NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 22, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Florida Panthers (21-11-2)
Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2)
Unknown
Unknown
45.8%
54.2%
-106
-101
-107
+102
-1½+225
+1½-229
-1½+216
+1½-240
2.88
3.34
6.22
o6½+106
u6½-114
o6-120
u6½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4)
Washington Capitals (22-8-2)
Unknown
Unknown
37.9%
62.1%
+141
-155
+140
-154
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+175
2.40
3.50
5.90
o5½+104
u5½-113
o5½+105
u5½-115
Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.0%
68.0%
+184
-205
+190
-210
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
2.39
3.70
6.09
o6-118
u6½-115
o6-110
u6+105
Ottawa Senators (17-13-2)
Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2)
Unknown
Unknown
38.4%
61.6%
+161
-175
+160
-171
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+147
2.66
3.74
6.40
o6-113
u6+102
o6-110
u6-105
Seattle Kraken (15-17-2)
Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0)
Unknown
MacKenzie Blackwood
34.8%
65.2%
+241
-270
+247
-280
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
2.51
3.73
6.24
o6-103
u6-108
o6-105
u6-110
Games for Dec 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Red Wings
Buffalo Sabres
40.9%
59.1%
+112
-123
+111
-120
+1½-210
-1½+188
+1½-207
-1½+200
6
5
-0.77442-0.76589-0.89463
Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars
32.0%
68.0%
+195
-215
+195
-215
+1½-132
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+120
2
6
-0.40323-0.40323-0.38516
Utah Hockey Club
Philadelphia Flyers
50.8%
49.2%
-103
-109
-105
-105
+1½-255
-1½+230
-1½+240
-1½+232
4
2
-0.70698-0.69315-0.67680
Colorado Avalanche
New Jersey Devils
35.6%
64.4%
+139
-150
+140
-145
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
4
0
-0.88953-0.88394-1.03356
Columbus Blue Jackets
Winnipeg Jets
33.8%
66.2%
+135
-144
+140
-140
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+168
4
1
-0.86998-0.87546-1.08512
New York Islanders
Ottawa Senators
41.5%
58.5%
+116
-120
+116
-125
+1½-217
-1½+190
+1½-200
-1½+197
4
2
-0.77849-0.78847-0.87931
Tampa Bay Lightning
Vancouver Canucks
57.4%
42.6%
-128
+115
-115
+110
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+220
+1½-220
4
2
-0.60349-0.63673-0.55523
Seattle Kraken
New York Rangers
37.5%
62.5%
+146
-160
+150
-160
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
7
5
-0.92181-0.93156-0.97990
St. Louis Blues
Edmonton Oilers
34.8%
65.2%
+231
-262
+235
-265
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
2
4
-0.34883-0.34441-0.42812
Minnesota Wild
Los Angeles Kings
48.1%
51.9%
+149
-162
+153
-165
+1½-178
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
4
-0.50048-0.49153-0.65591
Washington Capitals
Montreal Canadiens
64.7%
35.3%
-143
+129
-138
+131
-1½+173
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-190
4
2
-0.55506-0.55767-0.43490
Toronto Maple Leafs
Pittsburgh Penguins
59.9%
40.1%
-160
+145
-155
+146
-1½+155
+1½-167
-1½+165
+1½-170
2
5
-0.91937-0.91442-0.91335
Colorado Avalanche
Detroit Red Wings
59.2%
40.8%
-200
+179
-205
+185
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
1
-0.43024-0.42006-0.52450
Nashville Predators
Ottawa Senators
43.0%
57.0%
+106
-119
+109
-115
+1½-227
-1½+205
+1½-230
-1½+210
1
3
-0.63836-0.63898-0.56205
San Jose Sharks
Florida Panthers
22.6%
77.4%
+328
-375
+341
-395
+1½+133
-1½-143
+1½+145
-1½-145
1
3
-0.25924-0.25012-0.25649
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Islanders
63.1%
36.9%
-187
+173
-188
+175
-1½+137
+1½-147
-1½+140
+1½-150
3
4
-1.02201-1.02786-0.99585
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.57739 
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.57878 
DRatings96-3 (0.667)0-0.57830
-0.00090
0.00048

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/21/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (24-10-1, 49 pts)51.525.45.2108.199.3%63.4%37.9%21.1%11.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (22-8-3, 47 pts)51.323.57.2109.999.6%62.6%36.0%20.0%10.0%
3New Jersey Devils (22-11-3, 47 pts)48.726.27.1104.698.6%51.6%26.1%13.5%7.2%
4Washington Capitals (22-8-2, 46 pts)51.824.06.2109.999.8%61.3%32.8%17.6%9.9%
5Florida Panthers (21-11-2, 44 pts)49.326.66.1104.798.8%59.1%32.9%16.8%9.0%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-2, 44 pts)47.428.16.5101.396.0%46.6%21.3%9.8%4.8%
7Minnesota Wild (20-10-4, 44 pts)45.128.18.799.086.0%33.9%14.7%6.2%2.3%
8Los Angeles Kings (19-9-5, 43 pts)44.327.79.998.688.1%36.2%14.7%6.4%2.4%
9Edmonton Oilers (20-11-2, 42 pts)48.427.26.4103.296.0%58.8%32.4%17.9%9.3%
10Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1, 41 pts)49.527.25.3104.398.7%54.7%30.1%16.0%8.8%
11Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0, 40 pts)46.131.64.396.580.1%36.3%17.5%8.3%3.6%
12Boston Bruins (18-13-4, 40 pts)40.632.39.190.452.9%13.4%4.3%1.5%0.5%
13Vancouver Canucks (16-10-7, 39 pts)40.029.812.392.252.7%18.5%6.9%2.2%0.6%
14Calgary Flames (16-11-7, 39 pts)37.931.612.588.326.1%7.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
15Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts)49.026.66.4104.498.2%60.5%34.1%18.5%10.3%
16Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts)47.330.14.699.288.8%48.4%24.4%12.1%5.7%
17Ottawa Senators (18-13-2, 38 pts)43.831.46.994.476.2%28.8%11.2%4.5%1.9%
18Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5, 37 pts)42.229.99.994.367.2%28.5%11.7%4.7%1.8%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-15-5, 35 pts)36.135.510.482.512.7%3.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts)37.035.79.483.38.6%2.5%0.7%0.2%0.1%
21Philadelphia Flyers (15-15-4, 34 pts)36.735.79.583.011.8%4.6%1.3%0.2%0.1%
22New York Rangers (16-15-1, 33 pts)40.535.26.387.337.4%10.8%3.8%1.2%0.5%
23New York Islanders (13-14-7, 33 pts)34.635.012.481.69.3%2.6%0.8%0.1%0.1%
24Seattle Kraken (15-18-2, 32 pts)36.937.97.381.05.0%3.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-6, 32 pts)34.136.311.679.86.6%2.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
26Montreal Canadiens (14-16-3, 31 pts)33.339.49.375.91.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Detroit Red Wings (13-16-4, 30 pts)32.539.310.275.21.0%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
28Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4, 28 pts)32.239.410.374.81.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-6, 28 pts)29.041.111.970.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (10-17-7, 27 pts)32.137.512.476.61.5%0.3%0.1%0.1%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (11-19-4, 26 pts)30.941.29.971.80.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Chicago Blackhawks (12-20-2, 26 pts)31.842.47.971.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.