NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 22, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1)
New York Rangers (16-15-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.2%
43.8%
-147
+135
-145
+135
-1½+173
+1½-195
-1½+173
+1½-190
3.54
2.87
6.41
o6+102
u6-113
o6+100
u6-115
Florida Panthers (21-11-2)
Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2)
Unknown
Unknown
45.8%
54.2%
-110
+100
-110
+100
-1½+225
+1½-255
+1½-250
+1½-240
2.90
3.34
6.24
o6-115
u6½-120
o6½+105
u6½-115
Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4)
Washington Capitals (22-8-2)
Unknown
Unknown
37.9%
62.1%
+120
-135
+121
-126
+1½-212
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+195
2.40
3.50
5.90
o5½-108
u5½+100
o5½-110
u5½-105
Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.0%
68.0%
+193
-215
+190
-205
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+125
2.39
3.70
6.09
o6-103
u6-103
o6-110
u6-105
Ottawa Senators (17-13-2)
Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2)
Unknown
Unknown
38.4%
61.6%
+166
-185
+160
-180
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-160
-1½+140
2.66
3.74
6.40
o6-113
u6½-125
o6-115
u6-105
Seattle Kraken (15-17-2)
Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0)
Unknown
MacKenzie Blackwood
34.8%
65.2%
+210
-235
+200
-240
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-125
-1½+105
2.51
3.73
6.24
o6-108
u6-108
o6-105
u6-115
Games for Dec 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Blackhawks
New Jersey Devils
25.5%
74.5%
+307
-334
+300
-340
+1½+120
-1½-133
+1½+115
-1½-130
1
4
-0.27707-0.28030-0.29472
Ottawa Senators
Carolina Hurricanes
35.8%
64.2%
+177
-196
+182
-190
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
3
0
-1.04177-1.04646-1.02594
Florida Panthers
Vancouver Canucks
59.2%
40.8%
-170
+158
-165
+150
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
0
4
-0.96488-0.93869-0.89671
Boston Bruins
Seattle Kraken
47.2%
52.8%
-117
+104
-115
+110
-1½+220
+1½-241
-1½+225
+1½-245
1
5
-0.74190-0.75294-0.63783
Utah Hockey Club
Colorado Avalanche
40.4%
59.6%
+157
-173
+165
-175
+1½-158
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+141
4
1
-0.96645-0.98819-0.90587
Tampa Bay Lightning
Calgary Flames
61.6%
38.4%
-149
+137
-150
+137
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-185
8
3
-0.53363-0.53253-0.48514
Edmonton Oilers
Minnesota Wild
50.7%
49.3%
-135
+125
-135
+132
-1½+182
+1½-202
-1½+185
+1½-197
7
1
-0.57304-0.55979-0.67889
Nashville Predators
Dallas Stars
31.2%
68.8%
+188
-205
+190
-205
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+130
4
1
-1.07696-1.08152-1.16475
San Jose Sharks
St. Louis Blues
35.7%
64.3%
+164
-172
+160
-175
+1½-155
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
3
-0.98184-0.97625-1.02893
Vegas Golden Knights
Winnipeg Jets
42.8%
57.2%
+110
-120
+111
-115
+1½-232
-1½+203
+1½-220
-1½+207
3
2
-0.76336-0.75547-0.84901
Chicago Blackhawks
New York Islanders
38.3%
61.7%
+167
-184
+170
-185
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
5
-0.45621-0.45144-0.48366
Detroit Red Wings
Philadelphia Flyers
40.8%
59.2%
+105
-118
+110
-117
+1½-230
-1½+203
+1½-220
-1½+205
1
4
-0.64249-0.63297-0.52465
Los Angeles Kings
New Jersey Devils
39.0%
61.0%
+143
-150
+144
-150
+1½-177
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+170
1
3
-0.52227-0.52062-0.49417
Anaheim Ducks
Toronto Maple Leafs
24.2%
75.8%
+363
-380
+365
-407
+1½+137
-1½-141
+1½+135
-1½-143
2
3
-0.24123-0.23736-0.27730
Pittsburgh Penguins
Montreal Canadiens
51.1%
48.9%
-113
+103
-115
+110
-1½+210
+1½-236
-1½+205
+1½-223
9
2
-0.65676-0.63673-0.67111
Washington Capitals
Columbus Blue Jackets
62.5%
37.5%
-160
+155
-164
+150
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
1
-0.49303-0.49707-0.47050
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.55275 
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.55017 
DRatings117-4 (0.636)0-0.55951
-0.00676
-0.00934

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/20/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (23-10-1, 47 pts)50.825.95.3106.998.9%60.9%36.3%19.2%9.4%
2Washington Capitals (22-8-2, 46 pts)51.923.86.4110.199.8%63.2%35.6%18.8%11.0%
3Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3, 45 pts)50.624.17.3108.599.1%60.2%34.0%18.6%9.1%
4New Jersey Devils (21-11-3, 45 pts)48.226.67.2103.797.4%52.1%26.0%13.2%7.2%
5Florida Panthers (21-11-2, 44 pts)49.426.56.1104.999.4%57.1%29.7%15.2%8.6%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-2, 44 pts)48.526.96.6103.698.4%49.1%23.9%11.3%6.0%
7Minnesota Wild (20-9-4, 44 pts)45.827.58.8100.390.9%40.3%17.0%8.0%3.0%
8Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4, 42 pts)45.427.79.099.788.8%38.3%16.3%7.1%2.6%
9Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1, 41 pts)49.227.45.4103.799.0%54.6%28.3%14.7%8.3%
10Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2, 40 pts)47.827.76.5102.293.9%58.5%32.3%17.9%8.4%
11Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0, 40 pts)46.131.44.596.880.0%39.3%18.7%8.8%4.0%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts)49.226.36.5104.999.1%61.6%35.5%19.7%11.2%
13Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts)47.330.14.699.285.9%46.4%24.6%12.7%6.0%
14Vancouver Canucks (16-10-6, 38 pts)40.929.811.393.257.8%23.0%8.2%3.0%1.1%
15Boston Bruins (17-13-4, 38 pts)39.732.99.488.946.4%15.7%4.9%1.5%0.4%
16Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5, 37 pts)42.429.610.094.766.1%25.2%10.3%4.0%1.5%
17Calgary Flames (15-11-7, 37 pts)37.232.212.687.022.3%3.8%0.9%0.3%0.1%
18Ottawa Senators (17-13-2, 36 pts)42.832.27.192.669.7%24.0%8.8%3.2%1.3%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-14-5, 35 pts)36.435.010.683.415.6%3.8%1.2%0.3%0.1%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts)36.736.09.482.77.2%2.8%0.8%0.2%0.1%
21New York Rangers (16-15-1, 33 pts)40.635.16.387.541.0%12.3%4.5%1.6%0.5%
22Philadelphia Flyers (14-15-4, 32 pts)36.136.39.681.811.9%1.4%0.5%0.2%0.0%
23Seattle Kraken (15-17-2, 32 pts)37.237.47.481.86.9%1.4%0.5%0.2%0.1%
24Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-5, 31 pts)34.936.410.680.59.1%2.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
25New York Islanders (12-14-7, 31 pts)33.635.612.880.07.5%2.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
26Detroit Red Wings (13-15-4, 30 pts)33.238.510.376.62.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
27Montreal Canadiens (13-16-3, 29 pts)32.740.09.374.61.9%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
28Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4, 28 pts)32.339.110.675.20.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-5, 27 pts)29.841.211.070.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Chicago Blackhawks (12-19-2, 26 pts)32.641.57.973.10.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (11-18-4, 26 pts)31.540.510.073.11.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Nashville Predators (9-17-7, 25 pts)31.338.112.675.30.7%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.