard • BUF: Craig Anderson-129
L 2-6 at New Jersey DevilsBUF: Devon Levi • NJD: Vitek Vanecek+205

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • CTyler MotteOut
  • GOAndrei VasilevskiyIR
  • CLogan BrownIR
  • CSteven StamkosOut

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • GODevon LeviUnknown
  • CMatt SavoieIR
  • RWJack QuinnOut
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-105+109+100+104+105+104+109+110.0
Buffalo-115-125-120-117-125-117-117-110.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-110+105+109+105+105+104+109+110.0
Buffalo-110-125-119-125-125-120-119-110.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +111 to +102
Buffalo ML moved from -118 to -124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +105 to -102
Buffalo ML moved from -108 to -116

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-225+1½-227+1½-235+1½-225+1½-230+1½-225+1½-225+1½-204
Buffalo-1½+185-1½+198-1½+195-1½+195-1½+190-1½+195-1½+198-1½+204
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-250+1½-230+1½-216+1½-225+1½-230+1½-240+1½-216+1½-204
Buffalo-1½+210-1½+195-1½+190-1½+185-1½+195-1½+195-1½+195-1½+204

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-130o7+102o7-110o7-108o7+100o7-108o7+102o7+100
Underu6½+110u7-118u7-110u7-108u7-120u7-108u7-108u7+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+105o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100
Underu7-125u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-130 to o7+113
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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