NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 16, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4)
Florida Panthers (47-31-4)
Unknown
Unknown
41.2%
58.8%
+203
-227
+210
-235
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+115
2.34
3.28
5.62
o5½-113
u5½+101
o5½-110
u5½-105
Games for May 15, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
45.0%
55.0%
+163
-175
+160
-170
+1½-158
-1½+149
+1½-164
-1½+155
4
5
-0.46844-0.47678-0.59873
New York Rangers
Carolina Hurricanes
39.4%
60.6%
+169
-186
+175
-190
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+135
3
7
-0.45210-0.44150-0.50111
Washington Capitals
Columbus Blue Jackets
54.8%
45.2%
+110
-117
+113
-120
+1½-228
-1½+215
+1½-225
-1½+200
0
7
-0.63297-0.62096-0.79372
New York Islanders
Philadelphia Flyers
47.6%
52.4%
+106
-113
-101
-107
+1½-245
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+225
3
4
-0.64972-0.67911-0.64651
Minnesota Wild
Calgary Flames
48.3%
51.7%
-120
+107
-120
+110
-1½+215
+1½-236
-1½+215
+1½-230
2
4
-0.75568-0.76336-0.66012
San Jose Sharks
Edmonton Oilers
27.2%
72.8%
+318
-360
+345
-370
+1½+122
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-140
2
4
-0.26673-0.25112-0.31747
Detroit Red Wings
Tampa Bay Lightning
30.8%
69.2%
+286
-310
+291
-300
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-115
4
3
-1.36571-1.36928-1.17782
Montreal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators
40.0%
60.0%
+132
-140
+134
-138
+1½-180
-1½+173
+1½-185
-1½+180
2
5
-0.55326-0.55217-0.51063
Pittsburgh Penguins
New Jersey Devils
36.2%
63.8%
+160
-175
+170
-184
+1½-150
-1½+144
+1½-155
-1½+138
4
2
-0.97625-1.01134-1.01708
Anaheim Ducks
Los Angeles Kings
31.8%
68.2%
+291
-335
+305
-340
+1½+112
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-123
1
6
-0.28675-0.27727-0.38226
Seattle Kraken
Vegas Golden Knights
37.5%
62.5%
+220
-245
+240
-245
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-110
-1½+105
1
2
-0.36468-0.34654-0.47024
Nashville Predators
Utah Hockey Club
42.3%
57.7%
+169
-175
+170
-184
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
4
3
-0.99761-1.01134-0.86112
Vancouver Canucks
Colorado Avalanche
37.8%
62.2%
+193
-210
+191
-200
+1½-133
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+130
4
1
-1.09354-1.07843-0.97172
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars
44.5%
55.5%
+102
+100
+107
-108
+1½-260
-1½+240
+1½-240
-1½+230
4
0
-0.69814-0.72987-0.80970
New York Rangers
New York Islanders
46.4%
53.6%
-105
-106
+100
-109
-1½+230
-1½+220
+1½-240
-1½+225
9
2
-0.69545-0.71445-0.76733
Carolina Hurricanes
Washington Capitals
50.1%
49.9%
-154
+144
-155
+142
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
4
5
-0.90800-0.90461-0.69445
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.56463 
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.56156 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.64396
-0.07934
-0.08241

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/13/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%100.0%88.4%44.2%22.1%
2Dallas Stars (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%100.0%84.4%43.1%21.3%
3Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5, 101 pts)48.029.05.0101.0100.0%100.0%86.8%41.3%19.7%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 108 pts)52.026.04.0108.0100.0%100.0%53.6%28.4%15.0%
5Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 98 pts)47.031.04.098.0100.0%100.0%46.4%22.5%11.4%
6Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4, 116 pts)56.022.04.0116.0100.0%100.0%15.6%9.1%5.1%
7Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10, 110 pts)50.022.010.0110.0100.0%100.0%13.2%6.5%3.2%
8Washington Capitals (51-22-9, 111 pts)51.022.09.0111.0100.0%100.0%11.6%4.9%2.4%
9Los Angeles Kings (48-25-9, 105 pts)48.025.09.0105.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 102 pts)47.027.08.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4, 102 pts)49.029.04.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Minnesota Wild (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14St. Louis Blues (44-30-8, 96 pts)44.030.08.096.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Calgary Flames (41-27-14, 96 pts)41.027.014.096.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16New Jersey Devils (42-33-7, 91 pts)42.033.07.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Vancouver Canucks (38-30-14, 90 pts)38.030.014.090.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Columbus Blue Jackets (40-33-9, 89 pts)40.033.09.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Utah Hockey Club (38-31-13, 89 pts)38.031.013.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Detroit Red Wings (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Rangers (39-36-7, 85 pts)39.036.07.085.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Islanders (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Anaheim Ducks (35-37-10, 80 pts)35.037.010.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Pittsburgh Penguins (34-36-12, 80 pts)34.036.012.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Buffalo Sabres (36-39-7, 79 pts)36.039.07.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Boston Bruins (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Seattle Kraken (35-41-6, 76 pts)35.041.06.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Philadelphia Flyers (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (30-44-8, 68 pts)30.044.08.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (25-46-11, 61 pts)25.046.011.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (20-50-12, 52 pts)20.050.012.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.