Tampa Bay at Toronto

Updated
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8
41.8%58.2%
Tampa Bay WinToronto Win
2.66Projected Goals 3.53
4Final Score 2
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
6034-22-40.9152.65

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4027-10-50.9192.33

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-111
L 4-3 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+102
L 2-7 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+165
W 7-3 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+140
W 0-5 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Ville Husso • TBL: Brian Elliott-228
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 5-4 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+105
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-112
W 2-7 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-180
L 7-3 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-154
W 3-2 at New York RangersTOR: Joseph Woll • NYR: Jaroslav Halak+123

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • DErik CernakOut
  • CMichael EyssimontOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DErik GustafssonQuestionable
  • CBobby McMannIR
  • GOMatt MurrayOut
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+130+133+130+137+135+137+137+142.6
Toronto-150-149-150-151-155-151-149-142.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+130+130+142+135+135+134+142+142.6
Toronto-155-150-156-160-155-149-149-142.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay ML
Toronto ML moved from -150 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +140 to +130
Toronto ML moved from -150 to -160

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-220+1½-188+1½-195+1½-197+1½-200+1½-197+1½-188+1½-180
Toronto-1½+180-1½+167-1½+165-1½+172-1½+170-1½+172-1½+172-1½+180
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-205+1½-190+1½-200+1½-205+1½-200+1½-200+1½-190+1½-180
Toronto-1½+170-1½+170-1½+176-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+176-1½+180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-113o6½-115o6½-102o6½-110o6½-102o6½-102o6½+103
Underu6½-110u6½-103u6½-105u6½-108u6½-110u6½-108u6½-103u6½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115o6½-115o6½-110o6½-120o6½-120o6½-110o6½-110o6½+103
Underu6½-105u6½-105u6½-110u6½+100u6½+100u6½-110u6½+100u6½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under