NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 22, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1)
New York Rangers (16-15-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.2%
43.8%
-148
+134
-145
+135
-1½+169
+1½-188
-1½+173
+1½-190
3.54
2.87
6.41
o6+102
u6-115
o6+100
u6-118
Florida Panthers (21-11-2)
Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2)
Unknown
Unknown
45.8%
54.2%
-107
-103
-110
+100
-1½+230
+1½-229
-1½+215
+1½-246
2.90
3.34
6.24
o6-114
u6+106
o6½+100
u6½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4)
Washington Capitals (22-8-2)
Unknown
Unknown
37.9%
62.1%
+140
-149
+138
-150
+1½-193
-1½+190
+1½-185
-1½+175
2.40
3.50
5.90
o5½-108
u5½-103
o5½-110
u5½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.0%
68.0%
+195
-217
+190
-210
+1½-132
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+121
2.39
3.70
6.09
o6-108
u6-101
o6-110
u6-105
Ottawa Senators (17-13-2)
Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2)
Unknown
Unknown
38.4%
61.6%
+161
-175
+160
-171
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+147
2.66
3.74
6.40
o6-113
u6½-125
o6-110
u6-105
Seattle Kraken (15-17-2)
Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0)
Unknown
MacKenzie Blackwood
34.8%
65.2%
+213
-239
+224
-245
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
2.51
3.73
6.24
o6-103
u6-110
o6-105
u6-110
Games for Dec 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Anaheim Ducks
Ottawa Senators
32.3%
67.7%
+220
-235
+210
-234
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
1
5
-0.36844-0.37873-0.39066
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
55.7%
44.3%
-146
+134
-145
+134
-1½+170
+1½-183
-1½+175
+1½-184
3
2
-0.54235-0.54352-0.58559
Florida Panthers
Seattle Kraken
59.3%
40.7%
-200
+188
-185
+177
-1½+127
+1½-139
-1½+135
+1½-144
2
1
-0.41925-0.44222-0.52216
St. Louis Blues
Vancouver Canucks
41.6%
58.4%
+151
-166
+155
-165
+1½-164
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+155
4
3
-0.94251-0.95078-0.87623
Minnesota Wild
Utah Hockey Club
51.2%
48.8%
+104
-115
+105
-114
+1½-255
-1½+230
+1½-250
-1½+220
5
4
-0.73771-0.73814-0.66994
Tampa Bay Lightning
Edmonton Oilers
48.7%
51.3%
+135
-138
+132
-144
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-184
-1½+165
1
2
-0.55036-0.54834-0.66697
Boston Bruins
Winnipeg Jets
37.0%
63.0%
+122
-132
+116
-125
+1½-215
-1½+193
+1½-230
-1½+205
1
8
-0.58316-0.60613-0.46204
Calgary Flames
Nashville Predators
44.4%
55.6%
+165
-171
+159
-174
+1½-163
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
3
-0.98288-0.97257-0.81247
Los Angeles Kings
New York Islanders
51.2%
48.8%
-127
+119
-128
+118
-1½+205
+1½-220
-1½+210
+1½-230
3
1
-0.59673-0.59724-0.66890
Colorado Avalanche
Pittsburgh Penguins
59.1%
40.9%
-171
+157
-175
+161
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
6
2
-0.48036-0.47130-0.52567
San Jose Sharks
Carolina Hurricanes
22.1%
77.9%
+410
-459
+425
-500
+1½+167
-1½-183
+1½+165
-1½-180
2
3
-0.21415-0.20586-0.24936
Philadelphia Flyers
Columbus Blue Jackets
47.7%
52.3%
-124
+113
-125
+116
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+200
+1½-223
5
3
-0.61415-0.60613-0.74064
Toronto Maple Leafs
New Jersey Devils
40.3%
59.7%
+125
-134
+125
-133
+1½-205
-1½+183
+1½-210
-1½+185
2
1
-0.82789-0.82608-0.90994
Anaheim Ducks
Montreal Canadiens
46.7%
53.3%
+134
-147
+135
-148
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
3
-0.54120-0.53828-0.62854
Chicago Blackhawks
New York Rangers
32.7%
67.3%
+219
-247
+225
-227
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
2
1
-1.18502-1.18055-1.11865
Detroit Red Wings
Buffalo Sabres
40.9%
59.1%
+112
-123
+111
-120
+1½-210
-1½+188
+1½-207
-1½+200
6
5
-0.77442-0.76589-0.89463
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.55275 
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.55017 
DRatings117-4 (0.636)0-0.55951
-0.00676
-0.00934

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/21/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (24-10-1, 49 pts)51.525.45.2108.199.3%63.4%37.9%21.1%11.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (22-8-3, 47 pts)51.323.57.2109.999.6%62.6%36.0%20.0%10.0%
3New Jersey Devils (22-11-3, 47 pts)48.726.27.1104.698.6%51.6%26.1%13.5%7.2%
4Washington Capitals (22-8-2, 46 pts)51.824.06.2109.999.8%61.3%32.8%17.6%9.9%
5Florida Panthers (21-11-2, 44 pts)49.326.66.1104.798.8%59.1%32.9%16.8%9.0%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-2, 44 pts)47.428.16.5101.396.0%46.6%21.3%9.8%4.8%
7Minnesota Wild (20-10-4, 44 pts)45.128.18.799.086.0%33.9%14.7%6.2%2.3%
8Los Angeles Kings (19-9-5, 43 pts)44.327.79.998.688.1%36.2%14.7%6.4%2.4%
9Edmonton Oilers (20-11-2, 42 pts)48.427.26.4103.296.0%58.8%32.4%17.9%9.3%
10Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1, 41 pts)49.527.25.3104.398.7%54.7%30.1%16.0%8.8%
11Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0, 40 pts)46.131.64.396.580.1%36.3%17.5%8.3%3.6%
12Boston Bruins (18-13-4, 40 pts)40.632.39.190.452.9%13.4%4.3%1.5%0.5%
13Vancouver Canucks (16-10-7, 39 pts)40.029.812.392.252.7%18.5%6.9%2.2%0.6%
14Calgary Flames (16-11-7, 39 pts)37.931.612.588.326.1%7.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
15Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts)49.026.66.4104.498.2%60.5%34.1%18.5%10.3%
16Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts)47.330.14.699.288.8%48.4%24.4%12.1%5.7%
17Ottawa Senators (18-13-2, 38 pts)43.831.46.994.476.2%28.8%11.2%4.5%1.9%
18Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5, 37 pts)42.229.99.994.367.2%28.5%11.7%4.7%1.8%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-15-5, 35 pts)36.135.510.482.512.7%3.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts)37.035.79.483.38.6%2.5%0.7%0.2%0.1%
21Philadelphia Flyers (15-15-4, 34 pts)36.735.79.583.011.8%4.6%1.3%0.2%0.1%
22New York Rangers (16-15-1, 33 pts)40.535.26.387.337.4%10.8%3.8%1.2%0.5%
23New York Islanders (13-14-7, 33 pts)34.635.012.481.69.3%2.6%0.8%0.1%0.1%
24Seattle Kraken (15-18-2, 32 pts)36.937.97.381.05.0%3.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-6, 32 pts)34.136.311.679.86.6%2.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
26Montreal Canadiens (14-16-3, 31 pts)33.339.49.375.91.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Detroit Red Wings (13-16-4, 30 pts)32.539.310.275.21.0%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
28Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4, 28 pts)32.239.410.374.81.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-6, 28 pts)29.041.111.970.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (10-17-7, 27 pts)32.137.512.476.61.5%0.3%0.1%0.1%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (11-19-4, 26 pts)30.941.29.971.80.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Chicago Blackhawks (12-20-2, 26 pts)31.842.47.971.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.