Tondela at Arouca

Updated

Tondela

30.3%28.2%41.6%
Tondela WinDrawArouca Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.30
0Final Score 2

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Porto+1000
W 2-0 at Belenenses+170
W 2-3 vs Famalicao+285
L 1-3 at Braga+900
L 2-1 vs Estoril+215
Arouca
Money Line
T 0-0 at Pacos+310
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+800
L 1-2 at Moreirense+315
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+280
T 2-2 at Maritimo+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+190+240+245+246+239+245+246+256.1
Arouca+150+115+115+117+112+115+117+123.3
Draw+220+235+235+258+241+235+258+268.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+230----+240+240+256.1
Arouca+125----+120+120+123.3
Draw+230----+230+230+268.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 20.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +257 to +246
Arouca ML moved from +126 to +116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 10.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +255 to +240
Arouca ML moved from +130 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2½-115o2½-112o2½-107-o2½-112o2½-107o2½-101
Underu2¼-112u2½-105u2½-108u2½-105-u2½-108u2½-105u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-118 to o2½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.56%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.24%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 320.00%
Exactly 55.05%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 038.78%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.40%
Exactly 35.49%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 027.23%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 39.99%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.32%
Exactly 219.13%
Exactly 41.73%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 064.49%
Exactly 128.29%
Exactly 26.20%
Exactly 30.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 054.76%
Exactly 132.98%
Exactly 29.93%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals9.53%
Wins by 3+ goals2.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals20.51%
Wins by 3+ goals7.29%
Wins by 4+ goals2.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal17.57%
Wins by 2 goals7.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal24.13%
Wins by 2 goals13.22%
Wins by 3 goals5.22%
Wins by 4 goals1.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.44%10.56%
1.565.70%34.30%
2.539.01%60.99%
3.519.02%80.98%
4.57.78%92.22%
5.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.22%38.78%
1.524.49%75.51%
2.57.09%92.91%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.77%27.23%
1.537.34%62.66%
2.514.30%85.70%
3.54.32%95.68%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.68%35.32%
1.527.93%72.07%
2.58.80%91.20%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Arouca
Score012345
0
10.56%
13.74%
8.93%
3.87%
1.26%
0.33%
1
10.00%
13.01%
8.46%
3.67%
1.19%
0.31%
2
4.74%
6.16%
4.01%
1.74%
0.57%
0.15%
3
1.50%
1.95%
1.27%
0.55%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.35%
0.46%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Tondela
1-010.00%
2-04.74%
2-16.16%
3-01.50%
3-11.95%
3-21.27%
4-00.35%
4-10.46%
4-20.30%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.56%
1-113.01%
2-24.01%
3-30.55%
Arouca
0-113.74%
0-28.93%
1-28.46%
0-33.87%
1-33.67%
2-31.74%
0-41.26%
1-41.19%
2-40.57%
3-40.18%
0-50.33%
1-50.31%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Arouca
Score01234
0
35.32%
21.27%
6.40%
1.29%
0.19%
1
15.49%
9.33%
2.81%
0.56%
0.08%
2
3.40%
2.05%
0.62%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.50%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Tondela
1-015.49%
2-03.40%
2-12.05%
3-00.50%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-035.32%
1-19.33%
2-20.62%
Arouca
0-121.27%
0-26.40%
1-22.81%
0-31.29%
1-30.56%
2-30.12%
0-40.19%
Belenenses at Boavista
Boavista at Porto