Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
50.9%49.1%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
3.15Projected Goals 3.04
2Final Score 1
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8

Goalies

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4027-10-50.9192.33

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
6034-22-40.9152.65

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-149
W 5-4 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+105
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-112
W 2-7 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-180
L 7-3 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-154
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 4-2 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+142
L 5-4 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-111
L 4-3 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+102
L 2-7 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+165
W 7-3 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+140

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DErik GustafssonProbable
  • GOMatt MurrayOut
  • CBobby McMannIR

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • DErik CernakOut
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-110+103+100+106-105+106+106+111.1
Tampa Bay-110-115-120-117-115-117-115-111.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-110-105+104-105+100+104+104+111.1
Tampa Bay-110-115-114-115-120-114-114-111.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +102 to -102
Tampa Bay ML moved from -111 to -117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toronto ML
Tampa Bay ML moved from -108 to -114

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-260+1½-260+1½-260+1½-255+1½-265+1½-255+1½-255+1½-226
Tampa Bay-1½+220-1½+220-1½+215-1½+215-1½+225-1½+215-1½+225-1½+226
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-260+1½-250+1½-250+1½-260+1½-250+1½-250+1½-250+1½-226
Tampa Bay-1½+210-1½+210-1½+216-1½+210-1½+210-1½+220-1½+220-1½+226

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-113o6½-110o6½+103o6½-108o6½+103o6½+103o6½+108
Underu6½-110u6½-103u6½-110u6½-114u6½-112u6½-114u6½-103u6½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115o6½-115o6½-105o6½-115o6½-105o6½-110o6½-105o6½+108
Underu6½-105u6½-105u6½-115u6½-105u6½-115u6½-110u6½-105u6½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-105 to u6½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-110 to u6½-120