Tampa Bay at Toronto

Updated

Tampa Bay Lightning

(19-11-2)
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8
43.4%56.6%
Tampa Bay WinToronto Win
2.74Projected Goals 3.45
2Final Score 7

Toronto Maple Leafs

(21-12-2)
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
6034-22-40.9152.65

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4027-10-50.9192.33

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 7-3 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+140
W 0-5 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Ville Husso • TBL: Brian Elliott-228
L 4-3 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-210
L 4-7 at Ottawa SenatorsTBL: Brian Elliott • OTT: Cam Talbot-130
L 1-6 at New York IslandersTBL: Brian Elliott • NYI: Ilya Sorokin+152
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 7-3 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-154
W 3-2 at New York RangersTOR: Joseph Woll • NYR: Jaroslav Halak+123
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+197
W 2-1 at Florida PanthersTOR: Ilya Samsonov • FLA: Alex Lyon+131
W 1-7 vs Montreal CanadiensMTL: Sam Montembeault • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-350

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • DVictor HedmanOut
  • CMichael EyssimontOut
  • DErik CernakOut
  • LWTanner JeannotProbable

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DErik GustafssonQuestionable
  • LWMichael BuntingOut
  • GOMatt MurrayOut
  • CBobby McMannIR
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+140+172+165+173+160+173+173+179.8
Toronto-160-194-195-193-185-193-185-179.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+140+160+164+162+165+160+165+179.8
Toronto-165-180-181-195-185-180-180-179.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +163 to +154
Toronto ML moved from -185 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +153 to +143
Toronto ML moved from -174 to -180

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-205+1½-188+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-162
Toronto-1½+175-1½+167-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+167-1½+162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-195+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-162
Toronto-1½+162-1½+155-1½+155-1½+152-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o6½+102o6½+105o6-111o6-120o6-111o6-111o6-106
Underu6+104u6½-118u6½-125u6+101u6+100u6+101u6½-118u6+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-110o6-120o6-115o6-130o6-120o6-120o6-115o6-106
Underu6-110u6+100u6-105u6+110u6+100u6+100u6+110u6+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6+109 to u6-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-110 to o6-120
No Steam Moves On Under
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