NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 23, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Rangers (16-15-1)
New Jersey Devils (21-11-3)
Igor Shesterkin
Unknown
35.2%
64.8%
+173
-188
+181
-190
+1½-142
-1½+128
+1½-143
-1½+140
2.50
3.71
6.21
o6-117
u6+104
o6-115
u6+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Winnipeg Jets (23-10-1)
Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-2)
Unknown
Unknown
47.9%
52.1%
+100
-106
+105
-110
+1½-255
-1½+215
+1½-200
-1½+210
2.87
3.09
5.96
o6+104
u6-115
o6+105
u6-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Montreal Canadiens (13-16-3)
Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-5)
Unknown
Unknown
40.7%
59.3%
+118
-126
+120
-125
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-204
-1½+185
2.76
3.77
6.53
o6½+102
u6½-113
o6½+100
u6½-110
Washington Capitals (22-8-2)
Boston Bruins (17-13-4)
Unknown
Unknown
52.5%
47.5%
+111
-124
+119
-126
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-210
-1½+190
3.10
2.82
5.92
o5½-112
u6-118
o6+100
u6-115
St. Louis Blues (15-16-4)
Detroit Red Wings (13-15-4)
Unknown
Unknown
48.8%
51.2%
-102
-109
-102
-107
+1½-255
-1½+225
+1½-250
-1½+225
2.87
3.00
5.87
o5½-116
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
Philadelphia Flyers (14-15-4)
Pittsburgh Penguins (15-14-5)
Unknown
Unknown
47.9%
52.1%
+104
-114
+105
-113
+1½-235
-1½+200
+1½-240
-1½+210
3.06
3.28
6.34
o6½+102
u6½-115
o6-120
u6½-115
Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2)
Florida Panthers (21-11-2)
Unknown
Unknown
47.1%
52.9%
+134
-147
+135
-145
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+173
2.95
3.27
6.22
o6½-108
u6½-108
o6½-105
u6½-110
Buffalo Sabres (11-18-4)
New York Islanders (12-14-7)
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Ilya Sorokin
44.0%
56.0%
+130
-142
+137
-145
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
2.53
3.18
5.71
o5½-118
u5½+104
o5½-120
u6-115
Chicago Blackhawks (12-19-2)
Minnesota Wild (20-9-4)
Unknown
Jesper Wallstedt
34.6%
65.4%
+221
-240
+230
-240
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-115
-1½+110
2.23
3.45
5.68
o5½-112
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1)
Nashville Predators (9-17-7)
Unknown
Unknown
62.4%
37.6%
-133
+123
-131
+130
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+184
+1½-200
3.66
2.56
6.22
o6+100
u6-108
o6-110
u6-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Jose Sharks (11-19-5)
Vancouver Canucks (16-10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
31.6%
68.4%
+216
-240
+220
-244
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-115
-1½+110
2.32
3.65
5.97
o6-101
u6-113
o6+100
u6-115
Dallas Stars (19-13-0)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5)
Jake Oettinger
Karel Vejmelka
58.3%
41.7%
-154
+145
-145
+145
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+175
+1½-180
3.41
2.52
5.93
o6-108
u6-108
o6-110
u6+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4)
Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3)
Unknown
Unknown
25.0%
75.0%
+278
-320
+280
-319
+1½+105
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-118
2.27
3.95
6.22
o6-118
u6+104
o6-115
u6+105
Games for Dec 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Kraken
New York Islanders
47.0%
53.0%
+109
-122
+115
-117
+1½-240
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+216
5
2
-0.76479-0.76975-0.75396
Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa Senators
37.9%
62.1%
+161
-180
+160
-175
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-159
-1½+140
1
2
-0.46749-0.47276-0.47568
Nashville Predators
Montreal Canadiens
55.2%
44.8%
-129
+120
-125
+125
-1½+188
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-194
0
3
-0.80616-0.81094-0.80370
San Jose Sharks
Tampa Bay Lightning
26.8%
73.2%
+233
-265
+242
-265
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-114
-1½-104
1
8
-0.34616-0.33843-0.31247
Colorado Avalanche
Carolina Hurricanes
38.4%
61.6%
+135
-146
+133
-138
+1½-177
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+168
3
5
-0.54056-0.55399-0.48379
Winnipeg Jets
Buffalo Sabres
56.9%
43.1%
-135
+124
-135
+126
-1½+185
+1½-207
-1½+190
+1½-215
3
2
-0.57499-0.57111-0.56387
Florida Panthers
Philadelphia Flyers
59.8%
40.2%
-185
+167
-180
+176
-1½+142
+1½-150
-1½+145
+1½-154
7
5
-0.45552-0.44699-0.51493
Dallas Stars
Los Angeles Kings
56.1%
43.9%
-110
+100
-110
+102
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+225
+1½-247
2
3
-0.71668-0.72177-0.82225
Vegas Golden Knights
Anaheim Ducks
58.6%
41.4%
-144
+130
-146
+140
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-175
4
1
-0.55199-0.53184-0.53379
Boston Bruins
Chicago Blackhawks
50.8%
49.2%
-137
+127
-135
+130
-1½+180
+1½-197
-1½+185
+1½-200
4
2
-0.56650-0.56352-0.67810
Nashville Predators
Toronto Maple Leafs
40.5%
59.5%
+120
-134
+123
-127
+1½-202
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+200
2
3
-0.58431-0.58864-0.51913
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
48.9%
51.1%
-140
+127
-130
+122
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+185
+1½-204
0
1
-0.84337-0.81306-0.67162
Columbus Blue Jackets
Calgary Flames
46.4%
53.6%
+129
-138
+128
-135
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-192
-1½+175
0
3
-0.56140-0.56729-0.62340
Vancouver Canucks
Minnesota Wild
39.8%
60.2%
+133
-144
+128
-135
+1½-190
-1½+180
+1½-197
-1½+190
2
3
-0.54652-0.56729-0.50668
St. Louis Blues
Winnipeg Jets
29.5%
70.5%
+191
-215
+185
-199
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+131
4
1
-1.09401-1.06360-1.21929
New York Islanders
Montreal Canadiens
58.4%
41.6%
-133
+119
-130
+121
-1½+200
+1½-215
-1½+195
+1½-215
1
2
-0.81099-0.81054-0.87587
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks65-1 (0.833)0-0.60445 
Sportsbooks65-1 (0.833)0-0.60059 
DRatings64-2 (0.667)0-0.64758
-0.04313
-0.04699

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/21/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (24-10-1, 49 pts)51.525.45.2108.199.3%63.4%37.9%21.1%11.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (22-8-3, 47 pts)51.323.57.2109.999.6%62.6%36.0%20.0%10.0%
3New Jersey Devils (22-11-3, 47 pts)48.726.27.1104.698.6%51.6%26.1%13.5%7.2%
4Washington Capitals (22-8-2, 46 pts)51.824.06.2109.999.8%61.3%32.8%17.6%9.9%
5Florida Panthers (21-11-2, 44 pts)49.326.66.1104.798.8%59.1%32.9%16.8%9.0%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-2, 44 pts)47.428.16.5101.396.0%46.6%21.3%9.8%4.8%
7Minnesota Wild (20-10-4, 44 pts)45.128.18.799.086.0%33.9%14.7%6.2%2.3%
8Los Angeles Kings (19-9-5, 43 pts)44.327.79.998.688.1%36.2%14.7%6.4%2.4%
9Edmonton Oilers (20-11-2, 42 pts)48.427.26.4103.296.0%58.8%32.4%17.9%9.3%
10Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1, 41 pts)49.527.25.3104.398.7%54.7%30.1%16.0%8.8%
11Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0, 40 pts)46.131.64.396.580.1%36.3%17.5%8.3%3.6%
12Boston Bruins (18-13-4, 40 pts)40.632.39.190.452.9%13.4%4.3%1.5%0.5%
13Vancouver Canucks (16-10-7, 39 pts)40.029.812.392.252.7%18.5%6.9%2.2%0.6%
14Calgary Flames (16-11-7, 39 pts)37.931.612.588.326.1%7.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
15Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts)49.026.66.4104.498.2%60.5%34.1%18.5%10.3%
16Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts)47.330.14.699.288.8%48.4%24.4%12.1%5.7%
17Ottawa Senators (18-13-2, 38 pts)43.831.46.994.476.2%28.8%11.2%4.5%1.9%
18Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5, 37 pts)42.229.99.994.367.2%28.5%11.7%4.7%1.8%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-15-5, 35 pts)36.135.510.482.512.7%3.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts)37.035.79.483.38.6%2.5%0.7%0.2%0.1%
21Philadelphia Flyers (15-15-4, 34 pts)36.735.79.583.011.8%4.6%1.3%0.2%0.1%
22New York Rangers (16-15-1, 33 pts)40.535.26.387.337.4%10.8%3.8%1.2%0.5%
23New York Islanders (13-14-7, 33 pts)34.635.012.481.69.3%2.6%0.8%0.1%0.1%
24Seattle Kraken (15-18-2, 32 pts)36.937.97.381.05.0%3.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-6, 32 pts)34.136.311.679.86.6%2.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
26Montreal Canadiens (14-16-3, 31 pts)33.339.49.375.91.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Detroit Red Wings (13-16-4, 30 pts)32.539.310.275.21.0%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
28Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4, 28 pts)32.239.410.374.81.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-6, 28 pts)29.041.111.970.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (10-17-7, 27 pts)32.137.512.476.61.5%0.3%0.1%0.1%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (11-19-4, 26 pts)30.941.29.971.80.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Chicago Blackhawks (12-20-2, 26 pts)31.842.47.971.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.