Arouca at Portimonense

Updated

Arouca

22.6%23.5%53.9%
Arouca WinDrawPortimonense Win
0.72Projected Goals 1.71
1Final Score 1

Portimonense

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 4-1 vs FC Vizela+200
L 1-2 at Santa Clara+305
W 1-2 vs Boavista+105
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+340
W 0-2 vs Tondela+120
Portimonense
Money Line
W 1-0 at Moreirense+230
L 3-0 vs Porto+850
W 3-0 at Famalicao+430
W 0-2 vs Belenenses-120
L 0-3 at Braga+575

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+255+280+290+313+269+290+313+338.6
Portimonense+110+105+105+111+107+105+111+115.2
Draw+210+205+210+222+227+210+227+225.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+300----+280+280+338.6
Portimonense+100----+115+115+115.2
Draw+230----+210+210+225.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +268 to +252
Portimonense ML moved from +112 to +106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +350 to +280
Portimonense ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2¼+102o2¼+105o2-127-o2¼+105o2-127o2-116
Underu2¼-120u2¼-122u2¼-125u2+112-u2¼-125u2¼-122u2+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-116
Under-----u2+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.83%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 412.77%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.43%
Exactly 321.04%
Exactly 56.20%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 048.82%
Exactly 135.01%
Exactly 212.55%
Exactly 33.00%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 018.09%
Exactly 130.93%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 315.07%
Exactly 46.44%
Exactly 52.20%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.51%
Exactly 220.52%
Exactly 42.16%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 071.75%
Exactly 123.82%
Exactly 23.95%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 045.31%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.20%
Exactly 33.75%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals4.15%
Wins by 3+ goals0.81%
Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals34.72%
Wins by 3+ goals15.66%
Wins by 4+ goals5.75%
Wins by 5+ goals1.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Portimonense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal11.09%
Wins by 2 goals3.34%
Wins by 3 goals0.71%
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal26.45%
Wins by 2 goals19.06%
Wins by 3 goals9.91%
Wins by 4 goals4.00%
Wins by 5 goals1.31%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.17%8.83%
1.569.74%30.26%
2.543.73%56.27%
3.522.69%77.31%
4.59.93%90.07%
5.53.73%96.27%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.18%48.82%
1.516.18%83.82%
2.53.63%96.37%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.91%18.09%
1.550.98%49.02%
2.524.54%75.46%
3.59.47%90.53%
4.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.49%32.51%
1.530.96%69.04%
2.510.44%89.56%
3.52.75%97.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Portimonense
Score012345
0
8.83%
15.10%
12.91%
7.36%
3.15%
1.08%
1
6.33%
10.83%
9.26%
5.28%
2.26%
0.77%
2
2.27%
3.88%
3.32%
1.89%
0.81%
0.28%
3
0.54%
0.93%
0.79%
0.45%
0.19%
0.07%
Arouca
1-06.33%
2-02.27%
2-13.88%
3-00.54%
3-10.93%
3-20.79%
Draw
0-08.83%
1-110.83%
2-23.32%
3-30.45%
Portimonense
0-115.10%
0-212.91%
1-29.26%
0-37.36%
1-35.28%
2-31.89%
0-43.15%
1-42.26%
2-40.81%
3-40.19%
0-51.08%
1-50.77%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Portimonense
Score01234
0
32.51%
25.74%
10.19%
2.69%
0.53%
1
10.79%
8.54%
3.38%
0.89%
0.18%
2
1.79%
1.42%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.20%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-010.79%
2-01.79%
2-11.42%
3-00.20%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-032.51%
1-18.54%
2-20.56%
Portimonense
0-125.74%
0-210.19%
1-23.38%
0-32.69%
1-30.89%
2-30.15%
0-40.53%
1-40.18%
Famalicão at Estoril
Paços at Tondela