Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated

Toronto Maple Leafs

(21-12-2)
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
51.2%48.8%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
3.16Projected Goals 3.03
5Final Score 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

(19-11-2)
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8

Goalies

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4027-10-50.9192.33

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
6034-22-40.9152.65

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-112
W 2-7 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-180
L 7-3 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-154
W 3-2 at New York RangersTOR: Joseph Woll • NYR: Jaroslav Halak+123
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+197
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+102
L 2-7 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+165
W 7-3 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+140
W 0-5 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Ville Husso • TBL: Brian Elliott-228
L 4-3 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-210

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • LWMichael BuntingOut
  • GOMatt MurrayOut
  • DErik GustafssonOut
  • CBobby McMannIR

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • CMichael EyssimontOut
  • CBrayden PointProbable
  • DErik CernakOut
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-110+102-105+104-105+104+104+109.1
Tampa Bay+100-114-115-115-115-115-114-109.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-115-105+102+100+105+101+105+109.1
Tampa Bay-105-115-112-120-125-111-111-109.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -105 to -113
Tampa Bay ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toronto ML
Tampa Bay ML moved from -102 to -111

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+210+1½-270-1½+225+1½-265-1½+230+1½-265-1½+230+1½-236
Tampa Bay+1½-250-1½+230+1½-275-1½+225+1½-270-1½+225-1½+230-1½+236
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+205-1½+220-1½+245-1½+228-1½+240+1½-260-1½+245+1½-236
Tampa Bay+1½-250+1½-260+1½-285+1½-285+1½-280-1½+230-1½+230-1½+236

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-105o6½-108o6½-105o6½+101o6½-108o6½+101o6½+101o6½+106
Underu6½-105u6½-108u6½-115u6½-111u6½-112u6½-111u6½-108u6½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-105o6½-110o6½-105o6½-110o6½-110o6½-105o6½-105o6½+106
Underu6½-115u6½-110u6½-115u6½-110u6½-110u6½-115u6½-110u6½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-107 to u6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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