NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 23, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (16-15-1)
New Jersey Devils (21-11-3)
Igor Shesterkin
Unknown
35.2%
64.8%
+169
-185
+181
-185
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-143
-1½+140
2.50
3.71
6.21
o6-118
u6+104
o6-115
u6½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Winnipeg Jets (23-10-1)
Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-2)
Unknown
Unknown
47.9%
52.1%
+100
-113
+105
-110
+1½-240
-1½+200
+1½-190
-1½+210
2.87
3.09
5.96
o6+104
u6-115
o6+105
u6-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Montreal Canadiens (13-16-3)
Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-5)
Unknown
Unknown
40.7%
59.3%
+118
-130
+120
-130
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+190
2.76
3.77
6.53
o6½+102
u6½-113
o6½+100
u6½-110
Washington Capitals (22-8-2)
Boston Bruins (17-13-4)
Unknown
Unknown
52.5%
47.5%
+110
-123
+119
-125
+1½-220
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
3.10
2.82
5.92
o6-101
u6-105
o6+100
u6-105
Overall Bet Value Active
St. Louis Blues (15-16-4)
Detroit Red Wings (13-15-4)
Unknown
Unknown
48.8%
51.2%
-102
-110
-102
-107
+1½-255
-1½+225
+1½-250
-1½+225
2.87
3.00
5.87
o5½-116
u5½+102
o5½-110
u6-120
Philadelphia Flyers (14-15-4)
Pittsburgh Penguins (15-14-5)
Unknown
Unknown
47.9%
52.1%
+104
-117
+105
-113
+1½-235
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+210
3.06
3.28
6.34
o6½+102
u6½-115
o6-120
u6½-115
Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2)
Florida Panthers (21-11-2)
Unknown
Unknown
47.1%
52.9%
+138
-145
+135
-145
+1½-195
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+173
2.95
3.27
6.22
o6½-105
u6½-108
o6½-105
u6½-110
Buffalo Sabres (11-18-4)
New York Islanders (12-14-7)
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Ilya Sorokin
44.0%
56.0%
+130
-144
+137
-144
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
2.53
3.18
5.71
o5½-118
u5½+104
o5½-120
u6-115
Chicago Blackhawks (12-19-2)
Minnesota Wild (20-9-4)
Unknown
Jesper Wallstedt
34.6%
65.4%
+227
-255
+230
-240
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
2.23
3.45
5.68
o5½-118
u5½+104
o5½-110
u5½+100
Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1)
Nashville Predators (9-17-7)
Unknown
Unknown
62.4%
37.6%
-133
+125
-131
+130
-1½+190
+1½-205
-1½+184
+1½-200
3.66
2.56
6.22
o6-103
u6-106
o6-110
u6-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Jose Sharks (11-19-5)
Vancouver Canucks (16-10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
31.6%
68.4%
+216
-240
+220
-244
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-115
-1½+110
2.32
3.65
5.97
o6+100
u6-113
o6+100
u6-115
Dallas Stars (19-13-0)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5)
Jake Oettinger
Karel Vejmelka
58.3%
41.7%
-152
+136
-140
+145
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-180
3.41
2.52
5.93
o6-108
u6-103
o6-110
u6+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4)
Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3)
Unknown
Unknown
25.0%
75.0%
+278
-312
+280
-319
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-118
2.27
3.95
6.22
o6-120
u6½-118
o6-115
u6+105
Games for Dec 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Ottawa Senators (17-13-2)
Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2)
38.4%
61.6%
+156
-172
+160
-171
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
6.40
o6-111
u6-103
o6-110
u6+100
3rd P
16:27
1
3
Seattle Kraken (15-17-2)
Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0)
34.8%
65.2%
+250
-270
+270
-300
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
6.24
o6-113
u6+100
o6-115
u6+100
3rd P
20:00
2
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville Predators
Ottawa Senators
43.0%
57.0%
+106
-119
+109
-115
+1½-227
-1½+205
+1½-230
-1½+210
1
3
-0.63836-0.63898-0.56205
San Jose Sharks
Florida Panthers
22.6%
77.4%
+328
-375
+341
-395
+1½+133
-1½-143
+1½+145
-1½-145
1
3
-0.25924-0.25012-0.25649
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Islanders
63.1%
36.9%
-187
+173
-188
+175
-1½+137
+1½-147
-1½+140
+1½-150
3
4
-1.02201-1.02786-0.99585
Winnipeg Jets
Chicago Blackhawks
66.1%
33.9%
-198
+180
-200
+181
-1½+137
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
4
2
-0.43017-0.42776-0.41461
Philadelphia Flyers
Boston Bruins
44.3%
55.7%
+138
-150
+135
-143
+1½-177
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+176
3
4
-0.53079-0.54412-0.58550
Utah Hockey Club
Buffalo Sabres
49.3%
50.7%
+102
-114
+102
-112
+1½-241
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+220
5
2
-0.73048-0.72619-0.70664
Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights
52.3%
47.7%
-139
+130
-140
+135
-1½+190
+1½-202
-1½+181
+1½-200
2
3
-0.84915-0.86325-0.73921
Minnesota Wild
Anaheim Ducks
64.1%
35.9%
-191
+173
-190
+180
-1½+127
+1½-142
-1½+135
+1½-140
5
1
-0.44345-0.43510-0.44504
Columbus Blue Jackets
Vancouver Canucks
38.6%
61.4%
+190
-208
+195
-215
+1½-125
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+115
2
5
-0.41252-0.40323-0.48804
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
33.0%
67.0%
+178
-200
+176
-195
+1½-142
-1½+127
+1½-135
-1½+127
2
4
-0.43149-0.43705-0.40097
Seattle Kraken
New Jersey Devils
30.3%
69.7%
+235
-265
+233
-250
+1½-105
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+102
2
3
-0.34441-0.35095-0.36157
Washington Capitals
Toronto Maple Leafs
49.1%
50.9%
+128
-144
+132
-139
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+173
3
1
-0.85252-0.85411-0.71040
St. Louis Blues
Calgary Flames
44.6%
55.4%
+111
-124
+114
-121
+1½-227
-1½+205
+1½-236
-1½+206
4
3
-0.77382-0.77551-0.80641
Columbus Blue Jackets
Edmonton Oilers
36.1%
63.9%
+250
-280
+250
-280
+1½+102
-1½-113
+1½-102
-1½-115
3
6
-0.32768-0.32768-0.44710
Seattle Kraken
New York Islanders
47.0%
53.0%
+109
-122
+115
-117
+1½-240
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+216
5
2
-0.76479-0.76975-0.75396
Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa Senators
37.9%
62.1%
+161
-180
+160
-175
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-159
-1½+140
1
2
-0.46749-0.47276-0.47568
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.67813 
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.67696 
DRatings63-3 (0.500)0-0.69107
-0.01294
-0.01411

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/21/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (24-10-1, 49 pts)51.525.45.2108.199.3%63.4%37.9%21.1%11.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (22-8-3, 47 pts)51.323.57.2109.999.6%62.6%36.0%20.0%10.0%
3New Jersey Devils (22-11-3, 47 pts)48.726.27.1104.698.6%51.6%26.1%13.5%7.2%
4Washington Capitals (22-8-2, 46 pts)51.824.06.2109.999.8%61.3%32.8%17.6%9.9%
5Florida Panthers (21-11-2, 44 pts)49.326.66.1104.798.8%59.1%32.9%16.8%9.0%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-2, 44 pts)47.428.16.5101.396.0%46.6%21.3%9.8%4.8%
7Minnesota Wild (20-10-4, 44 pts)45.128.18.799.086.0%33.9%14.7%6.2%2.3%
8Los Angeles Kings (19-9-5, 43 pts)44.327.79.998.688.1%36.2%14.7%6.4%2.4%
9Edmonton Oilers (20-11-2, 42 pts)48.427.26.4103.296.0%58.8%32.4%17.9%9.3%
10Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1, 41 pts)49.527.25.3104.398.7%54.7%30.1%16.0%8.8%
11Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0, 40 pts)46.131.64.396.580.1%36.3%17.5%8.3%3.6%
12Boston Bruins (18-13-4, 40 pts)40.632.39.190.452.9%13.4%4.3%1.5%0.5%
13Vancouver Canucks (16-10-7, 39 pts)40.029.812.392.252.7%18.5%6.9%2.2%0.6%
14Calgary Flames (16-11-7, 39 pts)37.931.612.588.326.1%7.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
15Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts)49.026.66.4104.498.2%60.5%34.1%18.5%10.3%
16Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts)47.330.14.699.288.8%48.4%24.4%12.1%5.7%
17Ottawa Senators (18-13-2, 38 pts)43.831.46.994.476.2%28.8%11.2%4.5%1.9%
18Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5, 37 pts)42.229.99.994.367.2%28.5%11.7%4.7%1.8%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-15-5, 35 pts)36.135.510.482.512.7%3.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts)37.035.79.483.38.6%2.5%0.7%0.2%0.1%
21Philadelphia Flyers (15-15-4, 34 pts)36.735.79.583.011.8%4.6%1.3%0.2%0.1%
22New York Rangers (16-15-1, 33 pts)40.535.26.387.337.4%10.8%3.8%1.2%0.5%
23New York Islanders (13-14-7, 33 pts)34.635.012.481.69.3%2.6%0.8%0.1%0.1%
24Seattle Kraken (15-18-2, 32 pts)36.937.97.381.05.0%3.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-6, 32 pts)34.136.311.679.86.6%2.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
26Montreal Canadiens (14-16-3, 31 pts)33.339.49.375.91.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Detroit Red Wings (13-16-4, 30 pts)32.539.310.275.21.0%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
28Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4, 28 pts)32.239.410.374.81.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-6, 28 pts)29.041.111.970.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (10-17-7, 27 pts)32.137.512.476.61.5%0.3%0.1%0.1%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (11-19-4, 26 pts)30.941.29.971.80.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Chicago Blackhawks (12-20-2, 26 pts)31.842.47.971.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.