Paços at Benfica

Updated

Pacos

9.0%6.7%84.4%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.35Projected Goals 3.27
0Final Score 2

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Pacos
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Santa Clara+170
W 1-0 at Tondela+185
L 1-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+265
L 2-1 vs Vitoria+220
L 0-2 at Maritimo+255
Benfica
Money Line
L 1-3 at Porto+350
W 1-7 vs Maritimo-650
W 4-1 at Famalicao-170
L 3-1 vs Sporting CP+110
W 1-6 vs Braga-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+1300+1300+1000+1530+1386+1000+1530+1629.5
Benfica-500-550-526-560-596-526-526-448.7
Draw+525+575+550+669+633+550+669+703.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+1900----+1400+1400+1629.5
Benfica-700-----525-525-448.7
Draw+700----+600+600+703.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Benfica ML moved from -551 to -560

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +1300 to +1275
Benfica ML moved from -460 to -525

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122o3¼-105o3¼-106o3-132-o3¼-106o3-132o3¼+105
Underu3+102u3¼-115u3¼-114u3+117-u3¼-114u3¼-114u3¼-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+105
Under-----u3¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes28.3%
 
No71.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.67%
Exactly 217.53%
Exactly 419.17%
Exactly 68.39%
Exactly 81.97%
Exactly 100.29%
 
Exactly 19.68%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 513.89%
Exactly 74.34%
Exactly 90.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 070.64%
Exactly 124.55%
Exactly 24.27%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 03.78%
Exactly 112.39%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 418.13%
Exactly 511.87%
Exactly 66.48%
Exactly 73.03%
Exactly 81.24%
Exactly 90.45%
Exactly 100.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.69%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 46.16%
Exactly 60.58%
 
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 314.70%
Exactly 52.07%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 085.13%
Exactly 113.70%
Exactly 21.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 021.95%
Exactly 133.29%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 312.76%
Exactly 44.84%
Exactly 51.47%
Exactly 60.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals0.24%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals76.65%
Wins by 3+ goals56.05%
Wins by 4+ goals35.42%
Wins by 5+ goals19.41%
Wins by 6+ goals9.30%
Wins by 7+ goals3.92%
Wins by 8+ goals1.45%
Wins by 9+ goals0.46%
Wins by 10+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Pacos
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal1.56%
Wins by 2 goals0.22%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal14.76%
Wins by 2 goals20.59%
Wins by 3 goals20.63%
Wins by 4 goals16.01%
Wins by 5 goals10.11%
Wins by 6 goals5.38%
Wins by 7 goals2.47%
Wins by 8 goals0.99%
Wins by 9 goals0.36%
Wins by 10 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.33%2.67%
1.587.65%12.35%
2.570.12%29.88%
3.548.96%51.04%
4.529.79%70.21%
5.515.90%84.10%
6.57.52%92.48%
7.53.18%96.82%
8.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.529.36%70.64%
1.54.81%95.19%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.22%3.78%
1.583.83%16.17%
2.563.55%36.45%
3.541.41%58.59%
4.523.29%76.71%
5.511.41%88.59%
6.54.93%95.07%
7.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.31%18.69%
1.549.97%50.03%
2.523.68%76.32%
3.58.98%91.02%
4.52.82%97.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paços
Benfica
Score01234
0
2.67%
8.75%
14.33%
15.64%
12.80%
1
0.93%
3.04%
4.98%
5.44%
4.45%
2
0.16%
0.53%
0.87%
0.94%
0.77%
Pacos
1-00.93%
2-00.16%
2-10.53%
Draw
0-02.67%
1-13.04%
2-20.87%
3-30.11%
Benfica
0-18.75%
0-214.33%
1-24.98%
0-315.64%
1-35.44%
2-30.94%
0-412.80%
1-44.45%
2-40.77%

Correct Score - First Half

Paços
Benfica
Score0123456
0
18.69%
28.34%
21.48%
10.86%
4.12%
1.25%
0.32%
1
3.01%
4.56%
3.46%
1.75%
0.66%
0.20%
0.05%
2
0.24%
0.37%
0.28%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Pacos
1-03.01%
2-00.24%
2-10.37%
Draw
0-018.69%
1-14.56%
2-20.28%
Benfica
0-128.34%
0-221.48%
1-23.46%
0-310.86%
1-31.75%
2-30.14%
0-44.12%
1-40.66%
0-51.25%
1-50.20%
0-60.32%