Paços at Tondela

Updated

Pacos

32.0%28.8%39.1%
Paços WinDrawTondela Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 0

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Pacos
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+265
L 2-1 vs Vitoria+220
L 0-2 at Maritimo+255
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+625
T 1-1 at Moreirense+210
Tondela
Money Line
L 2-5 at Vitoria+450
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1300
W 2-4 vs Maritimo+110
L 0-2 at Arouca+240
L 3-1 vs Porto+1000

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+171+180+178+195+181+178+195+201.8
Tondela+154+150+147+162+148+147+162+169.0
Draw+237+200+215+229+233+215+233+236.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+200----+185+185+201.8
Tondela+135----+155+155+169.0
Draw+240----+225+225+236.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Tondela: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +185 to +173
Tondela ML moved from +151 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Tondela: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +210 to +190
No Steam Moves On Tondela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2¼-125o2½+108o2½+113-o2½+108o2¼-125o2¼-110
Underu2½-112u2¼+105u2½-128u2½-128-u2½-128u2½-128u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-110
Under-----u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-112 to u2¼+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.99%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 410.89%
Exactly 61.77%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.27%
Exactly 319.72%
Exactly 54.81%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 037.00%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.29%
Exactly 36.06%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 029.69%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 221.89%
Exactly 38.86%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.97%
Exactly 218.80%
Exactly 41.64%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.41%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 063.11%
Exactly 129.05%
Exactly 26.69%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 057.00%
Exactly 132.04%
Exactly 29.01%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals11.02%
Wins by 3+ goals3.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals17.89%
Wins by 3+ goals5.99%
Wins by 4+ goals1.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Pacos
Tondela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal18.98%
Wins by 2 goals7.97%
Wins by 3 goals2.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal23.19%
Wins by 2 goals11.89%
Wins by 3 goals4.40%
Wins by 4 goals1.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.01%10.99%
1.564.75%35.25%
2.537.95%62.05%
3.518.23%81.77%
4.57.34%92.66%
5.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.00%37.00%
1.526.21%73.79%
2.57.92%92.08%
3.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.31%29.69%
1.534.25%65.75%
2.512.36%87.64%
3.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.03%35.97%
1.527.25%72.75%
2.58.45%91.55%
3.52.04%97.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paços
Tondela
Score012345
0
10.99%
13.34%
8.10%
3.28%
1.00%
0.24%
1
10.92%
13.26%
8.05%
3.26%
0.99%
0.24%
2
5.43%
6.59%
4.00%
1.62%
0.49%
0.12%
3
1.80%
2.18%
1.33%
0.54%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.45%
0.54%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Pacos
1-010.92%
2-05.43%
2-16.59%
3-01.80%
3-12.18%
3-21.33%
4-00.45%
4-10.54%
4-20.33%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.99%
1-113.26%
2-24.00%
3-30.54%
Tondela
0-113.34%
0-28.10%
1-28.05%
0-33.28%
1-33.26%
2-31.62%
0-41.00%
1-40.99%
2-40.49%
3-40.16%
0-50.24%
1-50.24%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Paços
Tondela
Score01234
0
35.97%
20.22%
5.68%
1.07%
0.15%
1
16.56%
9.31%
2.62%
0.49%
0.07%
2
3.81%
2.14%
0.60%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.58%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Pacos
1-016.56%
2-03.81%
2-12.14%
3-00.58%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-035.97%
1-19.31%
2-20.60%
Tondela
0-120.22%
0-25.68%
1-22.62%
0-31.07%
1-30.49%
2-30.11%
0-40.15%
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