NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 22, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1)
New York Rangers (16-15-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.2%
43.8%
-147
+135
-145
+135
-1½+167
+1½-192
-1½+173
+1½-190
3.54
2.87
6.41
o6+102
u6-115
o6+100
u6-105
Florida Panthers (21-11-2)
Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2)
Unknown
Unknown
45.8%
54.2%
-108
-104
-110
+106
-1½+230
+1½-255
+1½-250
+1½-240
2.90
3.34
6.24
o6½+106
u6½-120
o6½+105
u6½-115
Overall Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4)
Washington Capitals (22-8-2)
Unknown
Unknown
37.9%
62.1%
+120
-135
+116
-123
+1½-212
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+195
2.40
3.50
5.90
o5½-112
u5½-105
o5½-110
u6-120
Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.0%
68.0%
+193
-215
+190
-205
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+125
2.39
3.70
6.09
o6-112
u6-101
o6-110
u6-105
Ottawa Senators (17-13-2)
Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2)
Unknown
Unknown
38.4%
61.6%
+176
-180
+160
-180
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
2.66
3.74
6.40
o6-113
u6-103
o6-115
u6-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Kraken (15-17-2)
Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0)
Unknown
MacKenzie Blackwood
34.8%
65.2%
+180
-220
+185
-215
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
2.51
3.73
6.24
o6-105
u6-115
o6-105
u6-115
Games for Dec 21, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Ottawa Senators (17-13-2)
Vancouver Canucks (16-10-6)
49.8%
50.2%
+116
-130
+115
-124
+1½-215
-1½+190
+1½-216
-1½+205
5.87
o5½-114
u5½+102
o5½-105
u5½+100
3rd P
01:52
4
4
Seattle Kraken (15-17-2)
Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3)
37.9%
62.1%
+169
-181
+170
-176
+1½-147
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
6.00
o6-113
u6+101
o6-110
u6+100
3rd P
06:30
1
5

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Lightning
Seattle Kraken
58.4%
41.6%
-135
+125
-122
+128
-1½+183
+1½-200
-1½+195
+1½-195
5
1
-0.57304-0.58674-0.53811
Utah Hockey Club
San Jose Sharks
62.7%
37.3%
-181
+170
-185
+170
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
4
3
-0.45426-0.45144-0.46667
Florida Panthers
Calgary Flames
62.3%
37.7%
-183
+169
-175
+168
-1½+143
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-160
0
3
-1.00775-0.99528-0.97448
Boston Bruins
Vancouver Canucks
44.0%
56.0%
+110
-120
+115
-120
+1½-222
-1½+205
+1½-230
-1½+216
5
1
-0.76336-0.77596-0.82005
Nashville Predators
Colorado Avalanche
37.3%
62.7%
+152
-163
+145
-155
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+163
2
5
-0.49487-0.51371-0.46676
St. Louis Blues
Dallas Stars
31.0%
69.0%
+199
-225
+200
-210
+1½-128
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+125
1
2
-0.39412-0.40015-0.37159
Montreal Canadiens
Winnipeg Jets
25.8%
74.2%
+215
-236
+220
-227
+1½-123
-1½+111
+1½-120
-1½+117
2
4
-0.37292-0.37167-0.29869
Buffalo Sabres
Washington Capitals
33.4%
66.6%
+163
-179
+165
-180
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
4
-0.46539-0.46185-0.40611
Anaheim Ducks
Columbus Blue Jackets
39.0%
61.0%
+155
-170
+160
-175
+1½-163
-1½+149
+1½-155
-1½+145
4
3
-0.95763-0.97625-0.94228
Toronto Maple Leafs
Detroit Red Wings
62.3%
37.7%
-185
+171
-170
+171
-1½+150
+1½-158
-1½+155
+1½-160
2
4
-1.01492-0.99558-0.97670
Pittsburgh Penguins
Ottawa Senators
41.0%
59.0%
+115
-128
+115
-117
+1½-207
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+210
2
3
-0.60349-0.62200-0.52733
Vegas Golden Knights
Edmonton Oilers
42.6%
57.4%
+136
-145
+138
-145
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-182
-1½+170
3
6
-0.53996-0.53645-0.55588
Philadelphia Flyers
Minnesota Wild
40.1%
59.9%
+136
-149
+140
-141
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+176
1
4
-0.53539-0.53777-0.51239
Los Angeles Kings
New York Rangers
43.3%
56.7%
+102
-112
+107
-115
+1½-240
-1½+215
+1½-227
-1½+225
5
1
-0.72619-0.74537-0.83734
Chicago Blackhawks
New Jersey Devils
25.5%
74.5%
+307
-334
+300
-340
+1½+120
-1½-133
+1½+115
-1½-130
1
4
-0.27707-0.28030-0.29472
Ottawa Senators
Carolina Hurricanes
35.8%
64.2%
+177
-196
+182
-190
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
3
0
-1.04177-1.04646-1.02594
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.53631 
Sportsbooks97-2 (0.778)0-0.53444 
DRatings96-3 (0.667)0-0.55361
-0.01731
-0.01917

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/20/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (23-10-1, 47 pts)50.825.95.3106.998.9%60.9%36.3%19.2%9.4%
2Washington Capitals (22-8-2, 46 pts)51.923.86.4110.199.8%63.2%35.6%18.8%11.0%
3Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3, 45 pts)50.624.17.3108.599.1%60.2%34.0%18.6%9.1%
4New Jersey Devils (21-11-3, 45 pts)48.226.67.2103.797.4%52.1%26.0%13.2%7.2%
5Florida Panthers (21-11-2, 44 pts)49.426.56.1104.999.4%57.1%29.7%15.2%8.6%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-2, 44 pts)48.526.96.6103.698.4%49.1%23.9%11.3%6.0%
7Minnesota Wild (20-9-4, 44 pts)45.827.58.8100.390.9%40.3%17.0%8.0%3.0%
8Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4, 42 pts)45.427.79.099.788.8%38.3%16.3%7.1%2.6%
9Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1, 41 pts)49.227.45.4103.799.0%54.6%28.3%14.7%8.3%
10Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2, 40 pts)47.827.76.5102.293.9%58.5%32.3%17.9%8.4%
11Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0, 40 pts)46.131.44.596.880.0%39.3%18.7%8.8%4.0%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts)49.226.36.5104.999.1%61.6%35.5%19.7%11.2%
13Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts)47.330.14.699.285.9%46.4%24.6%12.7%6.0%
14Vancouver Canucks (16-10-6, 38 pts)40.929.811.393.257.8%23.0%8.2%3.0%1.1%
15Boston Bruins (17-13-4, 38 pts)39.732.99.488.946.4%15.7%4.9%1.5%0.4%
16Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5, 37 pts)42.429.610.094.766.1%25.2%10.3%4.0%1.5%
17Calgary Flames (15-11-7, 37 pts)37.232.212.687.022.3%3.8%0.9%0.3%0.1%
18Ottawa Senators (17-13-2, 36 pts)42.832.27.192.669.7%24.0%8.8%3.2%1.3%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-14-5, 35 pts)36.435.010.683.415.6%3.8%1.2%0.3%0.1%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts)36.736.09.482.77.2%2.8%0.8%0.2%0.1%
21New York Rangers (16-15-1, 33 pts)40.635.16.387.541.0%12.3%4.5%1.6%0.5%
22Philadelphia Flyers (14-15-4, 32 pts)36.136.39.681.811.9%1.4%0.5%0.2%0.0%
23Seattle Kraken (15-17-2, 32 pts)37.237.47.481.86.9%1.4%0.5%0.2%0.1%
24Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-5, 31 pts)34.936.410.680.59.1%2.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
25New York Islanders (12-14-7, 31 pts)33.635.612.880.07.5%2.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
26Detroit Red Wings (13-15-4, 30 pts)33.238.510.376.62.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
27Montreal Canadiens (13-16-3, 29 pts)32.740.09.374.61.9%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
28Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4, 28 pts)32.339.110.675.20.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-5, 27 pts)29.841.211.070.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Chicago Blackhawks (12-19-2, 26 pts)32.641.57.973.10.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (11-18-4, 26 pts)31.540.510.073.11.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Nashville Predators (9-17-7, 25 pts)31.338.112.675.30.7%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.